Best NRFI Bets Today
The most exciting bet in baseball is on No Runs in the First Inning, and we are here to provide our best NRFI bets and predictions for today, June 30.
(Photo by John Fisher/Getty Images)
There are a plethora of excellent spots to play this line, from a wounded Phillies team to a pair of games featuring extremely poor offenses -- even if the pitching matchup may not jump off the page.
Let's get into exactly what I mean here, and look into some of our MLB NRFI predictions for Sunday, June 30.
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MLB NRFI Prediction for Marlins vs Phillies
The Phillies have now lost two of their best hitters in Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber, and in doing so they've lost their leadoff man and their No. 3 hitter.
It's not as if Alec Bohm and Bryson Stott aren't capable replacements for the above names, but the top of this order is decidedly worse without those two stars.
That should make the job easier on Roddery Munoz, who will now project to face just one righty in the top of the order versus two, assuming he can retire the side, and while he's been shaky this year he is coming off of two promising outings.
- I'm not as concerned about the other side of this one with Ranger Suarez continuing to shove for Philly and running into a team which has been arguably the worst in baseball at scoring runs and ranks dead last in wRC+ to lefties.
The concern will be Munoz versus a much stronger offense, but again, it's definitely one which is far less imposing with so many important players now missing in action. Give me the NRFI here.
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NRFI Prediction: Marlins vs Phillies NRFI (-113 at
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MLB NRFI Prediction for Rockies vs White Sox
This is sort of a similar spot, with one great pitcher in Garrett Crochet leading the charge towards the NRFI against a pitcher who's incredibly hard to trust. he difference here, though, is that neither of these two teams are any good at hitting the ball.
While Colorado is 21st when it comes to wRC+ versus lefties, Chicago is all the way down in 27th.
- Both reside in the bottom 10 of the league in that category over the last two weeks, and to make matters even sweeter, the better of the two lineups is in an arduous spot as the Rockies have hit just .228 away from the friendly Coors Field as opposed to .265 at home.
So, while the overall numbers the top three in Colorado's order may look damning, it's important to factor in regression on the road. It's also important to recognize that Crochet has been one of the best pitchers in baseball and should have absolutely no issues getting through a clean first.
- Kyle Freeland is the man you'd theoretically worry about, but it's hard to hit the panic button quite yet after just a handful of starts back from injury.
The White Sox are as bad as it gets at hitting and Freeland at least done a great job of rolling ground-balls up at a 50% clip through five outings.
He should be trustworthy enough against a bad team, and with that we'll get to the second inning scoreless.
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NRFI Prediction: Rockies vs White Sox NRFI (-125 at Caesars)
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MLB NRFI Prediction for Tigers vs Angels
This is probably the most bold I'll be when it comes to taking No Runs in the First Inning on Sunday, as the Angels are beginning to hit the ball and have their best healthy hitter, Luis Rengifo, installed as their No. 2 hitter. On top of that, neither arm has done much to inspire confidence this season.
With that said, Rengifo does put the ball on the ground quite a bit and should have a tougher time hitting a ground-baller in Casey Mize.
- The former No. 1 overall draft pick has offered little room for optimism when it comes to limiting barrels and generating strikeouts, but the Angels aren't an overly powerful team, particularly in the top of the order.
He's also been an expert in limiting walks, which sets up nicely against their leadoff man, Nolan Schanuel, who loves to take pitches.
- On the flip side, Detroit is 26th in wRC+ to lefties and draws Tyler Anderson here, a pitcher who has quietly gone about his business in an effective manner this year with an excellent hard-hit rate and decent enough numbers on contact.
The Tigers don't exhibit much discipline at the plate judging by their extremely low walk rate, either, which should help Anderson -- a pitcher who's walked a ton of guys -- immensely.
Detroit will also be behind the proverbial 8-ball here with its best hitter, Riley Greene, facing a fellow left-hander in the first inning to create a platoon advantage for Anderson.
I'm willing to roll the dice on both struggling offenses with each starter in somewhat of a good spot.
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NRFI Prediction: Tigers vs Angels NRFI (-105 at Caesars)
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