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New York Liberty vs. Minnesota Lynx WNBA Commissioner’s Cup Championship Predictions Today With Betting Odds For June 25

Publish Date: 06/25/2024
Fact checked by: Allan Howe

Defending champions New York Liberty is looking to go back-to-back when it takes on the red-hot Minnesota Lynx in the WNBA Commissioner's Cup Finals on Tuesday, June 25, 2024 at the UBS Arena in Elmont, New York.

Napheesa Colllier Minnesota Lynx 2024

NEW YORK LIBERTY PREDICTIONS: WNBA TEAM ANALYSIS

  • The Liberty, which boasts a perfect 5-0 (win-loss) record in Commissioner's Cup’s action, is coming off a dominant 96-75 road win against the Atlanta Dream on Sunday.

Do-it-all guard Sabrina Ionescu led the offensive charge with 26 points and 11 assists while last year’s Cup Most Valuable Player Jonquel Jones recorded 13 points and 10 rebounds for the Liberty, who is expected to have their hands full against a pesky Lynx team.

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MINNESOTA LYNX PREDICTIONS: WNBA TEAM ANALYSIS

  • Minnesota has been formidable on both ends of the floor, beating teams by an average of 12.6 points in the past six games.

The Lynx which holds a 4-1 record in the Commissioners Cup is expected to bank on versatile forward Napheesa Collier to deliver the goods in their clash with the Liberty.

In their most recent clash with the Liberty, Minnesota came up on top 84-67 thanks to Collier who put up 15 points and 12 boards.

Free WNBA picks for NY Liberty vs Minnesota Lynx

Will the Lynx continue their mastery of the Liberty or will New York solve the puzzle and score a measure of revenge? We’ll find out soon enough but for now let’s look at the current New York Liberty vs Minnesota Lynx odds.

New York Liberty vs. Minnesota Lynx FanDuel Odds for June 25, 2024

Moneyline

  • New York Liberty: -235
  • Minnesota Lynx: +186

Spread

  • New York Liberty: -5.5 (-108)
  • Minnesota Lynx: +5.5 (-112)

Over/Under (Total)

  • OVER 160.5 (-110)
  • UNDER 160.5 (-110)

New York Liberty vs. Minnesota Lynx Injury Report

New York Liberty Injury Report

  1. Betnijah Laney-Hamilton - Knee - Questionable
  2. Courtney Vandersloot - Personal - Questionable
  3. Nyara Sabally - Back - Out

Minnesota Lynx Injury Report

  1. Diamond Miller - Right Knee - Doubtful

Best odds for New York Liberty vs. Minnesota Lynx

  • The best New York Liberty vs. Minnesota Lynx odds is at FanDuel where you’ll find the latter at +186 to win outright
  • New York comes into this match as -5.5 favorites. FanDuel offers the best spread betting odds for the Liberty at -108
  •  FanDuel offers the best odds for the over-and-under market totals at -110 for the over and the -110 for the under respectively

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Why will the New York Liberty cover the spread?

New York has been a completely different squad following their blowout loss to Minnesota last May 25. The Liberty is currently on a three-game winning streak and has won 11 of their last 12 games.

More importantly, their victories have been extremely dominant, beating teams by an average margin of 13.5 points.

One thing worth noting as well is the Liberty’s strong frontcourt of Breanna Stewart and Jones who have given plenty of teams’ headaches down low.

  • Stewart and Jones have been pretty consistent all season long with the former posting averages of 19.9 ppg and 8.6 rpg and the latter recording 16.9 points and 8.7 rebounds a game.
  • If that’s not good enough, Ionescu has also consistently showed up for the Liberty by stuffing the stats sheets with 18.9 points, 4.4 rebounds, and 6.4 assists per game.

With Miller still not a 100%, leaning towards the Liberty to cover the -5.5 spread at -108 could appeal to some punters.

Why will the Minnesota Lynx cover the spread?

The Minnesota Lynx has been firing on all cylinders this season, winning 13 of their last 16 games. A huge part of the Lynx ascent to the top is forward Napheesa Collier who is making a solid case for MVP, with season averages of 20.9 points, 10.4 rebounds, 3.5 assists, and 2.3 steals.

  • During their current six-game win streak, Collier has posted 19.7 ppg and 9.2 rpg.

But contrary to popular belief, the Lynx is not a one-woman show. Despite the absence of shooting guard Diamond Miller, Minnesota has been getting solid offensive production from guards Kayla McBride and Courtney Williams.

  • The 31-year old McBride is currently the team’s second leading scorer, posting an average of 16.1 points while Williams has season norms of 10.4 ppg, 5.2 rpg, and 5.5 apg.

McBride also leads the league in three points made at 3.3 per game.

  • Not to be outdone is forward Alanna Smith who is currently averaging 12 ppg, 5.0 rpg, and 3.2 apg during the stretch.
  • Currently, the Lynx is among the best defensive teams in the league, ranking second in both blocks and steals at 5.5 bpg and 9.6 spg respectively.

Along with their 84.5 ppg average, Minnesota has a good chance of neutralizing a strong Liberty squad, which currently leads the league in scoring.

The Lynx also has a good history against New York, winning six of their last 10 meetings. During their victories, the Lynx has beaten the Liberty by an average margin of 8.8 points, with their last win being the 17-point drubbing of the latter.

Final New York Liberty vs. Minnesota Lynx Prediction: Minnesota +5.5 (-112), Under 160.5 (-110)

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All things considered, I am quite surprised the Minnesota Lynx comes into the match as 5.5 underdogs. While the New York Liberty is the best scoring team in the league, they technically won’t be playing at their home court.Over the weekend, the WNBA announced that the Liberty-Lynx match will be scheduled at the UBS Arena given the unavailability of the Barclays Center.

  • This is why I’m leaning towards picking Minnesota to cover the spread at -112.

Ranking second and third in the league in both defense and offense, the Lynx have all the tools necessary to frustrate the Liberty who have been scoring for fun in the past six games.

  • Hammering the under 160.5 total at -110 is another play to consider.

While the Liberty and the Lynx are ranked first and third respectively on offense, I can see both teams tightening the defensive screws considering this is a Cup final match. One thing of note is in their last matchup, they combined for a total of 151 points.

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