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Best Same Game Parlay Today: SGP Picks for Commanders vs Eagles in NFC Championship Game (Jan 26)

Publish Date: 01/25/2025
Fact checked by: Sara Jane Gamelli

We'll watch the first of two teams punch their ticket to the NFC Championship Game on Sunday afternoon in Philadelphia as the Eagles get set to play host to a Commanders team which few expected to make it this far.

While the Commanders have won two straight in impressive fashion, their defense has still been in question which should be good news for two skill position players for the home side. We're also going to discuss what Philly's excellent pass rush should mean for Jayden Daniels as he continues his ascent.

Let's highlight a few players who should shine in this one as we build a same-game parlay for Commanders vs Eagles in the NFC Championship Game on Sunday, January 26.

Best Same Game Parlay for Commanders vs Eagles

Odds: +465 at DraftKings

  • Saquon Barkley 130+ Rushing Yards
  • Jayden Daniels 10+ Rushing Attempts
  • Dallas Goedert 40+ Receiving Yards

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Saquon Barkley 130+ Rushing Yards

It's a rather comical line, sure, but when you look at the way Barkley has been running the ball his last four games in particular it begins to make some sense.

  • Barkley averaged over 125 yards per game this season on the ground, and h's now gone for 150 or mor in three of his last four contests with 25 or more carries in each.

This matchup shouldn't scare Philadelphia away from leaning on its lead man, either, considering he went for at least 150 yards and two touchdowns in each of his two games against Washington, either.

The Commanders' defense may have been almost equally bad against the run and the pass this season, but against the run in particular they were considerably weaker, ranking 26th in DVOA. Their secondary has actually shown some signs of improving during the playoffs, too, but their front seven has stumbled in allowing four yards per carry to Tampa Bay and 8.7 on average to Detroit.

Barkley's usage should be high here as Philly looks to lay the wood on a defense which has allowed 51 points across its last two games and has been buoyed by its offense.

Jayden Daniels 10+ Rushing Attempts

Speaking of that Commanders offense, the man who's spear-headed this storybook run has done plenty of running himself.

  • Jayden Daniels will enter into a familiar matchup against a Philadelphia Eagles team which has gotten to the quarterback all season long, ranking eighth in pass rush win rate, forcing Daniels in particular to operate outside of the pocket.

The rookie signalcaller rushed just seven times for 18 yards the first time these teams met, but did go for 81 yards on nine carries the second go-around which begun a trend I'm paying attention to here.

Since Week 14, Daniels has carried the ball nine or more times in all but one of his last seven games, which came in the final week of the season against a depleted Cowboys side. He rushed 13 times against Tampa Bay, and 16 times against Detroit, solidifying this trend.

I'm a bit scared to pay up for his yards here, given he's hit 50 or more just once in his last four -- and just barely, at that -- but I do have plenty of faith that this pass rush will flush him outside of the pocket and force him to run.


Dallas Goedert 40+ Receiving Yards

The Eagles spent nearly a month without Dallas Goedert, but they've since unleashed him in the last three weeks in targeting him a total of 16 times.

  • In each of these three games back from injury, Goedert has caught exactly four passes for 40 or more yards -- going for 55 or more in two of those contests.

Goedert was able to catch all five passes thrown his way for 61 yards the only time he squared off with Washington this season, and I have full faith he should be able to notch a measly 40 here given he should be uniquely positioned to take it to the Commanders.

Washington has ranked 26th in DVOA against opposing tight ends this season, allowing an average of six catches for 41.1 yards, so I think yardage is the best way to go with Goedert -- particularly given the number -- and the cheaper price in comparison to taking him for four grabs.

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