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Best Same Game Parlay Tonight: SGP Picks for Dolphins vs Rams on Monday Night Football (Nov 11)

Publish Date: 11/11/2024
Fact checked by: Allan Howe

The Miami Dolphins have already welcomed quarterback Tua Tagovailoa back into the fold, but as we get set to wrap up Week 10 things haven't exactly gotten better.

(Photo by Bryan Bennett/Getty Images)

Miami is reeling, dropping to 2-6 last week with a third consecutive loss, and will have their work cut out for them against the capable Los Angeles Rams.

Let's take a look at what Tua's return has meant for the Dolphins and highlight a few players who should shine under the lights as we build a same-game parlay for Dolphins vs Rams on Monday Night Football this week.

Best Same Game Parlay for Dolphins vs Rams on Monday Night Football

Odds: +470 at DraftKings

  • De'Von Achane Over 107.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards
  • Jaylen Waddle Over 3.5 Receptions
  • Cooper Kupp Over 67.5 Receiving Yards

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De'Von Achane Over 104.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards

I simply do not care how high this line climbs, you have to bet on Achane in what's a dream spot against the Rams.

  • Los Angeles has had some serious issues on the defensive end, ranking well inside the bottom 10 in DVOA against both the run and the pass, but their performance against running backs, in particular, has been abysmal.

L.A. is sitting in 24th against the run and ranks dead last in DVOA against running backs in the passing game, allowing almost eight yards per target.

This should have Achane's backers salivating, considering he's one of the most talented men in the league with the ball in his hands. He has eclipsed this total by a wide margin in both games since Tagovailoa's return, and he could push for a cover here solely with his work on the ground.

Jaylen Waddle Over 3.5 Receptions

There may have been no player happier to see Tagovailoa back than Jaylen Waddle, who was lost in obscurity without his quarterback.

When he did return, Waddle was targeted six times against a dreadful Arizona Cardinals secondary, and while Week 9 against a better Bills defense didn't go his way this should be the night to back him once again.

  • Waddle will draw a great matchup with struggling outside corner Cobie Durant, who ranks 85th among 102 cornerbacks this year in coverage according to Pro Football Focus.
  • Los Angeles, as a unit, has given up the sixth-most targets per game to the WR2 position, a product of the poor season Durant has had to this point.

Without John Johnson III at safety, and with Miami's starting quarterback reinstalled, we've got to find a way to attack this Rams secondary. Waddle's receptions should be the way, considering he's been used as a possession receiver who gains his yards after the catch ever since being drafted into a Dolphins offense which focuses in on quick passes.


Cooper Kupp Over 67.5 Receiving Yards

Finally, we'll target a flaw in the other defense taking the field on Monday and back Kupp to have a big night as L.A. looks to keep pace with a suddenly strong Dolphins offense.

  • Kupp will have the favorable matchup on the other side of the ball, lining up against slot corner Kader Kohou -- ranked 80th in coverage according to PFF.

The Dolphins rank 30th of the 32 teams in DVOA against the WR1 position, despite allowing just 5.7 targets per game, which leads me to Kupp's yardage rather than his receptions.

The shifty possession receiver is averaging a solid 75.5 yards per game this season, and while he's had a down year in terms of his yards per catch, he should bounce back in a big way against a Miami team that's had a world of trouble covering the slot and making tackles after the catch.

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