NFL Best Bets For Tonight's MNF (September 30): Seahawks vs Lions Betting Odds & Player Prop Bets

What a wild week it's been in the NFL! With several upsets, there are an additional two matchups tonight for Monday night football. In this article, I will focus on the week 4 matchup between the Seattle Seahawks (3-0, 1-0 away) and the Detroit Lions (2-1, 1-1 home).

(Photo by Kevin Sabitus/Getty Images)

With home-field advantage, the Lions are coming off a 20-13 victory over the Arizona Cardinals. While the defense was excellent in stopping quarterback Kyle Murray, Lions quarterback Jared Goff threw for a pair of touchdowns.

Getting several receivers involved in the game, Amon-Ra St. Brown led the way for the Lions. Goff's favorite target, St. Brown tallied 75 yards, while the running back committee once again was stellar.

Head Coach Dan Campbell has completely changed the culture in Detroit, and I'm here for it. One of the best back duos in the NFL, David Montgomery and Jahmyr Gibbs ran over the Cardinals for 188 rushing yards. Along with a strong receiving core, both backs are excellent when it comes to receiving in the backfield.

The Seattle Seahawks Are 3-0 For The First Time Since 2020

On the defensive end, it was Kerby Joseph who intercepted the long pass intended for rookie Marvin Harrison Jr. With a revamped pass rush, third-year defensive end Aidan Hutchinson tallied another sack on Murray. Up to 6.5 sacks on the season, keep an eye out for Hutchinson's defensive player props.

2-1-1 against the spread on the season, Detroit covered the spread as three point favorites against the Cardinals.

Seahawks coming straight off an impressive 24-3 win against Dolphins in Week 3

If you've been continuously betting on Seahawks moneyline, congratulations! A perfect 3-0 on the season, Seattle sits atop the NFC West. Coming off an impressive 24-3 victory over the Miami Dolphins, the Seahawks took advantage of a Tua-less Dolphins team. With Skylar Thompson at the helm for Miami, their offense was pretty much abysmal.

Excellent in first down and red zone efficiency, it was back up running back Zach Charbonnet who found the goal line for two touchdowns in place of Kenneth Walker. I do want to point out, Charbonnet did cash out the first down touchdown scorer of the game for us. For the second consecutive game, D.K. Metcalf led the receiving core with 104 yards and a touchdown.

Odds Are Current As OF September 30 AT 8 A.M. ET

If you're looking to bet on the best Week 4 Monday night football player prop and spread bets, you are in the correct place! In this article, you will find a mix of spread bets, along with the best value prop plays that will keep us in the green.

With an NFL betting record of 59-45, I am up over five units this season. Let's take a look into the Seahawks and Lions game, and analyze my three best bets for Monday, September 30.

4.5 point favorites, Monday's matchup will take place at Ford Field, located in Detroit, Michigan. If you're betting on NFL player prop plays, kick off will begin at 8:15 p.m. ET, and will air on ABC/ESPN+. Per AccuWeather, the projected game-time weather is 69 degrees, with wind gusts up to 9 mph.

Are you in search of further NFL and sports betting promotions? We have compiled a list of the best sports betting offers here. 

NFL WEEK 4 BETS: Seattle Seahawks vs Detroit Lions FanDuel Odds For September 30

MONEYLINE

• SEATTLE SEAHAWKS: +176
• DETROIT LIONS: -210

SPREAD

• SEATTLE SEAHAWKS: +4.5 (-115)
• DETROIT LIONS: -4.5 (-105)

OVER/UNDER (TOTAL)

• OVER: 46.5 (-114)
• UNDER: 46.5 (-106)

BEST ODDS FOR SEATTLE SEAHAWKS vs DETROIT LIONS

• Back at home, BetMGM has the best odds, favoring the Detroit Lions by 4 points (-110)
• The Seattle Seahawks will head on the road for the second time this NFL seaso.   FanDuel Sportsbook offers the best odds at -115, tabbing the Seahawks as -4.5 point underdogs.
• BetMGM and FanDuel Sportsbook currently offer the best odds for the game totals. BetMGM offers the best value for the under (47) at -110, while FanDuel offers the best value for the over (46.5) at -114 odds.

