Best Same Game Parlay Tonight: SGP Picks for Falcons vs Raiders on Monday Night Football (Dec 16)

The Atlanta Falcons have hit a snag at the worst possible time, dropping four straight games to bring their playoff chances down to just 26% entering Monday Night Football this week.

(Photo by Todd Kirkland/Getty Images)

After enduring a tough schedule, they'll be delighted to find the Las Vegas Raiders on the other side of the field as they look to remain very much in the mix for a spot in the postseason -- but their defense could make life tricky even against a team which has struggled to move the ball.

Let's highlight a few players who should shine under the lights as we build a same-game parlay for Falcons vs Raiders on Monday Night Football this week.

Best Same Game Parlay for Falcons vs Raiders on Monday Night Football

Odds: +395 at DraftKings

• Kirk Cousins 2+ Passing TDs
• Jakobi Myers Over 5.5 Receptions
• Sincere McCormick Over 66.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards

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Kirk Cousins 2+ Passing TDs

It's an understandably tough sell to suggest betting on Kirk Cousins to throw for two touchdowns after going four straight weeks without one, but after running through some brutal defenses in recent weeks he should get back to business against a very generous Raiders secondary.

• Las Vegas has allowed three touchdowns per game -- the seventh-most in the NFL -- but it's allowed just 0.9 per game to com on the ground.

Furthermore, this is a secondary that's crumbled late in the season in ranking 31st in Success Rate and 30th in EPA on dropbacks. The Raiders did some good work against the pass in the second half of last season under Antonio Pierce, but after carrying that over to 2024 things have quickly gone south with several linebackers and down lineman hitting the shelf.

With Sam Webb looking likely to join fellow corner Jakorian Bennett on the sidelines here, the problems should persist and a hungry Falcons offense should torment this waning defense.

Jakobi Myers Over 5.5 Receptions

We alluded to some defensive struggles for Atlanta above, and now we'll look to capitalize with some value props with the underdog Raiders.

Jakobi Myers will kick us off, considering he's seemed to be the entire offense for Las Vegas in recent weeks.

• The wideout has now been targeted 10 or more times in three straight games, hauling in at least six passes in each contest, and should stand a good chance of stringing together another positive performance on Monday.

The Falcons sit just 26th in EPA allowed per dropback in the last five weeks, and that's a number worth reading into considering they check in 27th in DVOA against the pass.

Their struggles seem to stem from an abysmal 74.3 yards allowed per game to the WR1 position on a hefty 8.4 targets, and with good numbers against slot receivers and tight ends that should mean there's nowhere else to go if we want to target this secondary.

I know we don't look at Aidan O'Connell as a good quarterback, but he's been much more trustworthy with the ball in his hands than Gadner Minshew. He's expected to play here after an injury scare last week, and if he does, Myers should be happy about that given he's been featured heavily in the last two weeks with his new signalcaller.

Sincere McCormick Over 66.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards

Ah, yes. It's that time of year again when mounting injuries and underperforming veterans bring us starters at skill position players who we know little about.

• Sincere McCormick certainly qualifies as one of those men, and he should live up to his A-grade name in this one against a Falcons defense which has also ranked 23rd in Success Rate against the run in the last five weeks and 27th in DVOA against the run this season.

McCormick is an incredible story, leading Conference USA in rushing two straight years with UTSA and finding his way on to the Raiders' practice squad after going undrafted in 2022. After an injury, and a ton of patience, he finally found his way to the NFL just three weeks ago and has been absolutely cooking for this team.

The 24-year-old has gone for 5.47 yards per carry on 32 totes against three good defenses, and now he'll draw his best matchup yet against Atlanta. I'm going to back him for another big game, and after catching two passes in each of his last two games I think we'll want to add in his receiving yards here as well, despite the Falcons being rather stingy against his position through the air.

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