Best Same Game Parlay NFL Tonight: SGP Picks for Seahawks vs Lions on Monday Night Football (Sept 30)

The second game of the night in our Monday Night Football double feature should be an excellent one, as the unbeaten Seattle Seahawks head to the Midwest to take on the 2-1 Detroit Lions, looking for some palpable momentum heading into a difficult part of their schedule.

(Photo by Adam Glanzman/Getty Images)

While Detroit's been excellent against the run, its performance against the pass could open the door for Geno Smith to enjoy yet another big night, and we'll combine that narrative by buying very low on one of football's top red zone threats from a year ago who's yet to score through three games.

Without further ado, let's build a same-game parlay for Seahawks vs Lions on Monday Night Football this September 30th.

Best Same Game Parlay for Seahawks vs Lions on Monday Night Football

Odds: +754 at FanDuel

• Geno Smith Over 244.5 Passing Yards (-113)
• Kenneth Walker III Under 54.5 Rushing Yards (-113)
• Sam LaPorta Anytime Touchdown (+210)

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Geno Smith Over 244.5 Passing Yards

We'll kick things off in style here with one of my favorite bets of the entire week, which is on Geno Smith to eclipse his passing total.

The veteran quarterback has had to take matters into his own hands in the last two weeks against some solid rushing defenses, and after putting up 327 yards against the New England Patriots he followed it up with a 289-yard day against the Miami Dolphins.

Had it not been for the lopsided nature of that game, we may have seen him hit the 300-yard plateau once again.

• The Lions come into this one ranked just 21st in EPA per dropback and grade out just 26th in coverage according to Pro Football Focus.
• While the surface-level stats don't seem all that comforting for Smith's believers here, it's important to note that we saw two volatile quarterbacks do battle with Detroit in recent weeks with Baker Mayfield and Kyler Murray electing not to pass the ball all that much, but the story on Monday should be different.

With Seattle entering as the underdog on the road, likely taking the Lions' best punch here amidst an up-and-down start and due for some regression, Smith should be airing it out all night long.

Smith's graded out as PFF's eighth-best passer this season, producing just one turnover-worthy play and coming in with an excellent 83.8% adjusted completion percentage. He's played far better than you might think, and in a soft matchup I'm looking to profit off him.

Kenneth Walker III Under 54.5 Rushing Yards

While we'll be sticking with the narrative here as we bet the under on Walker's rushing yards in a game which should feature a heavy dose of passing, particularly with Seattle expected to trail, there are plenty of reasons to short him.

• Detroit comes into this one ranked eighth-best in success rate allowed on the ground, and has allowed just 138 yards to opposing running backs this season on 50 carries.
• Walker will be making his return from injury after missing the past two weeks, too, and may be eased back into action here with the way Zachary Charbonnet has run the ball.

Charbonnet was an acclaimed runner at UCLA, earning a second-round selection in last year's draft, and with Walker out he's had the opportunity to showcase his potential with a stellar two-touchdown performance against the Dolphins last week and 5.1 yards per carry to boot.

I'm not so certain that Seattle, long known for its juggling of the running back position, will decide to lean so heavily on Walker here. I expect Charbonnet to remain a feature of this offense, especially with Walker's recent injury, and with that this number is still too high for my liking in a tough matchup.

Sam LaPorta Anytime Touchdown

Sam LaPorta was the top tight end in the red zone a season ago, hauling in 10 passes for 91 yards and seven touchdowns, but we've yet to see the talented pass-catcher make a real mark in his sophomore campaign.

• That could all change on Monday, when LaPorta meets a Seahawks team that has had a miserable time covering opposing tight ends.

Seattle has allowed 10.1 yards per catch to the position through three games, yielding 22 targets in all over the last two weeks for 15 catches and 160 yards.

• While we might be inclined to simply bet the over on LaPorta's receptions or even his yards here, I think the time is now to capitalize on some touchdown odds that have drifted far too much.

Yes, LaPorta has received just one target in the red zone this year, but the sample is limited and the coaching staff remains the same in Detroit from a year ago -- when he emerged as one of the league's very best threats inside the 20.

With the second-year tight end continuing to produce, catching eight of 10 targets for 11.8 yards per reception through three games, we can be sure if he's looked to near the end zone that he'll produce.

This is a position that the Seahawks simply haven't solved all year long, and the total -- set at 47 points -- implies that we'll see several players reach paydirt in this one. Back the big man.

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