NFL Prop Bets: Who Will Score a Touchdown on Sunday, October 6?

Welcome to Week 5 of the NFL season! We'll be treated to some stellar matchups on Sunday afternoon as many teams look to break free of .500 records and right some of the wrongs from early in the season.

There are plenty of big names looking for their first touchdowns of the season, including one of the top rookies in this year's class and a grizzled veteran who's begun to work his way into an exciting offense. We'll look to back both of those guys, as well as a tight end who's performed far better than his results would indicate.

(Photo by Michael Reaves/Getty Images)

Without further ado, let's get into the best Anytime TD bets in the NFL on October 6.

NFL Anytime Touchdown Scorer Prediction for Week 5: Dalton Kincaid

Best Dalton Kincaid Anytime TD Odds: +240 (Caesars)

We'll kick things off here with the touchdown target at the shortest odds, who is the only one of these three to actually reach the end zone through four weeks of the season.

Dalton Kincaid emerged as a serious weapon for a trendy Bills offense late in his rookie year, only to start things off on a rather quiet note this season with five catches for 44 yards through two weeks.

• Since then, Kincaid has become a focal point for Josh Allen through the air, commanding 12 targets over the last two games and hauling in eight passes for 88 yards and a touchdown.

The big thing to look at here is the matchup, and while the Texans are expected by oddsmakers to push for a big win in Week 5, it certainly won't be because of their defense.

With an implied total of 47.5, we should see plenty of scoring on a defense ranked 11th in DVOA against the pass, and when the Bills push the ball inside the 20-yard line they'll be greeted by a team which has allowed a touchdown on 75% of red zone trips thus far, ranked third-worst in the league.

Kikcaid has seen three passes thrown his way in the red zone this season, tied for the second-most among tight ends, and he stands a great chance at finding his second score of the year given Houston's struggles near the goal line despite a decent showing on defense overall.

NFL Anytime Touchdown Scorer Prediction for Week 5: Caleb Williams

Best Caleb Williams Anytime TD Odds: +430 (Caesars)

Sticking with our rationale from above, the Bears should have some real success punching the ball across the goal line if they're able to bring the ball inside the 20 on Sunday.

• Unlike Houston, this Panthers defense doesn't have any redeeming qualities. They rank 24th in overall DVOA this season and 25th against the run, posing a serious issue against a Bears team which has looked to establish the ground game with a rookie quarterback under center.

Carolina's been the worst team in football at defending in the red zone, allowing a touchdown on 91.67% of trips, and while there are several names from Chicago's lineup we can target here I think the best odds are on the signalcaller himself.

Caleb Williams is tied for eighth in red zone rushing attempts so far with four, but three of them came last week in a win over the Rams. He hasn't been able to reach the end zone quite yet, but in averaging nearly five yards per carry and showing an interest in using his legs through four weeks I think he'll scamper free near the goal line for six.

NFL Anytime Touchdown Scorer Prediction for Week 5: Tyler Conklin

Best Tyler Conklin Anytime TD Odds: +450 (BetMGM)

Finally, we'll target a man who will be playing in the very first game of the day on Sunday morning in Tyler Conklin.

Yes, the London games can be quite volatile and filled with sloppy play considering the rigorous travel schedule, but Conklin seems to be the surest bet to score in this one despite the odds stacked against him.

• The Jets' top tight end has played over 90% of the snaps this season, but over the last two weeks has finally begun to grow into the passing game under Aaron Rodgers.
• The veteran has received 14 targets, catching nine of those passes for 110 yards, and while the Vikings stand tall as the top passing defense in the league they've allowed 8.6 passing attempts per game to opposing tight ends, ranking 14th overall against the position according to FTN.

There have been two touchdowns scored by tight ends against the Vikings in the last two weeks, with starters George Kittle and Tucker Kraft each finding paydirt.

Overall, this is a Vikings team which has held down the Giants' and Texans' weak tight end groups, but was crushed by the position against San Francisco and Green Bay to the tune of 18 catches on 22 targets for 168 yards.

Conklin's found his footing, and now it's time for him to finally find the end zone. For all the good Minnesota's done on defense, it's still allowed a touchdown on 50% of red zone trips, and there should be opportunity abound here for the big man.