NFL Player Props Week 1: The 3 Best NFL Props Today September 8

NFL Sunday week 1 is finally here, and there's a full slate of games to bet on. Are you looking for the best NFL prop bets? You've come to the right place!

In this article, I'll break down a few of my favorite props, along with my best NFL bets for Sunday, September 8.

(Photo by Kathryn Riley/Getty Images)

While NFL kicked off Thursday and Friday evening, there are 13 games on the slate today. For the 1 p.m. ET NFL games,

• Arizona Cardinals are +6.5 point spread underdogs against the Buffalo Bills on the road.
• The newly reconstructed Atlanta Falcons are -3.5 favorites at home vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers
• Chicago Bears are -3.5 point spread favorites vs. the Tennessee Titans at home.
• Set to air on CBS, Joe Burrow, and the Cincinnati Bengals are heavy -7.5 point favorites at home against the New England Patriots.
• CJ Stroud and the Houston Texans are the -3 point favorites over the Indianapolis Colts at home.
• In a battle of the Florida teams, the Jacksonville Jaguars are +3.5 underdogs on the road vs. the Miami Dolphins.
• For the NFC South, the New Orleans Saints will host the Carolina Panthers as -4 point spread favorites.
• A rematch of the 2023 playoffs, the New York Giants are +1.5 underdogs at home vs. the Minnesota Vikings.

If you're betting on the NFL, there are are three games on the 4 p.m. ET slate:

• In the AFC West, the Raiders are +3 underdogs against the Los Angeles Chargers on the road.
• With a coaching shakeup, the Seattle Seahawks are heavy favorites by 6 points against the Denver Broncos at home.
• The Cleveland Browns find themselves as -2.5 point spread favorites against the Dallas Cowboys in their first matchup sine 2020.
• A revamped Washington Commanders team is +3.5 underdogs on the road against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

Matt Stafford and Jared Goff will face their former teams, the Los Angeles Rams and the Detroit Lions for the evening game.

NFL Odds Are Current As Of September 7 AT 3 P.M. ET

With NFL season here, I've compiled a list of all player prop and best betting odds from a number of legal sportsbooks. If you're looking to tail these plays, I've placed all of my bets within FanDuel and DraftKings Sportsbooks.

Are you in search of further sports betting promotions? We have compiled a list of the best sports betting offers here. 

NFL Bets Prop Bets for Sunday, September 8 Week 1

NFL Player Prop Bet #1: Josh Allen

Josh Allen 2023 Season Stats

GP: 17  | Passing TD: 29 | INT: 18  | CMP % 66.5 % | Passing Yards: 4,306 | Rushing Yards: 524 |Rushing TD: 15 | Sack: 24 | QBR: 70.3 | RTG: 92.2

• Anytime TD scorer (+120 FanDuel boost)

Let's face it, there are several question marks regarding the Buffalo Bills heading into this NFL season.  After the departure of wide receiver Stefon Diggs to the Houston Texans, it's unclear who will step up as Allen's top receiver.

• Allen's one of the most pristine running quarterbacks in the NFL. With that said, Josh Allen any time touchdown scorer is a popular one, and I was able to grab this NFL prop at plus money, which makes it very enticing.

Time and time again, Josh Allen has made it known he plans to run less, and yes we saw a drop off in rushing yards last season. However, he had a career high 15 rushing touchdowns in 2023, and I don't see that stopping until he develops chemistry with new receivers Keon Coleman, and Curtis Samuel.

Even with the addition of running back James Cook, who exploded for 1,122 rushing yards, it was Allen who found himself in the endzone quite often.

Today, Allen gets the Arizona Cardinals, who finished dead last in the NFC West with a 4-13 record. One of the least efficient teams on the defensive end, I'm not entirely assured the defense has improved much.

