
We'll be in for a very unusual game on Sunday Night Football this week as two teams with losing records do battle on primetime, but that doesn't mean it'll be bereft of money-making opportunities.
(Photo by Cooper Neill/Getty Images)
We'll attack a struggling Bengals defense two ways, with a budding star for the Giants who the market's yet to catch up to and the quarterback who his team's relied upon down near the goal line. We'll also cover why Joe Burrow could be in for a massive night as Cincinnati looks to get back on track.
Without further ado, let's build a same-game parlay for Bengals vs Giants on Sunday Night Football this October 13th.
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We'll start things off here by betting on the Giants' new running back by default in rookie Tyrone Tracy, Jr.
Tracy averaged a stunning 7.2 yards per carry in that one, something that should come as no surprise with how effective he's been in space with the ball in his hands on passing downs.
Now, he'll step into a friendly matchup with the Bengals, who rank 22nd in DVOA against the run and have watched opponents run the ball on 50.67% of plays this season, the fifth-highest rate in football.
The Giants don't love to run the ball, but things could quickly change with how good Tracy has been. This is a very attainable number given the volume of rushing attempts against Cincinnati and his efficiency, and it's worth noting that all but one starting back this year has hit at least 90 yards on the ground against the Bengals.
Next, we'll get cute and play an alternate line on Daniel Jones' passing touchdowns.
Jones sits tied for eighth in football with 22 passing attempts in the red zone this year, and while the Giants' offense hasn't been an exciting one -- and has failed to punch the ball across the goal line a ton -- they do sit tied for 14th in trips to the red zone.
The Bengals sit just outside the bottom five in the league in red zone defense, allowing a touchdown on two thirds of possessions inside the 20-yard line, and this should help New York turn its fortunes around near the end zone.
I expect the Giants to continue leaning on the arm of Jones down near the goal line, and in this matchup he should continue to generate points.
To cap things off, we'll head on over to the Bengals' side as we back yet another player to shine on offense in what should be a high-scoring affair.
We mentioned above that the Giants have lost Singletary for a bit, and on the same day they placed him on the injured list they were also forced to put edge rushed Kayvon Thibodeaux on the shelf for the near future.
Last week did mark the first time the Giants have allowed a 250-yard game to an opposing quarterback, but history is bound to repeat itself here for a team ranked just 19th in DVOA against the pass.
The Bengals rank seventh in the league in pass-play rate, and Burrow has been the main reason why when you consider he's now hit the over on this total in three of his last four games.
Burrow has averaged more than 300 yards per game over that span, and now owns a 72.25% completion percentage this year with a stunning 12 touchdowns and two interceptions. Sacks have held him and this offense back, as he's been dropped 11 times through five contests, but without Thibodeaux I think the Giants will fail to slow the former first overall pick down.
I'm confident in both offenses here, and think Burrow should shatter this mark.
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