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Best Same Game Parlay Tonight: SGP Picks for Texans vs Cowboys on Monday Night Football (Nov 18)

Publish Date: Nov 18, 2024
Fact checked by: Sara Jane Gamelli

The Houston Texans are desperate for a win, dropping three of their last four games as their lead in the AFC South diminishes with each passing week.

(Photo by Cooper Neill/Getty Images)

Now, things get interesting this week as they take on their in-state rivals in a game where their opponents have little to lose with no expectations of making the playoffs.

Let's break down how this one should go, and highlight some players who should shine under the lights as we build a same-game parlay for Texans vs Cowboys on Monday Night Football this week.

Best Same Game Parlay for Texans vs Cowboys on Monday Night Football

Odds: +546 at FanDuel

  • Rico Dowdle 50+ Rushing Yards
  • CeeDee Lamb Over 6.5 Receptions
  • C.J. Stroud Under 241.5 Passing Yards

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Rico Dowdle 50+ Rushing Yards

My first order of business here is grabbing an alternate line on Rico Dowdle's rushing prop, which won't come at a great cost at all and helps us get to the magic number of 50.

  • That's a total which Dowdle has reached in two straight weeks, and three of the last four, as he enters into what could be a productive matchup against the Texans.

Now, you might call me crazy -- and you'd have every right given the state of the team -- but I'm not so sure the Cowboys won't make this a game. That starts with Dowdle, considering on of the few weak spots for this Texans team seems to be the run.

  • Houston had two rough showings against the Colts and Jets' rushing attacks in recent weeks, and on the flip side the Cowboys have now gone out and rushed for more than four yards per carry over the last two games.

That directly coincides with Cooper Rush taking over for the injured Dak Prescott under center, and with no choice but to run the Cowboys -- averse to the ground game all year -- may find some continued success in this matchup.

CeeDee Lamb Over 6.5 Receptions

The other guy I want to buy a share of in this game is CeeDee Lamb.

  • Now, the Texans have done a bang-up job on defense all season long, which has helped buoy a weak offense, but against the WR1 position they rank just 21st in DVOA and have allowed more than eight targets per game, which ranks eighth-worst as well.

Speaking of targets, it would seem that the transition from Prescott to Rush has gone smoothly for Lamb. He's led the team in targets by a wide margin over the last two games, totaling 22 altogether and continuing on with a run of 10 or more targets in four straight games.

Working out of the slot, Lamb should at times avoid the blanketing of talented corners Kamari Lassiter and Derek Stingley, Jr. and have a crack at a struggling Eric Murray at free safety.


C.J. Stroud Under 241.5 Passing Yards

Finally, we'll continue backing some developing trends for these two teams and short C.J. Stroud's passing total -- currently sitting just over 240 yards.

  • The Cowboys have ranked dead last in pass-play rate allowed, with a porous run defense which has led to their quick demise, and with Houston leaning heavily on Joe Mixon to get anything going offensively there should be little reason to air it out here.

Stroud has failed to hit this mark in three of his last four games, and it can't be understated how great this matchup is for the Texans on the ground.

Opponents have run for 4.7 yards per carry on the Cowboys, ranked 23rd in the league, and Dallas is also sitting second-worst with 152.1 total yards allowed pr game on the ground along with 1.7 rushing touchdowns per game.

If you like the Texans to blow out the Cowboys here, too, this prop will neatly fit the game script.

If you want to know what's fresh, go no further than our Betting News Section.

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