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Best Same Game Parlay NFL Tonight: SGP Picks for 49ers vs Seahawks on Thursday Night Football (Oct 10)

Publish Date: Oct 10, 2024
Fact checked by: Sara Jane Gamelli

The Seattle Seahawks have now lost two straight games and suddenly find themselves at 3-2 entering a brutal matchup with the San Francisco 49ers on Thursday Night Football this week.

(Photo by Thearon W. Henderson/Getty Images)

Seattle's defense should stand a good chance of matching San Francisco, which has struggled to a 2-3 record of its own, but I'm looking towards a few players at skill positions to exploit the few soft spots in these respective units.

Let's get right into things and build a same-game parlay for 49ers vs Seahawks on Thursday Night Football this October 10th.

Best Same Game Parlay for 49ers vs Seahawks on Thursday Night Football

Odds: +600 at DraftKings

  • George Kittle Over 4.5 Receptions (+115)
  • Zach Charbonnet Over 30.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards (-115)
  • Jaxon Smith-Njigba Over 47.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

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George Kittle Over 4.5 Receptions

We'll begin with what looks to be the strongest matchup to exploit here which will be San Francisco's top pass-catcher against a group of linebackers which has struggled to contain his position.

Seattle may be standing tall among the top 10 pass defenses in football entering Week 6, but it ranks just 23rd in DVOA to tight ends, allowing 59.4 yards per game.

  • The notable number here, however, is the 7.5 targets that the Seahawks have allowed on average to opposing tight ends -- ranked sixth-worst in the NFL.

Kittle came on strong last week with an impressive 12 catches on eight targets for 64 yards and has now seen five or more passes thrown his way in three of his four games. With the second-best advantage in the league this week over Seattle linebacker Tyrel Dodson in coverage according to PFF, I'm firing up Kittle here.

Zach Charbonnet Over 30.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards

We saw Kenneth Walker's return to the Seahawks lineup really cut into Zach Charbonnet's workload last week, but his presence still isn't enough to scare me off the talented youngster out of UCLA.

  • Charbonnet still saw 36% of the snaps last week, and will now take aim at a 49ers defense which ranks just 26th in success rate against the run this year.

The gameplan for Seattle should feature plenty of running, unlike last week's loss to the Giants, and as the Seahawks look to exploit this matchup I expect Charbonnet to spell Walker more often.

The young running back has been featured in the passing game rather extensively, receiving at least three targets in every game this season, and since he's done a good job of rushing for more than five yards per carry on top of going for 26.8 yards per game through the air, I think we want to combine these two markets on Thursday.

San Francisco may be holding running backs at bay in terms of yards from scrimmage on each reception, but it's still allowed 5.9 targets per game to opposing backs and with the talent Charbonnet has, he should be able to get home here.


Jaxon Smith-Njigba Over 47.5 Receiving Yards

Finally, we'll take a look at a man who's been right on the cusp of a breakout season in Jaxon Smith-Njigba.

The young wideout has now been targeted at least seven times in three of his last four gams, and while he was only able to haul in four passes against the Giants he should be in a much better spot on Thursday.

  • San Francisco has ranked 30th in the NFL in DVOA against the WR2 position, where Smith-Njigba sits opposite DK Metcalf, and the stunning part is that this defense has managed to allow 74.2 yards per game to the position despite yielding just 5.5 targets per game.

Smith-Njigba has been targeted a solid seven yards downfield per game this year, and should be able to take the top off on at least one occasion in his very friendly matchup against Charvarius Ward who ranks 89th of 101 corners according to PFF.

The dynamic pass-catcher has cashed the over on this number just twice, and will be up against a tough defense, but the game script should see the Seahawks look to pass later on in this one and with the far weaker of the two starting corners on him I expect big things for the youngster.

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