Sports Reporter | Capper
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At 4-4 in what's a very winnable AFC South division, the Indianapolis Colts will once again turn to veteran Joe Flacco under center as they head to Minnesota to take on the 5-2 Vikings.
Minnesota has been incredible on both sides of the ball, but we should be able to exploit at least one of its weaknesses while making some money with a positive game script. We'll also cover the return of T.J. Hockenson, and explain why in just his first game back from injury he's lined up for a monster night.
Let's build a same-game parlay for Colts vs Vikings on Sunday Night Football this week.
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Like it or not, Joe Flacco is once again a starting quarterback in the NFL.
Indianapolis has thrown a surprising amount this season, doing so on 54.3% of occasions, and now Flacco will be plugged in to create a further pass-happy offense.
Indianapolis should have no choice but to throw on a defense which has been excellent against the run, holding just a couple of liabilities in the secondary, and Flacco has been known for connecting with his wideouts on deep balls for six this season. I think he'll help the Colts keep the scoreboard moving.
Jonathan Taylor isn't exactly a pass-catching back, so why's his receiving total sitting up this high, with a line of 2.5 on his total receptions?
While Minnesota's on a good job of getting to the ball carrier and limiting the yards it's allowed on these plays, it may not matter if Flacco decides to pepper his running back with the ball -- something he's proven he will do.
With Taylor inactive, Trey Sermon was targeted a total of six times in Week 5 against Jacksonville, and in Flacco's lone appearance off the with Taylor he found him twice for 20 yards.
Sermon doesn't appear to be challenging Taylor for snaps by any means, and in game which will feature one of the stronger pass rushes in the league against a questionable line, short passes to Taylor out of the backfield should be on the menu.
I like the yards here rather than the receptions given Taylor has done a ton with the ball in his hands, going for 12.7 yards per catch this year.
After we were teased last week, this should finally be the game in which T.J. Hockenson makes his long-awaited season debut.
Hockenson enjoyed plenty of volume last year in Minnesota, going for 50 or more yards in all but two games, and now he'll enter into a lineup which has ranked inside the top four in DVOA through the air -- in a dream matchup to boot.
The Colts are nearing the bottom five in DVOA against the pass on the other side of the coin, and they've had a myriad of issues against tight ends. They've given up 7.4 targets per game to the position and rank 27th in DVOA, most recently allowing Dalton Schultz to amass 52 yards on four grabs this week.
Indy's allowed 40 yards to five of the six starting tight ends it's faced, with the Titans' abysmal offense the only exception. If he plays, he'll soar over this number.
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