Valentines Day NBA Player Props for Jalen Brunson, Trae Young on February 14

Welcome to a thrilling NBA Valentine's Day lineup that's sure to set hearts racing. If you're on the hunt for top NBA props, you've landed in the perfect spot. Here are three player prop bets that will have you swooning this Wednesday, February 14th.

Leading the charge is Sara Jane, a betting analyst, who will unveil her best bets, and analyzations.

If you're inclined to catch the NBA action tonight, be sure not to miss the showdown between the Los Angeles Clippers (35-17, 15-11 away) and the Golden State Warriors (26-25, 14-13 home), airing on prime time television via ESPN at 10 p.m. ET.

Sara Jane has curated the best odds from a multitude of legal sportsbooks.  Let's make this Valentine's Day one to remember with some winning NBA bets.

Odds are current as of Feb. 14, at 12 p.m. ET.

SJ's NBA record for the month of February:  23-26 +15.5 units

Daily NBA matchup odds for Feb 14

Jalen Brunson

Season Stats

Jalen Brunson DraftKings Odds

• Over 28.5 points (+136 DraftKings Boost)

Key Stats 

• Brunson is averaging 31.4 points, 3.8 rebounds, and 6.4 assists on 50.7 % field goal shooting over the last 10 games
• The Knicks guard put up 20 points, 1 block, 7 rebounds, and 8 assists in 34 minutes against the Magic on Dec. 29
• OG Anunoby, Julius Randle, Mitchell Robinson are OUT for tonights matchup vs. Orlando
• Brunson hit over points  5/7 games without Anunoby and Randle
• Orlando allowed Shai Gilegous-Alexander, Cason Wallace, Ayo Dosunmu, and Terry Rozier to hit over points props since Feb. 6

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Brunson should capitalize with Randle and Anunoby out

New York Knicks guard Jalen Brunson made a return to the court last Saturday against the Indiana Pacers following a brief scare with an ankle injury. Freshly crowned as a 2024 NBA All-Star for the first time in his career, Brunson shoulders the responsibility of leading the team in tonight's matchup.

The Knicks (33-21, 14-13 away) find themselves contending with a slew of players listed on the injury report, including Donte DiVincenzo and Isaiah Hartenstein. Despite the acquisitions of Bojan Bogdanovic and Alec Burks at the trade deadline under the helm of Tom Thibodeau, all eyes remain on Brunson to deliver a standout performance tonight.

Unfettered by minute restrictions, Brunson enters tonight's game hot off a remarkable display, tallying 27 points, 4 rebounds, and 7 assists against the Houston Rockets. Renowned for his lethal mid-range jumper, the former Wildcat standout faces the Orlando Magic on the road.

Orlando, a surprisingly stout defensive unit this season, ranks 7th in points allowed per game (111.1) and excels in perimeter defense, ranking 5th in 3-point attempts (11.7) and 8th in 3-point percentage (35.6%). Impressively, they stand as the 4th best team in terms of defensive rating (111.9).

Brunson is cooking in February

Given the strong defense, Brunson stands out as the key player for the Knicks' offense tonight, especially considering his recent outstanding performances. Although he fell short of scoring 27 points in his last game, Brunson has scored over 26.5 points in 9 out of his last 10 games. Notably, he scored an impressive 40 points against the Pacers on February 1st and maintained an impressive average of 33.8 points throughout February.

The Magic have strong defenders in Cole Anthony and Jonathan Isaac. Although Brunson has narrowly missed scoring more than 28.5 points in the last three games against Orlando, he has consistently approached that mark, averaging 22 points in their recent matchups. With the Knicks facing injury issues, Brunson is ready to step up and lead the team's offense against the Magic tonight.

Brunson has been stellar on the road

Tonight, as the New York Knicks take to the road, Jalen Brunson's performance has been consistently impressive, surpassing his points target in seven consecutive away games. In the 26 games played away from home this season, Brunson has maintained an impressive average of 27.3 points per game, with an outstanding 41.7 percent accuracy from three-point range and a solid 47.1 percent from the field.

