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NFL Prop Bets Week 15: Steelers vs Eagles NFL Picks and Predictions (Sunday, December 15)

Publish Date: 12/15/2024
Fact checked by: Allan Howe

The Pittsburgh Steelers and Philadelphia Eagles both find themselves fighting for playoff positioning in their respective conferences, setting up an intriguing affair on Sunday.

(Photo by Emilee Chinn/Getty Images)

In a game which should feature plenty of defense, we'll have a look at an intriguing play on an under while highlighting two value spots in the player prop markets on the Eagles' side.

Without further ado, let's get into the best NFL player prop bets to make for Steelers vs. Eagles in Week 15.

BEST NFL PROP BET: Grant Calcaterra 3+ Receptions

Best Odds: +100 at DraftKings

Before we kill the mood by highlighting some expected struggles, let's talk about one man who should be in a glorious spot this Sunday.

  • We may not know the name Grant Calcaterra off the top of our head, but the Eagles' backup tight end has suddenly been thrust into action following an injury to Dallas Goedert which landed the veteran on the IR.

The young tight end will be up against a Steelers defense which has allowed a whopping 8.5 targets per game to his position -- the second-most in the NFL -- and he's already proven to be a reliable option for Jalen Hurts in the passing game in a limited number of snaps.

Calcaterra hauled in all three balls thrown his way last week against Carolina and has now caught 87% of his 23 targets on the year. It's a bit scary that we only saw him for 18% of the snaps last week, but there's a great chance he's leaned on for a bit more in a game which should feature the Steelers defense putting Philly in plenty of short-yardage situations which could require some throws to the tight end.

BEST NFL PROP BET: Najee Harris Under 54.5 Rushing Yards

Best Odds: -129 at Caesars

We're traditionally in the business of targeting the players who should make the biggest impact when we lay out the best NFL prop bets, but in a game which should be dictated by defense we're going to have no choice but to grab a line on an under which is calling my name.

The Steelers offense has once again been a slog this season, and the debut of Russell Wilson in the middle of the season has further complicated matters. In the last five weeks, Pittsburgh has been the third-worst team in the NFL in terms of Success Rate when running the ball, looking quite competent with a 12th-ranked showing in EPA per pass.

  • The tricky part of this one is that the Eagles enter Week 15 as one of the NFL's top-rated defense, and in the last five weeks check in top-five against both the run and the pass.

Philly is coming off a downright dominant showing against the Panthers last week, allowing just 3.5 yards per carry, and put together a six-game stretch with just 3.8 yards per carry up until a game versus the vaunted Ravens run game.

The game script here shouldn't favor the run here, either, considering Philly is likely to lead early and the Steelers have been very inclined to throw lately. With that, I think Harris is headed for a second straight frustrating game.

BEST NFL PROP BET: Saquon Barkley 100+ Rushing Yards

Best Odds: -110 at DraftKings

Sorry, I just have to do it. Saquon Barkley may be one of the most public bets in the world these days, but the fact remains that he's gone for at least 100 yards in seven of his last eight games with a stunning 6.1 yards per carry on the season.

If you thought this game might present some issues, given the Steelers' reputation as a strong team up front, I'll caution you to look into what's been going on in the last month or so.

  • Pittsburgh has been equally as bad at stopping the run as producing on the ground offensively, ranking 30th in EPA per rush in the last five weeks of play.

The Steelers have now allowed 4.7 yards per carry in their last four games, and nothing much should change here with the best rusher in the league stepping to this front seven.

The game script should be a handsome one for Barkley as well with Philly dominating on the defensive side of the ball and looking at some attackable matchups on offense. I expect the Eagles to control this game in the second half and lean heavily on Barkley.

 

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