• Under Defensive Coordinator Nick Rallis, Arizona was ranked the worst success rate on defense in the NFL (47.7 %), along with Rush (43.5 %), and drop back success rate (51 %).
• Allowing a 25th worst 355.7 offensive yards per game, they were ranked as the worst NFL teams as far as rushing defense (143.2 rushing yards per game).
• To highlight how terrible the rush defense truly was, the Cardinals nearly gave up 133.9 rushing yards on the road. Ranked 21st against rushing yards, they get Allen and the Bills today.

Josh Allen ATS Is Boosted to +120 Odds On FanDuel

If you're betting on NFL player props today, this Cardinals defense allowed Daniel Jones and Sam Howell to find the endzone within the first two weeks of last year's season.

Overall, Arizona allowed six rushing touchdowns in the first five games, including three from Christian McCaffrey alone. Head Coach Jonathan Gannon certainly has his hands full rebuilding this team.

1. Last in DVOA last year, this Cardinals team will continue to struggle both in pass rush and secondary.
2. With this information, Allen and the Bills will face the Cardinals for the first time in four years.
3. Although the Bills quarterback did not find the endzone, he did finish with 284 yards, including 38 on the ground.

Running in for a touchdown in 14 of 19 games last year, Allen is a great prop bet for week 1. Scoring at least one touchdown in four of the last five games last season, he finished with a total of rushing touchdowns against the Chargers, Patriots, Steelers, and Chiefs.

• More importantly, Allen had three rushing touchdowns against New England, who was fourth best in opponent rush yards per game. He also found the endzone against the Eagles and Jaguars who ranked top 10 in rushing yards per game.

Final NFL Prop bet Prediction: Josh Allen ATS (+120 FanDuel)

Overall, I'm picking Josh Allen to score a touchdown in the NFL week 1 opener as one of my top prop bets. With a matchup at home, it's unclear how the Bills offense will look, especially with the departure of Diggs and Gabe Davis.

Fresh off one of the most efficient rushing seasons, I'm taking Allen against a projected weak Arizona defense.

NFL Player Prop Bet #2: Davante Adams

Davante Adams 2023 Season Stats

GP: 17  | Receiving TD: 8 | Targets: 175| Yards: 1,144| Average: 11.1 | Long: 46 | First Down: 59

• 68.5 receiving yards (-113 FanDuel)

My second NFL player prop today is Las Vegas Raiders receiver Davante Adams to top over 68.5 receiving yards against the Los Angeles Chargers. While it's unclear how potent the Raiders offense will operate under Antonio Pierce and OC Luke Getsy, Adams still has great value.

For -113 odds on FanDuel, Adams gets a new quarterback in Gardner Minshew, who had an average season at best for the Colts last year. Even with Aidan O'Connell, Jimmy Garoppolo, and Brian Hoyer splitting the duties as quarterback, Adams managed to tally over 1100 yards and 8.0 touchdowns on the season.

The teams leading receiver by a mile, newly drafted tight end Brock Bowers may cut into his workload. However, it's unclear how well his game will translate from Georgia to the NFL. While I do believe receiver Jakobi Myers will have a bigger workload this season, I'm still taking the over yards.

• Overall, Adams is one of the most pristine receivers in the league, who has a veteran quarterback. Yes, chemistry will take time, however, we have to breakdown this matchup with the Chargers.

This NFL Player Prop Has -113 Odds To Soar Over 68.5 Receiving Yards

Although the Chargers underwent a coaching overhaul and hired Jim Harbraugh, he simply can't fix this defensive in one season. Known for their weak secondary, the Chargers allowed over 360 yards per game, which is in the gulag. Allowing teams to air the ball out 249.8 yards per game was better than three teams, the Eagles, Lions, and Commanders.

1. Sure, newly hired defensive coordinator Jesse Minter has room to work with stars Joey Bosa and Khalil Mack.
2. Even with the addition of Junior Colson, I have zero confidence in this secondary.
3. Not to knock Kristian Fulton, I don't see him able to keep up with Adams in the Wide.

If you're betting NFL prop bets today, sure Adams was inconsistent with receiving yards, especially the last stretch last year.

