MLB Playoff Best Bets and Odds Today (Tuesday, October 7th)

The American League takes over at center stage of the MLB Playoffs today with a pair of Game Threes.

The Yankees face a 2-0 hole as they host the Toronto Blue Jays at Yankee Stadium in the night cap of a MLB Playoff doubleheader.

The Detroit Tigers and Seattle Mariners meet in Motown knotted at one game apiece in this AL Division Series. Oddsmakers now price the Tigers as favorites to win this series.

I'll make two betting picks for each of these two games: one game prop and one player prop. Look out for my BEST BET selection.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. of Toronto Blue Jays (GETTY IMAGES)

So far in the postseason, I'm up $50 or half a unit

The odds today are taken from BetMGM Sportsbook. Check your favorite marketplace in your state to see if that sports betting app is available.

As always, bet responsibly. Only wager using your budget and your betting units. My units are $100, but you can translate them to $10 or $20, or whatever works best for you.

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Seattle Mariners at Detroit Tigers

WATCH: 4:08 PM ET on FS1

Only 10 days ago it seemed as if the Tigers might squander a division title and a playoff spot. They did lose the former, losing a 14.5 game lead )15.5 games over Cleveland). But Detroit managed to sneak into these playoffs as a wild card.

Now, only six games after getting into the playoffs by the fur of their Tigerish chins, Detroit is looking at an opportunity to clinch this series at home with a pair of wins.

According to FanDuel and DraftKings, Detroit is +360 to win the AL pennant. The last time Detroit won the league flag was in 2012. The franchise has only advanced to the World Series twice since 1984. That's the year they most recently were crowned champions. This is now the longest championship drought in Tiger history. Fans are eager to end that dry spell.

On Tuesday, it's Jack Flaherty (8-15, 4.64 ERA, 3.85 FIP) vs. Logan Gilbert (6-6, 3.44 ERA, 3.35 FIP). In the wild card round, Flaherty did a commendable job: only one earned run allowed while recording 14 outs. Gilbert has not pitched in more than a week. He tired as the regular season wore on. He has good stuff, but can rely too much on one or two pitches. He's a lot like Flaherty: frustrating and inconsistent. But generally, both of these starters have pitched better than the record showed in 2025.

• BET: Given the anemic offense we've seen in the two games so far, why expect anything different? The Tigers lineup is woeful. The Mariners are apparently feeling the pressure of the big stage. Only a pair of solo home runs by Jorge Polanco in Game Two on Sunday prevented the M's from falling down 0-2.I like low scoring again. That's why I'm betting half a unit ($50) on the Run Bands odds market. I cam taking 7-8 runs being scored at +350 from BetMGM. That means if the two teams combine for 7 or 8 runs today, I win $175 plus my stake back.
• BET: Here's my player prop: Kerry Carpenter to Hit a Home Run (+390). The left-handed slugger has 23 of his 26 HR against RHP. He has a .577 SLG at Comerica Park. In late innings, with the three-batter rule, it's hard to avoid a RHP facing Carpenter. If he gets a chance, I like half a unit ($50) on Carpenter going deep, to win $195.

Toronto Blue Jays at New York Yankees

WATCH: 8:08 PM ET on FS1

So far the Jays have outscored the Yankees 23-8 in their two victories. The NY lineup has looked overmatched for the most part. Only during "garbage time" down by a dozen runs on Sunday, have the Yankees shown the ability to score runs.

This series isn't technically over, but it may as well be. The Blue Jays have the series' best hitter (Vladimir Guerrero Jr.), the best defense, and the best situational relief pitchers (if they ever need them).

My player prop is attached to the big slugger, the son-of-a-Hall-of-Famer, Big Bad Vlad.

• BEST BET: Blue Jays to Win on Moneyline (+124). Bet $100 to win $124.
• BET: Vlad Guerrero Jr. To Record 2+ hits (+230). In the first two games, Guerrero Jr. has six hits, and a grand slam. At-bats are like layups to him right now. I'm going all in at $100 on this MLB player prop bet.

On Wednesday look for my preview of the ALDS and NLDS games to played on that day.