NFL Parlay Picks Today: Same Game Parlay for Jaguars vs Bills on Monday Night Football (Sept 23)

The Buffalo Bills now stand at 2-0 after a shellacking of the Miami Dolphins last week on Thursday Night Football, and after some extended rest they'll look to remain perfect in yet another primetime game against the Jacksonville Jaguars.

(Photo by Cooper Neill/Getty Images)

Jacksonville has made a miserable start in Trevor Lawrence's fourth season, mustering up just 30 points in two losses to the Dolphins and Cleveland Browns, and will be hoping to turn things around on the road, where it did fare better in Week 1.

With the Bills struggling in pass coverage, there should be an opening here to back a couple of Jaguars as well as a very attractive market for Josh Allen. Let's make a same-game parlay for Jaguars vs Bills on Monday Night Football.

Best Same Game Parlay for Jaguars vs Bills in Week 3

Odds: +600 at DraftKings

• Josh Allen Anytime TD (-110)
• Trevor Lawrence Over 16.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
• Gabe Davis Over 39.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

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Josh Allen Anytime TD

You know the drill with Allen by now. He ranked second among all quarterbacks in rushing attempts inside the 20-yard line last season, scoring 15 times in the red zone, and the song has remained the same this year.

• Allen's five red zone carries rank third among all quarterbacks to this point in the season, and while he was held out of the end zone last week against the Dolphins he did score twice in Week 1.
• Jacksonville allowed a red zone carry by Deshaun Watson to go for a touchdown last week, and against Miami yielded a rare rush of 11 yards to Tua Tagovailoa.

This is a team which has allowed a score in two-thirds of red zone trips made by opponents, ranking 26th in the league and with Allen arguably entering as Buffalo's biggest weapon inside the 20 I think we'll see him find paydirt and cash the first leg here.

Trevor Lawrence Over 16.5 Rushing Yards

This is now a number which both quarterbacks facing the Buffalo Bills have hit, something that wasn't all that surprising in Week 1 against Kyler Murray and the Arizona Cardinals but was quite shocking in Week 2 against the Miami Dolphins, led for most of the game by Tagovailoa.

• This game should call for plenty of passing given the Bills' shortcomings in the secondary, something we'll hit on below, and as Lawrence sits in the pocket he should be tempted to run plenty with what we've seen against opposing signalcallers.
• Lawrence has also watched five of his passes go for drops through two weeks, so it should be said that he may find it hard to trust some of his receivers on big downs and opt to use his legs.

The fourth-year QB has rushed just three times this season, but he's racked up a 53 yards on these attempts and did go for 4.84 yards per carry on 70 totes a year ago.

Dating back to last season, Lawrence has now eclipsed 16 yards in three of his last five and I'm looking to him to lean on his legs here as the Bills sit back in the secondary in an attempt to correct some errors.

Gabe Davis Over 39.5 Receiving Yards

They don't call him "Big Game Gabe" for nothing, and Monday's matchup with the Bills certainly constitutes as one of those as he'll face his former team for the very first time.

• Davis has been the main man for Jacksonville in the passing game, playing 95% of this team's snaps and leading the team with 10 targets through two games.
• He did catch just three of seven passes thrown his way in Week 2, which is likely why we'll receive a generous discount here.

Buffalo's graded out as the league's eighth-worst team in coverage according to Pro Football Focus, and allowed 41 yards to speedster Jaylen Waddle last week after allowing 47 to the speedy Greg Dortch in Week 1.

Davis is the Jaguars' biggest downfield threat, and if receptions are hard to come by I do think he'll break off an explosive play with all of this said. He's hit the over on this in each of his two games, and likely should have come up with more than 43 yards last week given the seven targets.

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