Hitting the over in just five of ten games dating back to last January, I am simply going to ignore this for two reasons: Adams has a history of cooking against the Chargers, and I believe in Minshew over the quarterback crisis last season.

• Ranked 30th against the pass in the NFL last year, Adams torched the Chargers for an average of 123.5 yards over the last four meetings. In fact, he tallied 141 and 177 yards in 2022. As a member of the Raiders, Adams blew up for 75 and 101 yards last year.

I do believe this line is too low for the value, considering Adam's performance history against the Chargers throughout his NFL tenure.

Although Minshew performed average at best, he did feed the ball to Colts star Michael Pittmann, who finished over 1,110 yards, and 0ver 10 targets per game.

Final NFL Prop bet Prediction: Davante Adams Over 68.5 Receiving Yards (-113 FanDuel)

One of my top NFL prop bets for today, I'm betting on Davante Adams to cook for over 68.5 receiving yards against the Chargers. Although inconsistent the back end of last year, I'm taking a veteran receiver who's up against a Chargers team who allowed the 5th worst passer rating (96.4).

Remember, this Chargers team allowed over 2900 yards to receivers last season. I'll take the yards with Adams today.

NFL Player Prop Bet #3: Jonathan Taylor

Jonathan Taylor 2023 Season Stats

GP: 10  | Carries: 169 | Rushing Yards: 741 : Receiving Yards: 153 | Targets: 23 | Avg: 4.4 | Rush TD: 7 | Rec TD: 1 | Long: 49 | First Down: 42

• Anytime TD Scorer (-115 FanDuel)
• O 74.5 Rushing Yards (-113 FanDuel)

One of the top projected running backs of 2024, Jonathan Taylor is back and healthy after suffering an ankle injury. The combination of Anthony Richardson and Taylor is scary for defenders, especially since both are elite runners.

Houston Texans head coach DeMeco Ryans has incredibly transformed this organization, and is known for his defense. A top 10 defense in opponent rushing yards per game, the Texans have studs in Will Anderson Jr., and Danielle Hunter.

However, I personally have questions about that interior line, specifically with Mario Edwards Jr., and Folorunso Fatukasi. While they potential to be potent on defense, it's hard to say whether that middle line will hold up.

Ranked 22nd in the NFL in rushing yards, I'm also interested in how well Anderson Jr's ankle will hold up. When healthy, it's very tough to fade the Jonathan Taylor props, especially in a classic AFC South showdown.

1. Yes, this Texans team has been reconstructed over the years. However, what hasn't changed is Taylor's dominance over Houston, from a scoring and receiving yards perspective.
2. Although Adonai Mitchell was drafted as the Colts WR3, it's unclear how much Mitchell or Alec Pierce will contribute alongside Michael Pittman Jr.
3. Therefore, I'm banking on Taylor to carrying the Colts offense on the ground, especially since he's torched the Texans for 159.3 average yards over their last four matchups.

Final NFL Prop bet Prediction: Jonathan Taylor ATS (-115 Fanduel) + O 74.5 Rushing Yards (-113 Fanduel)

Speaking of dominance, Taylor is one of the most explosive, powerful backs in the league. 159 average yards is insane, yet he went off for 145, 143, and 161 yards in years past. Even through injuries, Taylor erupted for 188 last January against Houston, which included a rushing touchdown.

Overall, this is a Texans team that dropped off against the run towards the back end of last season. Giving up over 170 yards on the ground in the last three games, Taylor has an excellent matchup with their division rival.

Finding the endzone in four of the last five against Houston, I'm backing Taylor, who scored in seven of his 10 games played last year.

Although they weren't terrible against the run last season, the Texans ranked middle of the pack in rushing touch downs. There's no doubt this will be a challenge for Taylor, especially against a team that didn't allow many backs to tally over 100 yards.

However, more than 15 players found the endzone against Houston last season. Perhaps there will be some more motivation after missing out on a fourth-and-one conversion last year against Houston.