With key players such as Anunoby and Randle sidelined, the Knicks are missing about 34 percent of their offensive firepower. In the absence of Randle, Brunson has taken on a significant scoring role, averaging 32.9 points per game on 25.6 field goal attempts in seven games this season. This highlights Brunson's versatility and his ability to score effectively from various parts of the court.

Despite facing the defensive power of the Orlando Magic, Brunson has delivered standout performances in the absence of these key players. He has surpassed his points target in seven consecutive games, falling short of the 28.5 point threshold only twice since January 29th. Additionally, it's important to note that Orlando currently ranks 26th in defending point guards this season, further boosting Brunson's chances for a strong performance tonight.

Brunson stats without Julius Randle and OG Anunoby in the lineup

In general, Brunson is shouldering a significant load in terms of shot attempts and playing substantial minutes under Thibodeau's guidance. Following a full day of rest since their previous matchup against Houston, Brunson appears primed and ready for tonight's game. I'm particularly bullish on this proposition, so much so that I've utilized a DraftKings boost on the prop.

Max Strus

Max Strus DraftKings Odd

• Over 9.5 points (-110 DraftKings)

Key Stats

• Strus is averaging 9.8 points, 5.4 rebounds, 29.3 minutes, and 3.4 assists on 43.8 percent shooting over the last 10 games
• The Cavaliers guard put up 10 points, 4 rebounds, and 4 assists, on 40 percent 3-point shooting against the Philadelphia 76ers on Feb. 12
• Cavs Darius Garland, Sam Merrill, and Dean Wade are listed as questionable for tonight's matchup vs. Chicago. Ty Jerome and Tristan Thompson are listed as OUT
• Strus scored over 9.5 points in 4 of the last 5 meetings against Chicago
• Averaging 14 points and 38 minutes in 2 games vs. the Bulls this season
• In 52 games, Strus hit over 9.5 points in 34 games

Former Heat guard Max Strus will be inserted into the starting lineup tonight for the Cleveland Cavaliers (35-17, 18-9 at home) as they prepare to face off against the Chicago Bulls (26-28, 11-16 on the road). A mainstay in the starting lineup for all 52 games this season, Strus plays a pivotal role for the Cavaliers.

Currently holding the second seed in the Eastern Conference, Cleveland boasts an impressive 9-1 record in their last 10 games.

Tonight's matchup pits them against the Chicago Bulls, who have several players listed on the injury report. Despite ranking 11th in points per game (113), the Bulls struggle defensively, allowing the most 3-point attempts in the league (14.4) and ranking 16th in opponent 3-point percentage (36.7%).

However, the availability of Darius Garland for tonight's game may impact the dynamics.

While Strus is classified as a guard, Cavaliers coach JB Bickerstaff has often deployed him on the wing alongside Garland and Donovan Mitchell. Given the Bulls' defensive ranking of 11th against his position, Strus will have ample opportunities to build upon his recent success.

The line is low at -9.5

Maintaining an average of 10.1 points on 37.8% shooting from beyond the arc throughout the month of February, the Cleveland Cavaliers guard stands to benefit significantly if Alex Caruso is sidelined for the Bulls tonight. With a scoring record of over 9.8 points in the last 10 games, Strus has surpassed this mark in 6 out of the last 10 games, including 3 out of the last 5. Notably, he delivered an impressive 22-point performance on 61.5% field goal shooting against the Sacramento Kings back on February 5th.

When playing at home, Strus has enjoyed greater success recently, exceeding his points prop in 3 of the last matchups at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse.

Across 27 home games, he averages 12 points in 32.2 minutes, which is 2.5 points higher than his current line for tonight. At odds of -110 for the line, there's excellent value attached to a player who has consistently demonstrated his ability to score above 9.5 points. Although tonight's line is slightly lower than his season average, let's delve into his past performances against Chicago.

