Best Same Game Parlay Tonight: SGP Picks for Bears vs Vikings on Monday Night Football (Dec 16)

The Chicago Bears may be eliminated from the playoffs, but they'll have much to play for on Monday Night Football this week as they hunt down their first road win of the season against a division rival who could really use a victory this week.

(Photo by Stephen Maturen/Getty Images)

The Minnesota Vikings' spot in the playoffs is already reserved, but a win here would mean they remain level with the Detroit Lions for first place in the NFC North and keep them in the hunt for the No. 1 seed in the NFC.

Let's highlight a few players who should shine under the lights as we build a same-game parlay for Bears vs Vikings on Monday Night Football this week.

Best Same Game Parlay for Bears vs Vikings on Monday Night Football

Odds: +475 at DraftKings

• D'Andre Swift Over 67.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards
• Cole Kmet Over 25.5 Receiving Yards
• Aaron Jones Anytime TD

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D'Andre Swift Over 67.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards

While he currently stands as questionable for Monday Night Football, the Bears' coaching staff has given us every indication that D'Andre Swift will suit up against the Vikings. Considering his backup, Roschon Johnson, is set to miss the game, that should open the door for a potential season-high in snaps.

• With unquestioned volume, if Swift is indeed as healthy as Chicago has indicated, he's far and away the most intriguing bet on the board here.

There's very fair skepticism here regarding Swift as the once-dominant back has averaged a measly 3.84 yards per carry this season, but I think there's really only one way that Chicago can win this game.

The Vikings may be dominant against both the run and the pass, but there's little hope to be found in the arm of Caleb Williams these days. On the flip side, this is a backfield that's ranked 14th in EPA per rush over the last five weeks and that should be enough to influence this staff to lean on Swift as opposed to take their chances with Williams against a vaunted secondary.

• I do believe that Swift's going to be a bigger threat in the passing game, but I am willing to read into the recent trends on the ground with Chicago and take the added security of gaining yards two ways with the veteran.

Minnesota has allowed 6.2 targets per game to opposing running backs -- the seventh-highest number in football -- on account of its pass rush and coverage downfield. I suspect Chicago will look to draw up plenty of screen passes just as many of the Vikings' opponents have done this season, and without Johnson to steal away targets, Swift should be the beneficiary.

He managed to catch three passes for 35 yards last go around against the Vikings, failing to get home on this number by just three yards thanks to little volume on the ground. That should change here.

Cole Kmet Over 25.5 Receiving Yards

As it goes in games with a heavy favorite, you're going to find the best deals on NFL player props with underdogs. This number on Cole Kmet is especially interesting to me given his clunker last week against San Francisco has erased all faith from oddsmakers.

• The thing is, the 49ers have been one of the stingiest defenses in football against opposing tight ends, so Kmet's quiet day at the office which ended without a target is very much understandable.

Week 15 should offer plenty more hope, however, as Minnesota has allowed eight targets per game to opposing tight ends which is the fifth-highest number in the league.

In discussing Swift, we already highlighted the opportunities which Minnesota's brutal pass rush and lock-down secondary will allow short-yardage receivers in this game. Kmet should be in just as juicy a spot, especially since he had been trending up in cashing the over on this number three consecutive times up until last Sunday.

I'm not expecting a ton of success through the air for Chicago, but it's become clear in recent weeks that the Bears want to get Kmet involved more on offense. One of his recent success stories came against the Vikings in Week 12, too, when he put up one of his best games of the season with seven catches on 10 targets for 64 yards.

Aaron Jones Anytime TD

Finally, we'll get to someone who we can be absolutely certain in backing -- and that's Vikings running back Aaron Jones.

The shifty veteran hasn't done a ton of scoring this season, but does have a touchdown in three straight games now and will be in a prime spot to once again find paydirt against the Bears.

• Jones enjoyed a 106-yard game against Chicago a few weeks ago, finding the end zone in the process, and we are expecting a repeat performance here given he's going up against a defense which sits second-to-last in EPA allowed per rush in the last five weeks.

Chicago has allowed 1.2 rushing touchdowns a game on average, which ranks 26th in the NFL, though in an interesting twist it's ninth in overall touchdowns allowed per game and third in red-zone defense.

That means that the Vikings, who oddsmakers are expecting to score at least three times, should find at least one of those touchdowns from Jones on an explosive touchdown run out of the backfield. Furthermore, Cam Akers -- who has vultured a few touchdowns in the red zone -- will likely find it hard to do so given the trends laid out above.

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