Sports Reporter | Capper
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Neither the Dallas Cowboys or San Francisco 49ers have begun the season the way they'd have hoped, but things can turn right around on Sunday night as they meet under the lights in a pivotal game.
The Cowboys will enter San Francisco unbeaten in three road games this year, hoping for a better showing out of their defense which will meet a wounded 49ers offense. I'll be shopping for some discounts with San Francisco before targeting a friendly matchup on offense for Dallas.
Let's build a same-game parlay for Cowboys vs 49ers on Sunday Night Football this October 27th.
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Despite both teams struggling against the run this year, we're going to go contrarian with this parlay which all about the pass.
Starting things off, we'll back Brock Purdy to go for 240 yards -- something he failed to do a week ago against a formidable Chiefs secondary but that he's done five times in seven starts this year.
It's true that San Francisco ranks just 22nd in pass play rate, but it's still managed to rack up 8.4 yards per attempt this year through the air this year which ranks fourth in the NFL. On top of that, it's protected the ball incredibly well, and I suspect this game will have a back-and-forth nature to it that will keep the 49ers throwing the ball as they remain locked in a tight battle.
The odds won't change all that much if we dip down to 5.5 receiving yards on Mason, which you'll find under his alternate lines, but I think he will once again see action in the passing game against Dallas as he's begun to grow into a pass-catching back.
The Cowboys are without Parsons, laying waste to their ability to cover running backs in space, and Mason will be operating on a favorable side of the field with Marist Liufau and struggling corner Andrew Booth, Jr. looking to pick him up.
Dallas has also lacked quality at the safety position, and as Purdy looks to throw a bit more here I think he'll find Mason a few times. Keep in mind, too, that both Deebo Samuel and George Kittle are dealing with injuries -- that could force the ball into Mason's hands even more.
On the other side of this one, we'll look to pick on the usually-reliable Charvarius Ward in the midst of a brutal start to the season.
San Francisco has struggled against the WR2 position as a result, ranking 29th in DVOA and allowing 63.7 yards per game on just 5.4 targets.
Tolbert is coming off a game where he played a season-high 93% of the snaps, racking up 40 or more yards for the fourth time in six games -- and the fourth time in the last five weeks.
The speedster has now been targeted a total of 15 times in the last two weeks, and with Brandin Cooks sidelined he should be the one to gain separation in what's the best matchup on the field for Dallas.
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