NFL Prop Bets Week 9: Lions vs Packers NFL Picks and Predictions (Sunday, November 3)

Something's got to give on Sunday as the Green Bay Packers and Detroit Lions meet amidst dueling winning streaks which have taken them right to the top of the NFC North.

(Photo by Rich Storry/Getty Images)

The winner of this one will take over sole possession of first place in the division, and with Jordan Love and Josh Jacobs expected to be active the latest NFL odds would seem to indicate the Packers have a promising outlook for Sunday's game at home.

Without further ado, let's get into the best player prop bets to make for Lions vs Packers in Week 9.

BEST NFL PROP BET: Jordan Love Over 1.5 Passing TDs

Best Odds: +100 at DraftKings

All systems appear to be go for Love after suffering a groin injury last week, and with a report that he's expected to play I'm ready to once again put my money behind the young signalcaller.

• Last week's abbreviated start due to injury was the only one in which Love didn't throw for two touchdowns, as he did so in all five up until Week 8.
• If you throw out that game, he's thrown for two or more touchdown passes in 11 straight dating back to last year and including the playoffs.

One of those muti-touchdown performances came against these same Lions in a game where Green Bay got off to a fast start and stifled this secondary. The Lions' defense sits third in coverage this season, sure, but the bigger sticking point is the fact that this offense has been elite, ranking fourth in DVOA.

A quick start may not be in the stars for the Packers, but with the Lions seemingly scoring at will they'll have no choice but to throw the ball all game long. I think Love's yardage prop is just a bit too rich for my blood; this is the far better value.

BEST NFL PROP BET: Sam LaPorta Over 41.5 Receiving Yards

Best Odds: -120 at BetMGM

Sam LaPorta has been somewhat of a forgotten man in Detroit, but that narrative might be changing in real time.

The veteran tight end received a season-high six targets in Week 8, hauling in every pass thrown his way for 48 yards and a touchdown. Now, he'll meet a Packers team that's ranked just 26th in DVOA against opposing tight ends this year.

Green Bay yielded a stunning nine catches for 95 yards on 10 targets last week against the Jacksonville Jaguars, and for the season this team has allowed 7.9 targets per game to opposing tight ends, ranking third-worst.

LaPorta has proven capable with the ball in his hands with a solid 13.6 yards per reception, so I like his yardage prop just a bit more than his receptions here against the Packers.

BEST NFL PROP BET: Jordan Love Over 4.5 Rushing Yards

Best Odds: -115 at DraftKings

This one's a bit sneaky, but I think Love can get home on this very short number on his rushing yards.

A combination of Love's groin injury and the fact that he's only shown an interest in running in three of his six starts has led us to this point, but he may be left with no choice on Sunday given Detroit's line ranks second-best in rushing the passer this season according to Pro Football Focus.

That should flush Love from the pocket quite a bit here, as was the case last season when he rushed three times for 39 yards in the win over Detroit.

The fear of kneeldowns shouldn't be a factor here with Green Bay entering as the underdog and running up against an excellent team on both sides of the ball, and as Green Bay becomes starved for yardage in big spots I think Love will call his own number and do enough here to gain five measly yards.

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