Best Same Game Parlay Today: SGP Picks for Broncos vs Bills (Jan 12)

Our first game of an action-packed Sunday this Wild Card Weekend will take place in upstate New York where the Buffalo Bills will begin what they hope is a march to the playoffs against the Denver Broncos.

(Photo by Emilee Chinn/Getty Images)

As we anticipate a great showdown between two capable defenses, we'll highlight a few players that should be able to take advantage of the fact that each team will carry a great pass rush into this one.

Let's highlight a few players who should shine in this one as we build a same-game parlay for Broncos vs Bills on Sunday, January 12.

Best Same Game Parlay for Broncos vs Bills

Odds: +435 at DraftKings

• Josh Allen Over 42.5 Rushing Yards
• Bo Nix 25+ Rushing Yards
• Jaleel McLaughlin Over 1.5 Receptions

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Josh Allen Over 42.5 Rushing Yards

We'll start off with a look at this Broncos defense, which finished the year ranked second in Pass Rush Win Rate on the line and first in sack rate.

• That's generally the formula for an opposing quarterback to take off and run, and here we have no exception.

Up until last week's incredibly lopsided win over the Chiefs' backups, Denver had allowed 22 rushing attempts to opposing quarterbacks across its last four games, and on the year has allowed over five yards per carry to the position on eight occasions -- three of which came in the last four weeks.

Josh Allen doesn't need a second invitation to run the ball, either, averaging six totes per game at an average of 5.2 yards.

We know the playoffs is where quarterbacks take matters into their own hands when it comes to moving the ball downfield on the ground, too, and Allen eclipsed 70 rushing yards in both games he played last postseason. In fact, he's now hit this mark in all but three of his 10 career playoff games.

Allen carried the ball eight times per game over his last four contests and should remain very active here.

Bo Nix 25+ Rushing Yards

A similar story is unfolding on the other side of the ball, where Bo Nix will head up against a Bills defense that's sixth in win rate when it comes to getting to the passer, and while they're just 23rd in successfully sacking the quarterback that could help the worse of the two runners break free for some yards.

• Buffalo's made some great strides against the run, but it's still struggled on the edges and should afford Nix plenty of room to maneuver as he continues to grow more comfortable running the ball.

Nix has now run five or more times in 11 of his 17 games this year, hitting the 25-yard mark nine times. He's done so in three straight now, however, and has begun gaining more yards as teams respect his rapidly-developing arm.

The Bills did yield 10 rushing attempts to Drake Maye last week in a game which they needed to have, and against a handful of skilled runners this year that's remained a constant theme.

If Nix takes it himself as much as he's been doing, I very much expect him to far exceed this number but will play matters safe with a benchmark he's safely been hitting.

Jaleel McLaughlin Over 1.5 Receptions

As we get set to play into the narrative each team getting to the passer all game long, we'll back the man who Nix should be looking to as his safety valve in Jaleel McLaughlin.

The young back has seen a rather steady dose of snaps in the last five weeks, and in that time has been targeted at last once in his four games.

• With the strength of their pass rush, the Bills have allowed nearly seven targets per game to opposing running backs, the second-highest mark in the NFL.
• Considering there have been several teams worse when it comes to overall performance, I'll opt for the receptions total here with McLaughlin.

He's hauled in 88.9% of the targets that have come his way this year, establishing plenty of trust with Nix, and now in the biggest game of the year I expect him to be featured rather prominently.

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