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Best Same Game Parlay Tonight: SGP Picks for Steelers vs Browns on Thursday Night Football (Nov 21)

Publish Date: 11/21/2024
Fact checked by: Allan Howe

A prototypical Thursday Night Football game is brewing this week between two teams that like to play ugly.

(Photo by Perry Knotts/Getty Images)

The Pittsburgh Steelers have ridden their elite defense to an 8-2 record, taking a five-game winning streak into Cleveland where they'll face the middling Browns who own just two wins in 10 games this year. With Russell Wilson at the helm, might we be able to target some props on Pittsburgh's side to find a winning combination?

Let's highlight a few players who should shine under the lights as we build a same-game parlay for Steelers vs Browns on Thursday Night Football this week.

Best Same Game Parlay for Steelers vs Browns on Thursday Night Football

Odds: +420 at DraftKings

  • Russell Wilson Over 186.5 Passing Yards
  • George Pickens Over 4.5 Receptions
  • Jerry Jeudy Over 3.5 Receptions

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Russell Wilson Over 186.5 Passing Yards

It's always a good decision to bet on Russell Wilson in primetime, and Thursday should be no exception. The Browns have been pretty bad in just about every aspect on defense, but their secondary has been far worse than their front seven against the run.

  • Cleveland ranks fifth-worst in DVOA against the pass, and while opponents have leaned towards running the ball against this team it's important to note that it's allowed a ridiculous 7.8 yards per attempt to rank second-worst in the NFL.

The Steelers aren't a team that's overly-inclined to throw the ball, but the Browns have at least been closer to average against the run and with Wilson taking over four games ago we've seen much more of a trust in the passing game.

Wilson has gone over this mark in every game he's played with the Steelers, and while he's only averaged 200 yards per game in his last two contests those have come against two teams that have been much stronger against the pass -- particularly the Baltimore Ravens last week who suffocate the run.

With the Browns running out a strong front seven and a very weak safety group, I expect Wilson to have some fun here under the lights.

George Pickens Over 4.5 Receptions

The primary beneficiary of an unseasonably heavy dose of passing should be George Pickens, a talented wideout who has done nothing but eat since Wilson was inserted as the starting quarterback.

  • In the four games he's played with Wilson under center, Pickens has gone over this benchmark three times and is averaging a hefty 7.3 targets per contest.

Pickens should crucially draw a matchup with Martin Emerson, Jr. on the outside -- a corner who ranks seventh-worst in the league in coverage and has contributed to Cleveland sitting 28th in DVOA to the WR1 position.

  • The Browns have allowed 7.7 targets per game to their opponents' top wideouts, and with a good pass rush it would seem Wilson will be looking for his most trustworthy possession receiver for short completions.

There's just no way the ball doesn't wind up in the hands of Pickens all night as Pittsburgh looks to continue proving itself offensively in a soft matchup.


Jerry Jeudy Over 3.5 Receptions

The Steelers' pass rush has actually lagged behind the Browns in terms of getting to the quarterback, which should give Jameis Winston some time to throw the ball as Cleveland looks to keep pace in this one as the underdog.

  • One man who should feature is the shifty Jerry Jeudy, who is excellent at getting separation and will find himself open if Winston has time in the pocket as we expect.

As great as the Steelers have been defensively, it's been the safety group which has carried most of the load as this solid front-seven has done the rest, shutting down the run and making life miserable on opponents.

The corner play, meanwhile, has ben suspect with Joey Porter, Jr. and Donte Jackson both suffering through poor seasons -- and it's highly likely that the ability of Jeudy to get open will lead to a big night.

It's not as if this is suddenly a great offense with Winston at the helm, but it's been noticeably better in recent weeks. Jeudy has certainly been enjoying life with his new signalcaller, averaging six catches on 10 targets per game in his last three.

This should be one of the lone bright spots for the Browns on an ugly night.

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