
Facing some tough competition in the AFC East from the New York Jets, the Buffalo Bills will look to keep their unbeaten run going on Sunday Night Football when they head on the road to face a hungry Baltimore Ravens team.
Baltimore finally picked up a win last week against the Dallas Cowboys, though the game nearly slipped away after a commanding first half, perhaps showing that this team is as bad as its record indicates.
(Photo by Kathryn Riley/Getty Images)
With plenty to play, and plenty of talent on both sides, combining some player props could be the best approach to this one. Let's make a same-game parlay for Bills vs Ravens on Sunday Night Football in Week 4.
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While Josh Allen remains one of the toughest quarterbacks in football to defend given his ability to pick up tough yards on the ground and get the ball to his talented group of receivers, he should feature a different look in Week 4 against the Ravens.
Allen should look to pick apart this Baltimore secondary, just as he did against Jacksonville, and that should mean few rushing attempts for the MVP hopeful.
The 28-year-old hasn't taken matters into his own hands on the ground at the volume you'd expect over the last two seasons, and in a tough matchup I don't think this market is priced correctly.
Lamar Jackson, on the other hand, should have plenty of reasons to rush the ball throughout the course of this game.
With an excellent pass rush, Jackson should be inclined to run even if there's not a designed play for him. On primetime, too, Jackson has seemed to bring out his best level.
Yes, he's scored just one rushing touchdown in his last 12 primetime games, but Jackson has eclipsed this number in four of his last six of those contests.
Jackson has also rushed 14 or more times in two of his three games, leaving things to his arm in Week 2 against a struggling Raiders secondary. I think we'll see more of his legs here once again after running 14 times for 87 yards, and he's already got a 100-yard game his pocket from opening night.
Dating back to last postseason, Jackson's now hit this number in three of his last five and run 11 times for 73 yards in his last meeting with the Bills, if it means anything to you.
Week 3 was a long-awaited coming out party for Dalton Kinkaid, who established himself as an integral part of this Bills offense a season ago.
Now, Kinkaid will be lined up to have a field day against a Ravens secondary which, as we noted, has struggled. They rank sixth-worst in missed tackles this year along with their poor marks in yards allowed after the catch, so while you might be inclined to play the receptions with Kinkaid his yardage prop likely holds more value.
The Ravens have also struggled to defend the position, allowing 17 catches on 24 targets to opposing tight ends in the last two weeks and yielding an average of 12.17 yards per reception this season.
As Allen and the Bills lean on the passing game, look to Kinkaid to be a main beneficiary.
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