
The Minnesota Twins may have finished fourth in the American League Central last season, but with their run in 2023 and their competition shedding some talent entering the year they're in the driver's seat to win according to oddsmakers.
Is this a team truly deserving of being the favorite? Let's break down where each of the AL Central teams stand and preview the MLB Futures market.
All odds via DraftKings as of February 23, 2025.
Minnesota finished 21st in wRC+ a year ago, and other than bringing in Ty France to play first base they haven't exactly done much to improve its roster.
With that said, a healthy season from Royce Lewis -- who has been one of the best hitters in baseball when he's on the field -- could help turn things around, as could another good year from Matt Wallner and Willi Castro.
The big spot for upward mobility, however, certainly comes in this team's pitching with some budding prospects like Zebby Matthews and David Festa looking to maneuver their way into the rotation. This team did put forth a pretty decent performance on the mound last year, and it could be even better in 2025.
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Despite Bobby Witt, Jr. vying for MVP a year ago, the Royals were one of the worst offenses in the American League and heavily reliant upon their pitching to make it to the postseason.
Now, Cole Ragans looks to be a legitimate force, but Seth Lugo and Michael Wacha are approaching 34 years of age and had plenty of concerning numbers under the surface which could suggest regression if age doesn't get them first. Brady Singer is now gone, Michael Lorenzen is now here, and Kris Bubic is the No. 5 starter. The odds on Kansas City sustaining its pitching seem incredibly far-fetched.
That's why I just can't get behind this team, even if it will get Vinnie Pasquantino back into the lineup. There's not enough talent here to compete.
I really think the Tigers should be the favorites to win this division. Gleyber Torres quietly had a great second half of the season with New York after moving back to the leadoff spot, and he'll step into an offense which hit the ball quite well down the stretch last year and mainly struggled against lefties.
Their issues against southpaws wouldn't seem to be going away anytime soon with an abundance of left-handed bats, but this talented group should take another step forward here and hand things off to a rotation which was great a year ago, and looks to be getting a great deal of help.
Jack Flaherty, who was a big part of why Detroit was able to win games in the first half of the season, is now back -- and Jackson Jobe has been lighting up the minor leagues and looks ready to take a spot in the rotation. That's not even mentioning Tarik Skubal, who might be the best pitcher in baseball right now.
The rotation looks fortified, and a great bullpen which certainly didn't need any more help grabbed Tommy Kahnle over the offseason to boot. Stock up on Detroit.
The Guardians have moved on from Josh Naylor, and a big question will be whether or not Kyle Manzardo or Carlos Santana can fill his shoes. They traded away Andres Gimenez as well, and while his contributions pale in comparison to Naylor's, the team's plan to replace him looks even shakier.
With Lane Thomas struggling to hit after moving to Cleveland and Naylor gone, I'm just not sure what I can say about this team that is positive. Their bullpen is good, sure, and so too should be Tanner Bibee and Gavin Williams. Other than that, I don't get the love.
This division might be up for grabs, but it's not this up for grabs. Chicago has to prove it won't fumble away young talent, which currently seems to be happening with Colson Montgomery down in the minors and could very well be happening with Miguel Vargas, too.
It did turn Garrett Crochet into a weapon on the hill last year, but he was eventually traded which leaves this rotation in shambles. The White Sox will continue building and churning this year, with little hope of winning.
The Tigers have the best pitcher in the American League followed by three excellent arms, and while their lineup is littered with left-handed hitters it's just as loaded on talent.
I believe a full season out of Kerry Carpenter and a bounce-back from Gleyber Torres could strap a rocket ship to a team which has plenty more players approaching a breakout year like Parker Meadows, and I'm not sure why nobody is willing to talk about this team.
It's not as if any club has a leg up in this race, so why not go for the team who seems the safest, and most complete, as we enter the year.
Best Bet: Tigers to win the AL Central (+270)
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