Seattle Seahawks Vs Detroit Lions Injury Report

SEAHAWKS

1. Jerome Baker, LB: Questionable (Hamstring)
2. Boye Mafe, LB: OUT (Knee)
3. Uchenna Nwosu, LB: OUT (Knee)
4. Leonard Williams, DE: OUT (Ribs)
5. Bryon Murphy II, DT: OUT (Hamstring)

LIONS

1. Brian Branch, S: Doubtful (Illness)
2. Frank Ragnow, C: OUT (Pectoral)
3. Derrick Barnes, LB: IR (Knee)
4. Marcus Davenport, DE: IR (Triceps)
5. Ifeatu Melifonwu, S: IR (Ankle)

NFL Predictions for Monday, September 30 Week 4

NFL Spread Bet: Seattle Seahawks Vs Detroit Lions

• Seattle Seahawks +4.5 (-115 FanDuel)

My first and only NFL spread bet of the day, I bet on the Seattle Seahawks to cover the +4.5 point underdog spread against the Detroit Lions. Both teams are looking like playoff contending teams, with the Seahawks undefeated for the first time since 2015. Off to a blazing 3-0 start, I am perplexed why Detroit is favored by that point margin. While I do expect the point spread to increase throughout the day, I found it interesting the line moved from +3.5 to +4.5.

With a 1-1 record ATS at home, the Lions once again get advantage at Ford Field. Overall, both the Lions and Seahawks haven't had terrible matchups heading into week 4. For the Seahawks, they defeated the Broncos, Patriots, and Dolphins.

The only loss is against the Bucs

As far as the Lions organization, Campbell and company have victories over NFC West rivals Rams and Cardinals. It's important to note, their lone loss came against the Buccaneers in week two at home.

Overall, I would say these two teams are evenly matched, especially with Seattle boasting a third best +10 point differential in the NFL. Given Detroit has a small +3 point differential through three games, I do believe the Seahawks can keep up tonight.

The Seahawks Are 2-0 ATS As Underdogs In The Last 2 Games Vs Detroit. Can They Make It 3-0?

Sure, there are key injuries to both teams, especially t0 the Lions secondary and offensive line. However, Jared Goff and Geno Smith are two quarterbacks who's resurrected their careers, and I'll have a front row seat to this one.

Consistent in their game averages, the Seattle defense truly showed out last week. And that was to be expected, especially with Skylar Thompson active in place of the injured Tua Tagovailoa.

Detroit Lions struggled against the Rams & Cardinals

Now they face a Lions team, who barely squeezed by the Rams, and was held scoreless for the second half against the Cardinals. While Arizona's defense and overall play has shocked bettors, it's a bit concerning the Lions couldn't put any points on the board through that second half.

In the scheme of things, the Seahawks get Kenneth Walker back, although it's unclear if he will be on a limited snap count. With a solid offensive line, the Seahawks receiving core of Metcalf, Smith-Njigba, and Tyler Lockett can keep up with St. Brown and Jameson Williams. Don't let the Lions fool you, they have a solid 1-2 punch with Montgomery and Gibbs. However, Zach Charbonnet has proven to be a viable asset in the Seahawks running game.

Final NFL betting prediction: Seattle Seahawks +4.5  (-115 FanDuel)

If you're betting on the NFL, you have run heavy team (the Lions) in the red zone, against a Seattle team that's hardly been able to contain rushing touchdowns. If Jared Goff and the Lions want to keep things close, he will have to simply play better in the shotgun formation.

Also, don't let the stats fool you. Yes, the Lions are a much more efficient team on the ground, tallying over 100 yards more rushing. However, the Seahawks have more punches in the red zone by running. Let that sink in for a second.

