Best Same Game Parlay Tonight: SGP Picks for Broncos vs Saints on Thursday Night Football (Oct 17)

We should be in for a fun affair on Thursday Night Football this week as two capable defenses do battle in New Orleans in a game which both teams will be desperate to win.

(Photo by Brooke Sutton/Getty Images)

New Orleans is expected to be down a key skill position player here as well as quarterback David Carr once again, which should open up an opportunity to bet on both of the men replacing those names in the lineup. We'll also take a look at one of the most exciting young talents in football who should draw a great matchup away from one of the game's top corners.

Without further ado, let's build a same-game parlay for Broncos vs Saints on Thursday Night Football this October 17th.

Best Same Game Parlay for Broncos vs Saints on Thursday Night Football

Odds: +500 at DraftKings

• Spencer Rattler Over 21.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
• Juwan Johnson Over 2.5 Receptions (-145)
• Devaughn Vele Over 32.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

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Spencer Rattler Over 21.5 Rushing Yards

You might gather this with some reasoning, but with an excellent secondary the Broncos have given many quarterbacks no choice but to run the ball.

• Not only has Denver been slightly worse against the run, ranking five spots lower in DVOA at 12th in the NFL, it's also allowed 22 or more yards on the ground in every game this season with the exception of its Week 3 over the Buccaneers.

Enter Rattler, a dual-threat rookie quarterback who will be making just the second start of his NFL career on Thursday.

• Rattler went for 27 yards on four rushes last week against Tampa Bay, running for his life as he was sacked a total of five times. This line should continue to cave when it takes on the Broncos, which should flush Rattler out of the pocket plenty more here.

It's generally good thinking to back a rookie quarterback with the ability to run to do so, as inexperience against NFL secondaries can cause them to be awfully cautious with the ball in their hands.

Rattler, who was picked off twice in his NFL debut and completed just 55% of his passes, certainly fits the bill. I expect some designed runs for the 24-year-old, and to make matters even sweeter he shouldn't have to worry about Taysom Hill, listed as doubtful, stealing away those snaps.

Juwan Johnson Over 2.5 Receptions

As Rattler looks to hit his safety valve in the passing game, Juwan Johnson should be there.

We just noted above that Hill will almost certainly miss this game, which means Johnson will have the tight end position all to himself on Thursday. With it, I expect him to receive a plethora of targets.

Not only is Johnson coming off a game against Tampa Bay where he caught three balls from Rattler in the rookie's first game, it marked the fourth game this year where he's received three or more passes thrown his way.

• Now, he'll step into a matchup against Denver, which has done a good job in containing opposing tight ends, but ranks fifth-worst in the league with 7.5 targets per game allowed to opposing tight ends.

Without anyone in his way to steal targets at the position, and with a long track record of being a reliable option in the passing game for New Orleans, Johnson should be in for a solid showing against the Broncos.

As Rattler panics in the face of pressure, looking for an open receiver just beyond the line of the line of scrimmage, he should find Johnson a number of times.

Devaughn Vele Over 32.5 Receiving Yards

We've only seen Devaughn Vele play just two games this year due to a rib injury, but when he's been on the field he's been a favorite of quarterback Bo Nix.

Vele went for 39 yards on a hefty eight catches in his NFL debut when the Broncos lost to the Chargers in Week 1, and after returning from a four-game absence last week he was brilliant again with 78 yards on four grabs.

• Vele should be in for a great matchup on Thursday against a Saints defense which ranks just 21st in DVOA against the WR2 position this season, allowing 58.4 yards per game on 5.7 targets.

The playmaking-rookie should be peppered with targets here considering New Orleans has been the best in the league against its opponents' top wideouts, so with Cortland Sutton neutralized the gameplan should call for plenty of Vele.

Nix should look to stay away from Marshon Lattimore as much as he possibly can, and that should result in the ball finding the hands of his budding young star.

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