NFL Prop Bets Week 11: Ravens vs Steelers NFL Picks and Predictions (Sunday, November 17)

The Baltimore Ravens are cooking, recovering from an 0-2 start to run out to a 7-3 record as we approach the home stretch of the season. Now comes the hard part -- beating those pesky Pittsburgh Steelers for sole possession of first place in the AFC North.

(Photo by Michael Owens/Getty Images)

We may see both of these slow-paced, run-heavy teams look to pass the ball on Sunday, and I've picked out the three men you'll want to be putting your money behind.

Without further ado, let's get into the best player prop bets to make for Ravens vs Steelers this Week 11.

BEST NFL PROP BET: Zay Flowers Anytime TD

Best Odds: +195 at FanDuel

We'll kick things off with a bang here, backing a touchdown scorer and taking a little bit of a swing in the process.

• Zay Flowers has scored just three times all year -- two of which came in the same game -- but oddsmakers believe in him finding paydirt on Sunday for a reason.

The Steelers have been excellent against both the run and pass, but the Ravens have begun airing it out a bit more lately -- up over 54% in pass-to-run ratio -- and should be looking Flowers' way for some meaningful contributions.

We've seen Flowers get the ball in the red zone at an increasing rate in the last few weeks, and working in our favor here is the fact that he had a big day in the only game which Lamar Jackson started against the Steelers, catching a touchdown in the process.

• Pittsburgh's secondary is disciplined, but they've had the tendency to lose shifty receivers like Flowers in what's been one of its only weaknesses.

Expect Flowers to get the ball plenty and do damage after the catch, potentially scoring on a big play, if he doesn't get fed around the goal line.

BEST NFL PROP BET: Rashod Bateman Over 2.5 Receptions

Best Odds: -120 at DraftKings

Rashod Bateman's suddenly blossomed into a real weapon for this Ravens' passing attack, catching three o more passes in five of the last six weeks, and now he finds himself in a great matchup on Sunday.

• Joey Porter, Jr. should be the man to mark Bateman, and he's ranked 84th of 108 corners in coverage according to Pro Football Focus in what could be a damning look for the youngster.

Still developing and standing at just 6'2", Porter should struggle to deal with the strength of Bateman as the two jockey on the outside, and with Bateman playing 76% or more of the snaps in three of the last four weeks you'd have to expect plenty of these matchups.

This is arguably Jackson's best option in short yardage with Mark Andrews likely blanketed over the middle, and there should be a myriad of short-yardage situations against this stingy defense. He should be fed plenty of targets just as he was against a good Bengals defense last week when he was thrown to a season-high eight times.

BEST NFL PROP BET: George Pickens Over 4.5 Receptions

Best Odds: -120 at FanDuel

The Ravens are a similarly tough defense to crack, but as they sit fourth in DVOA against the run they're back in 25th against the pass.

• Much of that has been due to some poor play on the weak side of the field by corner Brandon Stephens and free safety Marcus Williams who has fallen off a cliff this season an ranks dead last among all safeties in coverage.

Well, standing on the weak side of the field Sunday will be the monster known as George Pickens -- and he should be in for a massive game.

Pickens has now caught five or more passes in four of the last five weeks, and while the Steelers may sit down the ranks in pass play rate this season a lot has changed since Russell Wilson made his season debut.

This is a team we can trust to throw the ball, particularly given how difficult it should be to run, and with how hot Pickens is running it's hard to ignore this generous number in a soft matchup.

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