Lions might not have enough red zone chances against Seahawks tonight

The Lions are a team that loves red zone opportunities, and the key will be forcing Dan Campbell and company to opt for field goals here. I'll give Seattle the edge, since their defense has been much more impressive on the season. Allowing the fewest points in the NFL, I would say both quarterbacks are pretty comparable under center. I'll lay the points with the Seahawks tonight.

After all, the Seahawks have a win loss record of 8-1 against the Lions in their last 9 meetings. With an close 37-30 overtime victory against the Lions last September, it was receiver Tyler Lockett who scored the winning six yard touchdown drive.

6-3-0 ATS vs the Lions, the Seahawks have covered in four straight games against Detroit. That includes a +5, +4, +3, and -6 point spread. 3-1 as underdogs against the spread as underdogs against the Lions, I'll take Seattle again.

NFL Player Prop Bets Tonight: D.K. Metcalf

GP: 3  | Receiving TD: 2 | Targets: 24 | Yards: 262 | Average: 15.4 | Long: 71 | First Down: 7

• O 24.5 yards longest reception (-120 FanDuel)

For my second player prop for Monday night football, I bet on Seattle Seahawks receiver D.K. Metcalf to tally over 24.5 yards longest reception. One of the strongest, most talented receivers in the NFL, there's not many backs that can stop Metcalf. Listed at 6'4, 235 pounds, Metcalf is an freak, elite athlete, to put it bluntly.

One of the most athletic players in the NFL, Metcalf is primary lined up in the wide, compared to the slot. First of all, Metcalf is poised for a nice matchup against corner back Terrior Arnold, who's allowed 19 targets and 13 receptions allowed on the season.

Is the Absence of Bryan Branch the Final Nail to the Coffin for Lions?

Allowing nearly 12.3 yards per reception, Metcalf should have a field day, if lined up with Arnold. With safety Bryan Branch unable to lace up for tonight's matchup for Detroit, I like this NFL player prop even more. Even if lined up vs Carlton Davis III, I still love this.

If you're betting on the NFL, Seahawks quarterback Geno Smith has resurrected his career with the Seahawks, and Metcalf has quickly become his favorite wideout target. When I think of Seahawks football, I automatically envision Smith bombing the ball down the field to Metcalf for a colossal gain.

D.K. Metcalf Is Arguably One Of The Most Elite Wide Receivers In The NFL

Tied with second year wideout Jaxon Smith- Njigba for targets, it's Metcalf that's leading the team with 262 receiving yards. Playing 83 percent of the snap counts this season, the Seahawks wideout is in fact averaging 6.2 yards per catch after reception.

• A fantastic route running down the field, number 14 has the most 20+ receptions on Seattle, totaling three on the season.

Moreover, Metcalf has a combined six plays on the season that average between 30 and 50+ yards. A receiver that can make the big plays, he's totaled two 50+ receiving plays.

After all, we can't forget Metcalf's  longest reception of 71 yards that occurred week three against the Miami Dolphins. Up 10-3, Smith air the ball over 70 yards with five seconds remaining in the first quarter. In shotgun formation, Metcalf torched Dolphins safety Jevon Holland, and was found wide open into the end zone for six.

D.K. Metcalf is your go-to guy for tonight's NFL player prop bets

If you bet, but don't watch the NFL, the Seahawks receiver scorched the Patriots secondary for a 56 yard gain at the 45 yard line for a touchdown. With Smith set so perfectly in the pocket, Kyle Duggar didn't have a shot to catch Metcalf.

Given he's tallied both a 71 and 56 yard bomb for a touchdown, D.K. Metcalf any time scorer is a player prop to look for tonight.

Final NFL betting prediction: D.K. Metcalf O 24.5 yards longest reception (-120 FanDuel)

Overall, the Seahawks face a Lions team, who allowed Rams receiver Tyler Johnson to burn the secondary for a 63 yard bomb in week 1. Allowing seven 20+ receptions on the year, the Lions have given up two 40+ yards through the air heading into week four.

