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The Arizona Cardinals may have been eliminated from playoff contention in gruesome fashion last week against the Carolina Panthers, but they'll still have something to play for on Saturday night when they meet one of their division rivals.
With the NFC West up for grabs following the Seattle Seahawks' win on Thursday, the onus will be squarely on the Los Angeles Rams here to win a fifth straight and maintain their lead in the division. With some concerning trends developing on defense and a blowout win for Arizona in Week 2 to look back on, there should be several ways we can profit here.
Let's highlight a few players who should shine under the bright lights as we build a same-game parlay for Cardinals vs. Rams on Saturday night.
Odds: +700 at DraftKings
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We'll start here with Kyler Murray, who has been throwing the ball a ton over the last four weeks. He's averaged more than 36 attempts, completing 68.3% of his passes for 236.3 yards per game, and with nothing to lose on Saturday he should continue to air it out.
The Rams' defense has remained suspect in all facets of the game, and while many bettors may look to attack them with the run game, they're still just 24th in EPA allowed per dropback in those last five weeks.
Murray thew just 21 times in a big Week 2 win over the Rams, but he managed to amass 266 yards thanks to the generosity of this secondary and if the pass-heaviness continues this way he should have no issues coming home on this number despite failing to do so in two straight now.
Unfortunately, the books have yet to sort out this Cardinals backfield thanks to James Conner and his backup Trey Benson on the injury report, so this is the only way we're able to bet on Michael Carter.
Though Conner is expected to play, he very well may be doing so in a limited capacity in what's now a meaningless game, and with Benson looking unlikely to play it could mean the former Jets back is thrust into the lead role for Arizona.
Carter was dusted off for the first time all year in last week's loss to the Panthers, and he delivered in a big way through the air for Arizona in a surprising 36% of the team's snaps with five grabs for 30 yards. The Rams are sitting in the bottom third of the league in DVOA allowed to running backs in the passing game, and as we alluded to above they're also continuing to run out one of the worst run defenses in football.
L.A. is giving up 2.5 touchdowns per game, ranked just 16th in the NFL, and it's very likely one of perhaps three or more scores comes via Arizona's healthiest back.
Speaking of running backs, let's talk about Kyren Williams -- who's had the best stretch of his season over the last four weeks despite taking a slight hit in his snap count.
The lead back for L.A. has hit this number in each of those outings, averaging 4.4 yards per carry and 105.3 per game, and to make matters sweeter he should be quite busy on Saturday given the Rams are dead last in early-down pass rate over the last five weeks.
In yet another juicy matchup, the Rams should continue to pound the rock with Williams, and with the odds offered to us on the first two legs we'll have the opportunity to take this lower alternate line without sacrificing much on this payout.
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