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Best Same Game Parlay Tonight: SGP Picks for Titans vs Dolphins on Monday Night Football (Sept 30)

Publish Date: 09/30/2024
Fact checked by: Allan Howe

The Miami Dolphins are at a crossroads, sitting at 2-1 and playing without not one, but two quarterbacks as we enter Week 4.

With Tua Tagovailoa on injured reserve, the team lost backup Skylar Thompson to a rib injury and will now turn to Tyler Huntley as they seek a crucial win over the winless Tennessee Titans.

(Photo by Perry Knotts/Getty Images)

With Tennessee running out the inexperienced Will Levis and missing two key members in the secondary, this one could very well be a wild, wide-open affair.

That calls for the combination of some player props, and we'll mix some up as we create the best same-game parlay for Titans vs Dolphins on Monday Night Football.

Best Same Game Parlay for Titans vs Dolphins on Monday Night Football

Odds: +570 at FanDuel

  • Tyreek Hill Over 4.5 Receptions Yards (-102)
  • De'Von Achane Over 84.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards (-115)
  • Tyjae Spears Over 39.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards (-115)

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Tyreek Hill Over 4.5 Receptions

The first order of business will be backing the talented Tyreek Hill on Monday night.

With Huntley under center, we can get a pretty clear idea of how the Dolphins are going to play this one. The journeyman has done nothing but favor short passes over his career, attempting 43.2% of his passes within nine yards of the line of scrimmage a season ago and 54.9% in more action during the 2022 season.

  • Hill's led the Dolphins in targets under nine yards down the field, something that's no surprise after he led in that category by a wide margin last year, and in recent weeks has been working over the middle of the field which is specifically where Huntley's gone with the ball.
  • On top of that, L'Jarius Sneed -- who will be tasked with covering Hill -- is listed as questionable for this one and isn't looking good to play.

I'm not a huge fan of taking the yards with Hill, considering his numbers after the catch aren't stellar on short passes, but I do think he should feature heavily as a short-yardage option for Huntley.

De'Von Achane Over 84.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards

We know that the Dolphins won't be in love with the idea of throwing the ball here considering Huntley will get the start, but that goes doubly considering just how bad the Tennessee Titans have been against the run.

  • The Titans enter this game ranked 24th in run defense, receiving a poor 59.6 grade from Pro Football Focus.
  • They've allowed 95 or more yards to opposing running backs in consecutive games, but a crucial figure here is how those backs have fared in the passing game.

Jets running backs combined for 95 yards on nine catches in Week 2, and this defense followed up that showing by allowing three catches for 40 yards to Green Bay's backs.

With 9.58 yards per reception going out to opposing backs and some brutal grades against the run, De'Vone Achane should have a field day here. He's seen an increasing number of involvement as the season's gone on, too, playing 52% of the snaps in Week 1, 62% in Week 2 and 74% in Week 3.

Achane's attempts on the ground have been a bit all over the place, but he's averaging 20 touches per game and is now at 6.9 yards per touch in his young career. I like combining his total yards here, with no idea which element of this porous Titans defense he'll shred.

Tyjae Spears Over 39.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards

We'll finish off with the same bet we just took only on the other side of the ball.

Tyjae Spears has emerged as a real weapon in his second season, maintaining a 4.5 yards per carry average over 20 career games and still picking up 38.6% of the share even with the addition of Tony Pollard in the offseason.

Not only does PFF grade Spears as the better runner of the two, something that's not too surprising with the disappointing season Pollard's had so far, but he seems to be more of a weapon in the passing game with four targets in two of his three games this season and 76 yards from scrimmage overall on 10 grabs.

  • Spears will go to work here against a Dolphins team which leads the league in rushing defense according to PFF, but it's still one which has yielded 4.92 yards per carry and 10 yards per catch to opposing backs.

It would certainly seem that with Levis under center against this front line that short passes will be on the menu, and that's where Spears excels. He should catch this defense napping and clear what's ultimately an unfair number in my eyes after his 61 total yards last week.

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