We're gearing up for what should be a thrilling AFC Championship Game on Sunday night in Buffalo, and in honor of a game which should be a wild encounter given oddsmakers have set the total near 50 points.
With so much scoring expected, this should be an excellent game to pick out a few players to score touchdowns. We'll take a look at two of the most important men on offense for the Chiefs and show some love to a pass-catcher on the Bills who looks to be getting back into regular work as the games become more important.
Without further ado, let's get into the best Anytime TD bets for the AFC Championship Game between the Kansas City Chiefs and Buffalo Bills on January 26.
NFL Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions for Chiefs vs Bills (AFC Championship Game)
Best Kareem Hunt Anytime TD Odds: +180 (BetMGM)
I'll begin with a look at the Chiefs' backfield, which has scared many bettors away ever since Isiah Pacheco's return transformed it into a timeshare between him and Kareem Hunt.
While Pacheco is theoretically lurking and ready to steal work away from Hunt, he's yet to reclaim the backfield due to just how well the veteran has run the ball.
- Hunt is still dominating the snaps, with Pacheco sitting around 30% which pales in comparison to the 48% Hunt has seen in his last two games, which were an important Week 17 game in Pittsburgh and last week's playoff win over the Texans.
This should be a fruitful game for Hunt, considering Buffalo has been run on a ridiculous amount in the last few weeks and has been trending back down with over four yards per carry allowed to opponents.
Hunt averaged over four in the only game between these two teams this season, and he also has ranked just outside the top 10 in red zone rushes this season. With that, I like him to score a touchdown for a fourth consecutive game and for a ninth time this season in 14 games.
Best Xavier Worthy Anytime TD Odds: +200 (BetMGM)
I don't usually love simply backing the game script we saw from the lone meeting between two teams, but it's hard not to love Xavier Worthy to score on Buffalo yet again given the matchup and his recent trends.
- Worthy sat in the dog house during the middle of the season due to some poor performance, but the rookie has emerged as a man who's very clearly one of this team's most important players in taking the field for 80% or more of snaps five weeks running.
Worthy was held out of the end zone last week against Houston, but prior to that had scored in two straight. He's now been targeted six or more times in seven straight games, and last week collected five passes for 45 yards on six targets.
He's catching the ball a a much higher clip, which has led Patrick Mahomes to trust him more, and that's a big deal considering the Bills have allowed nearly eight targets per game to the WR1 position with the fifth-worst DVOA.
He burned Buffalo for 61 yards and a touchdown on five grabs back in Week 11 and I like him to find paydirt once more.
Best Dalton Kincaid Anytime TD Odds: +400 (BetMGM)
It wasn't exactly the most exciting day at the office for Dalton Kincaid last week against Baltimore, as the tight end was targeted just twice in the win, but something that was a big deal was that he was able to at least get himself back onto the field.
Kincaid played 51% of the snaps against the Ravens -- his highest since returning from injury in Week 15 -- and that's good enough for me to believe that he can score a touchdown here against the Chiefs.
- Kincaid averaged around one red zone target per game in the regular season after leading this tight end group in red zone targets last year, and now finds himself in a great matchup on Sunday.
The Chiefs have allowed the seventh-most targets per game to opposing tight ends, which should mean Kincaid is active here, and it's worth noting he caught all five passes thrown his way when these two teams met in the playoffs a season ago for 45 yards -- three of which came in Kansas City territory.
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