Best Same Game Parlay Tonight: SGP Picks for Packers vs Seahawks on Sunday Night Football (Dec 15)

The Seattle Seahawks are on a roll, and now they'll get wideout DK Metcalf back from injury in Week 15 as they look for a fifth straight victory against the mighty Green Bay Packers.

The Packers are fresh off a heartbreaking loss to the Detroit Lions, and once again will be without the added advantage of playing in Green Bay, where they've won five of their last six.

Let's highlight a few players who should shine under the lights as we build a same-game parlay for Packers vs Seahawks on Sunday Night Football this week.

Best Same Game Parlay for Packers vs Seahawks on Sunday Night Football

Odds: +525 at DraftKings

• Jordan Love Over 19.5 Completions
• Zach Charbonnet Over 29.5 Receiving Yards
• Noah Fant Over 2.5 Receptions

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Jordan Love Over 19.5 Completions

We'll start out with one line that's a bit of a head-scratcher for me, and that's the line on Jordan Love's completions which is set at a suspiciously low 19.5.

• Now, when something seems too good to be true in betting, then it likely is, but I'm willing to take the bait here with the understanding as to why oddsmakers might be doubting Love on Sunday night.

Seattle's been excellent against the pass, there's no getting around it. It ranks ninth in DVOA through the air for the year and third in EPA allowed per dropback over the last five weeks, but I fear that many are falling into the trap of reading too far into these analytics.

What I'm encouraged by is the fact that Seattle is a much-lower 11th in Success Rate allowed per dropback, signaling that it's limited the damage and hasn't completely stopped quarterbacks from at least finding the hands of their receivers. Furthermore, the Seahawks are just 19th in completion rate allowed, and has given up 33.7 passing attempts pr game.

With all of that now laid out, I can relay the information that would initially have bettors flocking to this line. The Seahawks have allowed 20 or more completions in all of their last seven games, and while Love hasn't racked up many in recent weeks he's still hit this number five times in 12 games.

• The biggest thing here is that the Packers had no reason to throw the ball in the majority of these games, and after having success through the air the first go around against Detroit, the Lions gameplanned well and shut Love down last week.

I expect a rather close game with Seattle surging in recent weeks, and that should influence Love to go after a secondary which has been more vulnerable than meets the eye.

Zach Charbonnet Over 29.5 Receiving Yards

As one of his biggest fans, the first thing I did when I heard news of another Zach Charbonnet start was race to the sportsbook to see what kind of deals we'd be getting. I wasn't quite moved by the modest line set on his rushing total, but I do think there's an abundance of value in backing the talented young back as a pass-catcher on Sunday.

• The Packers have yielded 6.5 targets per game to opposing running backs this year, the sixth-most in football, and in general they've done a poor job of covering pass-catchers out of the backfield with a DVOA against the position which ranks just 19th.

That's all I need to hear before backing Charbonnet to have yet another impressive performance after catching seven passes for 59 yards in place of the injured Kenneth Walker III last week.

Charbonnet is averaging 7.3 yards per catch, and has hauled in nearly 84% of his targets, so the Packers' generosity towards opposing backs should be fully taken advantage of in this matchup. The UCLA product is also one of the better receiving backs in the game in terms of making things happen after the catch, so I see this number as highly-attainable.

Noah Fant Over 2.5 Receptions

Finally, it wouldn't be a same-game parlay without some love for the tight end position.

Noah Fant is entering this game on a bit of a roll, catching three or mor passes in six straight contests, and there should be little stopping him from extending that streak against Green Bay.

• The Packers have made a habit out of struggling against the pass in short-yardage situations, with the running back position giving them fits, and against opposing tight ends they've allowed 8.2 targets per game which challenges for the top spot in the NFL.

Green Bay has not only allowed plenty of action against tight ends, but it also sits in the bottom five of the league in DVOA against the position which should further entice us to go for Fant's receiving prop here.

• The Packers rank second-worst in the NFL in Success Rate per dropback in the last five weeks and zooming out to their last six games, they've allowed a stunning 7.6 yards per completion with a 73.6% completion rate against them.

I expect plenty out of Geno Smith in this game, and it should be his trusty receivers just a few yards away from the line of scrimmage that come through for him when he needs them most.

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