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NCAA Basketball Alabama vs South Carolina Predictions Odds & Sports Betting Tips Feb 22

NCAAB Betting Tips · 02/22/2023 - 9:00 pm · Colonial Life Arena

Publish Date: 02/22/2023
Fact checked by: Allan Howe

Alabama vs South Carolina Preview

To say that a mess exists surrounding this Alabama basketball team would be a huge understatement. There’s little to glean from Alabama’s situation this early in the news cycle, and I’m not in any place to make comments or assume anything. Let us just say it doesn’t look good for the Crimson Tide.
Therefore, I’ll write this preview as if Miller is playing and Oats is coaching. But I urge our readers to heavily monitor the news before considering betting on this game.

Recent form analysis

Can Alabama focus on the task at hand?

Alabama is the most impressive team from an on-court perspective.
In their last game, Alabama lost to Tennessee in a loss that never should have happened at this point in the season.
Alabama, at its highest point, is an almost unstoppable athletic machine on offense -- using an elite rim and-3 style -- as well as an overwhelming force on defense -- using long drop coverage sets.

Alabama's guard play would be a nitpick if I had to. What's the deal with Jahvon Quinerly specifically?
Quinerly saw his minutes increase in January. He logged at least 20 minutes in five out of six games between Jan. 21-February 8. He played just 11 minutes against Auburn, and then he put together a terrible performance against Tennessee (17 mins, three points; 1-for-5 shooting; six turnovers).

Quinerly's court metrics are excellent. He runs the most pick-and-roll sets on the team and has the highest assist rate on the team. He's now in a backcourt that is crowded.
Jaden Bradley may be a better match. Bradley's defense is better, He's also been much more efficient in transition (1.176 to.688).

Charles Bediako is the anchor of the drop defense and has been a top interior defender in the SEC. Miller is the Crimson Tide’s clock-watcher. Miller leads all freshmen in scoring per game (18.7), while adding eight boards to his game (1.096 PPP).

Can the Gamecocks continue their recent play?

The Gamecocks seem to be in the middle of a lost season. The Frank Martin era is over and this program needs to find an identity..
The results have been disappointing but not unexpected.
GG Jackson's numbers, especially his 92.4 ORtg, are not impressive. The Gamecocks backed up a win against Kentucky with eight consecutive SEC losses.
Jackson, a projected first-round selection, is still a project that has not fully developed yet.

Jackson, for the moment, is a big guard. In a win against LSU, he scored 20 points and seven boards.
This was after being benched for three matches after draggin' coach Lamont Paris live on Instagram.

South Carolina won 82-73 against LSU, marking its second consecutive win in three attempts. This was the best run of the conference season.
So, it seems things are trending up for the Gamecocks.
The Gamecocks need to improve offensively (ShotQuality suggests they should score around 1.01 PPP rather than the actual.96).

They get too involved in isolation sets and off-the-dribble 3s.
It's an indictment against the Gamecocks' defense is that they have not progressed the way they should have so far this season.

Alabama vs South Carolina Head-to-Head this season

Last season saw Alabama beat South Carolina at home 90-71, two years ago was the last time these two teams played in Columbia and Bama escaped with a three-point win.

Team Leaders

Points

Miller-ALA

18.7  PPG

45.9 FG%

83.1 FT%
Jackson-USC

15.3 PPG

38.5 FG%

65 FT%

Rebounds

N.Clowney-ALA

8.0 RPG

6.1 DRPG

1.9 ORPG
Jackson- USC

6.1 RPG

4.5 DRPG

1.6 ORPG

Assists

J.Quinerly-Ala

3.5 APG

2.2 TOPG

18.2 MPG
Johnson- USC

3.5 APG

2.4 TOPG

33 MPG

Our Betting Pick for Today - Betting on the Game (South Carolina +18)


Before the Alabama situation, I was already betting on South Carolina. However, the news has made me more confident in my belief that Alabama will fade.
Alabama could be feeling a little unmotivated Wednesday night. After a home win of 50 points, the Tide could be looking ahead at upcoming games against Arkansas and Auburn.
This is without mentioning the off-the-court issues.

Between those two games, there is this road match with South Carolina. But, dare I suggest it, the Gamecocks may be starting to play better. Despite all the losses, they have won two of their three previous games and have covered five of six.
I like the spot for South Carolina, regardless. In my opinion this spread should be more in the 11-13 point range, so this is a quality pick taking the underdogs and the points in this one.

Over Under Alabama vs South Carolina(148.5)

This should be a fairly high scoring game. I am thinking something like 80-68, or something in that range. I will reluctantly take the over in this game. The best bet is still to take the points and South Carolina in this one.

 

 Alabama vs South Carolina How to Watch

📅 Date: Wednesday, February, 22

🕚 Game Time: 9:00 pm

📺 How to Watch: ESPN2 TV

🏀 Colonial Life Arena

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