Best Same Game Parlay Tonight: SGP Picks for Jets vs Steelers on Sunday Night Football (Oct 20)

The New York Jets are on the road back to .500, and that begins under the bright lights of Sunday Night Football in Pittsburgh this week.

(Photo by Justin Ford/Getty Images)

The Steelers are just 1-1 at home and have begun to head in the wrong direction after a hot 3-0 start, dropping winnable games against the Colts and Cowboys before cruising past one of the league's worst teams in Las Vegas.

The test should become much tougher for this defense to continue holding strong, and with the pass-heavy Jets on the calendar we'll take a look at three ways to back Gang Green on primetime.

Let's build a same-game parlay for Jets vs Steelers on Sunday Night Football this October 20th.

Best Same Game Parlay for Jets vs Steelers on Sunday Night Football

Odds: +440 at DraftKings

• Aaron Rodgers Over 21.5 Completions (-105)
• Breece Hall Over 25.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
• Tyler Conklin Over 2.5 Receptions (-105)

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Aaron Rodgers Over 21.5 Completions

As the weeks go on, the Jets throw the ball more and more often. They now sit third in the league in pass play rate, and after a miserable first two games for this offense the run has all been abandoned with Aaron Rodgers throwing the ball 41.5 times per game over the last four.

• That should continue to hold true on Sunday, considering the Steelers rank 15th in DVOA against the pass and a remarkable fifth against the run.

Pittsburgh lost starting corner Cory Trice, Jr. to injury before the season, and have endured two miserable starts from Joey Porter, Jr. and Donte Jackson at the position. Now, linebacker Nick Herbig is sidelined and this team should stand a much worse chance of getting anything done against Rodgers.

• The veteran grades out as the second-best passer on screen plays according to Pro Football Focus, sitting sixth in pass attempts in the play concept.

With the linebackers and corners struggling in coverage, I expect Rodgers to dink and dunk his way to more than 22 completions for a fifth straight week.

Breece Hall Over 25.5 Receiving Yards

As you may have guessed, the primary beneficiary of all these screen passes should be Breece Hall.

The Steelers rank third-worst in the league in DVOA against running backs on passing plays, and Hall has done more than enough to prove him with the ball thrown his way.

• Hall may have been overlooked in the passing game against Denver and Minnesota, but responded with five catches for 56 yards last week against Buffalo.

He's now averaging 7.85 yards per catch, hauling in 76.5% of his targets and receiving at least five in all but one of his six games this season. I expect him to be peppered here, and with the way the Steelers have defended the position it's unlikely he's contained on his catches. It may only take three receptions to get home here.

Tyler Conklin Over 2.5 Receptions

The final man we'll take a look at here is Tyler Conklin, who's been fully baptized into this passing game.

• He's now played at least 82% of the snaps in all but one game this season, and until he met a strong linebacking group last week against the Bills he'd been cooking after a slow first two weeks.

From Week 3 to Week 5, Conklin averaged 7.7 targets per game, responding by going for 11 yards per catch. He's one of the few reliable options for Rodgers right now, and with Pittsburgh's issues in covering in short yardage, a man who's now been targeted three or more times in four straight should haul in three passes.

The Steelers have allowed 7.8 targets per game to opposing tight ends, the fourth most in the league, and rank just 22nd in DVOA against tight ends. Back Conklin to rebound from a quiet night against the Bills.

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