Allowing Buccaneers receiver Chris Godwin to explode for a 41 yard explosion in week two, I'll take over 24.5 yards longest reception tonight. If you missed last week, Cardinals second year receiver Michael Wilson caught the 28 longest reception, to go along with 64 receiving yards.

There's no too many backs who can stop Metcalf's explosiveness and speed. Betting the over is prime prediction for tonight's MNF game.

NFL Player Prop Bets Tonight: David Montgomery

GP: 3  | Carries: 51 | Rushing Yards: 231 | Receiving Yards: 54 | Targets: 8 | Avg Rushing: 4.5 | Rush TD: 3 | Rec TD: 0 | Long Rush: 21 | First Down: 15

• Anytime touchdown scorer (-130 FanDuel)

My third player prop play for tonight, I bet on Lions running back David Montgomery to score a touchdown against the Seattle Seahawks. Yes, the Seahawks defense is legit this year, allowing an NFL best 248.7 yards per game.

With head coach Mike Macdonald taking over post Pete Carroll era, he knows a bit or two about defense. Previously the defensive coordinator for the Ravens, Macdonald led Baltimore to a historic defensive season in 2023.

Why Montgomery's Rushing Prop Against Seattle Is a Risky Bet!

Under that umbrella, Seattle hasn't been extremely impressive against the rush, allowing 116.3 yards on the ground. In previous weeks, we saw Broncos quarterback Bo Nix rush for 35 yards alone, while Patriots backs Antonio Gibson and Rhamondre Stevenson combined for 177 yards.

Failing to allow a single back to tally over 100 rushing yards, this is the sole reason I veered away from Montgomery rushing yards. With the player prop rushing line set at 64.5 yards, I don't trust that against Seattle's defense.

For -130 odds on FanDuel, this prop isn't overly juiced, and still has some great value. While Seattle leagues the NFL in opponent points per game with 43, Montgomery will have a tall task, especially teams only score 30 percent of the end zone against Seattle.

However, when teams do in fact score against the Seahawks, over 66 percent of the points in the end zone have come from touchdowns. Combine that with an explosive goal line back, who's crossed the plane in each of the three NFL games this year.

Can David Montgomery Score A Touchdown For the Fourth Consecutive Game?

If you remember, Montgomery had a strong first drive against the Cardinals last week, coming out of the gate with a touchdown on the opening drive. Given Montgomery has scored nearly 43 percent of the Lion's touchdowns heading into week four, that alone is a reason to wager on this player prop.

Campbell's Red Zone Trust in Montgomery

Overall, we know Detroit has had trouble getting into the end zone at times, scoring only 33 percent of the time. However, Dan Campbell is an aggressive coach, who's been known to go for it on fourth down, rather than kick the field goal.

In fact, the Lions lead the NFL with 4.3 red zone scoring attempts per game, and average 1.3 rushing touchdowns per game.

If I haven't sold you on this NFL player prop yet, here's a stats. Sure, the Lions rely heavily on a backfield committee of Montgomery and Gibbs. However, it's Montgomery's been the trust back for Campbell inside the 20 yard line and under. Montgomery's beat out Gibbs for red zone touchdowns, tallying three compared to Gibbs one.

Final NFL betting prediction: David Montgomery anytime scorer (-130 FanDuel)

In addition, Montgomery has +25 yard advantage inside the scoring zone. More effective, he's averaging 4.4 yards per attempt, compared to Gibbs abysmal 1.7 yards per attempt. Although they've received the same amount of touches inside the five, the difference as been at the ten yard line.

At 5'11 and 224 pounds, Montgomery is a sturdy back, who we saw walk right into the end zone for a one yard gain against the the Cardinals. With the way the offensive line has held up in the line of scrimmage, I have zero doubts Montgomery will find the goal line again tonight.

After all, the Lions back scored the winning overtime touchdown against the Rams in week 1. Pounding the ball on the ground, the Lions play bully ball. Expect this to happen tonight.