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Max Strus stats against the Bulls 

• 22 points - Oct. 2022
• 4 points - Dec. 2022
• 20 points - Mar. 2023
• 31 points -Apr. 2023
• 26 points - Dec. 2023

The trends clearly indicate Strus' historical dominance against the Bulls. While I initially favored the original line at -8.5, tonight presents an excellent opportunity for Strus to surpass the points threshold. When the Cavaliers field a fully healthy lineup, Strus excels alongside Garland, Mitchell, Mobley, and others. Moreover, the Bulls have consistently allowed a significant number of three-pointers to shooting guards throughout the season, further enhancing Strus' prospects for success tonight.

There's no doubt Strus has been inconsistent this season, and had some struggles. However, this line is too low to pass up. When he's hot, he's hot. Expect Strus to even strike a few 3-pointers tonight.

Trae Young

Trae Young DraftKings Odd

• Over 23.5 points (-150 DraftKings)

Key Stats

• Young is putting up 27.2 points, 11.3 assists, and 1.6 steals, on 41.1 percent 3-point shooting over the last 10 games
• In the Hawks 136-126 loss vs. Chicago, Young scored 19 points, on 22.2 percent shooting from deep
• The Hawks have several players listed as OUT: Clint Capela, AJ Griffin, Mouhamed Gueye, Onyeka Okongwu, and Wesley Matthews
• Without Capela and Matthews, Young hit over points in 6 of the last 10 games
• Charlotte is ranked 3rd defensively against point guards

Trae Young,recently named to the All-Star game, is set to face off against the Charlotte Hornets (12-41) on the road. Despite several injuries plaguing the Atlanta lineup tonight, Young finds himself in a prime matchup against a revamped Charlotte squad.

The Hornets have undergone significant changes at the trade deadline, parting ways with Gordon Hayward and guard Terry Rozier. Adding to their woes, guards LaMelo Ball and Mark Williams are both sidelined for tonight's contest.

While Young's consistency has been a point of contention for some this season, his point total line of 23.5 points presents compelling value at -150 given the matchup. Throughout the season, Young has surpassed this mark in 30 games, with the prop hitting in 70 percent of the last 10 games. Despite recent underwhelming performances against Houston and Chicago, where he tallied 18 and 19 points respectively, tonight he faces a depleted Hornets team that ranks 24th in points allowed (119.8) and boasts the league's worst three-point shooting defense, allowing opponents to shoot 39.4 percent from deep.

Young has performed well vs. the Hornets

Although Young is averaging a career-high 10.9 assists per game, there's a chance he may prioritize facilitation in tonight's game. Nonetheless, his versatility on offense, coupled with a history of strong performances against the Hornets, bodes well for his chances of exceeding the point total line.

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Trae Young Stats against the Hornets

• 28 points- Oct. 2022
• 31 points- Dec. 20222
• 25 points- Jan. 2023
• 25 points- Feb. 2023
• 23 points- Oct. 25

Trae Young's had consistent success against the Hornets, surpassing the 23.5 point mark in 4 of the last 5 matchups. Notably, he's achieved a perfect record in hitting the over in the last two road games in Charlotte and in 6 out of the last 10 away games overall.

As the Hawks face Charlotte tonight, Young's road performances stand out. In 21 games, the Hawks guard boasts an average of 28.9 points while shooting 36.9% from beyond the arc.

Notably, in the month of February, he is averaging 26.6 points on 40% shooting from three-point range, surpassing the line set for tonight's game.

Young continues to log significant minutes, averaging 38 minutes over 7 games this month and attempting 18 field goals per game. With his stellar performance and aggressive playing style, I anticipate Young to shine tonight, especially against a Hornets team eager for redemption. With 28 three-pointers made throughout the month of February, Young is poised to make a significant impact on tonight's game.

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