US Open Final Odds: Sinner vs Fritz Betting Picks and Best Bets Sep 8

We're set to crown a first-time US Open champion on Sunday afternoon when Taylor Fritz looks for the win of his career against World No. 1 Jannik Sinner.

(Photo by Sarah Stier/Getty Images)

Sinner will be aiming to bookend the season with a second Grand Slam title after taking home the Australian Open back in January while Fritz will be the player with nothing to lose in his first ever slam final.

Fritz has been playing at the highest level we've ever seen, and should take plenty of confidence into this one after winning three of the five sets he's played against Sinner over the course of his career.

Let's preview the 2024 US Open Men's Final between Jannik Sinner and Taylor Fritz below and hand out a prediction and betting pick.

JANNIK SINNER VS TAYLOR FRITZ ODDS

Odds for September 8 courtesy of FanDuel.

MONEYLINE

• Jannik Sinner: -400
• Taylor Fritz: +310

SPREAD

• Jannik Sinner: -5.5 Games (+104)
• Taylor Fritz: +5.5 Games (-136)

OVER/UNDER (TOTAL)

• Over 38.5 Games (-118)
• Under 38.5 Games (-112)

HEAD-TO-HEAD: SINNER VS FRITZ

• The head-to-head between Jannik Sinner and Taylor Fritz stands at 1-1.
• Fritz beat Sinner at Indian Wells in 2021 6-4, 6-3 before falling to the Italian 4-6, 6-4, 4-6 in the quarterfinals of Indian Wells last season.

JANNIK SINNER 2024 US OPEN ANALYSIS

The World No. 1 had never made it past the quarterfinal stage of the US Open until this year, but with a ridiculous 56-5 record entering this match we really shouldn't be all that surprised.

• Sinner has looked dominant through two weeks in New York, dropping just two sets en route to his first final here and moving past one of the tournament favorites in Daniil Medvedev with little issue at the quarterfinal stage.

Still, it's hard to say the Italian has been tested all that much at these championships.

It's not an unfamiliar spot for a top seed to be in at a Grand Slam, but Medvedev played one of his worst matches of the year in the quarters to hand Sinner a rather easy win and Tommy Paul coughed up a double-break lead in the first set of their fourth-round encounter and played less than his best.

Sinner was clearly pushed by the talented Jack Draper, but after the humidity overcame him there was a slim chance he'd make in-roads in the match. The World No. 1 also seemed to injure his wrist on a nasty-looking fall in the second set, and that will be something to watch in this final.

TAYLOR FRITZ 2024 US OPEN ANALYSIS

The American No. 1 has been playing the tennis of his life at this tournament, showing off the fruits of his labor across the past two seasons.

We saw Fritz win his first-ever Masters 1000 tournament two seasons ago, and while a disappointing first-round exit at the US Open would follow months later he rebounded in a big way with a torrid run to the quarters here last year before he was ultimately undone by Novak Djokovic.

• Fritz has proven that his performance at last year's tournament was no fluke, coming through two top-10 players in Casper Ruud and Alexander Zverev quite impressively without dropping more than one set in either match.

The American's forehand has been on fire as always, but his serve has been the most impressive tool he's showcased, winning 81% of points behind his first delivery.

• This should make for a tight match against Sinner, who's returned well but has taken a while in each match to pick up on his opponents' serve.

Fritz has also played Sinner notably close over the years, following up a straight-sets win three years ago at Indian Wells with a very good showing last season where he lost in three sets.

He suffered through a poor serving day, landing just 54%, but was still able to save six of nine break points while breaking the Sinner serve twice in three tries.

SINNER VS FRITZ US OPEN FINAL PREDICTION SEPTEMBER 8

Fritz's history against Sinner should give him all the confidence in the world he can win this match, and it's fair to say he's been serving at a level that's been incredibly higher than the one we saw the last time these two met.

The American should be well-positioned to win this one, and with how hot his serve has been I think the game spread is the best way to play it.

Sinner managed just two breaks through two sets against Jack Draper last round -- one of the only players who can say they've served as well as Fritz in the last two weeks -- before his body gave out in the third and he surrendered two breaks.

• Sinner was incredibly fortunate to face Medvedev on a dreadful serving night the match prior, and had plenty of opportunities to crush the weak second serve of Tommy Paul in the quarters.

This will be a tough one for Sinner to win, particularly if his wrist is bothering him from the fall on Friday, and while he's the best player in the world and could easily find a way late, this one should be a heavyweight fight.

Best Bet for Sinner vs Fritz: Fritz +4.5 Games (+100 at DraftKings)