MLB Betting Picks - All you need to know
Major League Baseball is a long season, stretching from the end of March and, sometimes, into November. Each team will play 162 regular season games, so if you want to make MLB betting predictions tonight, you’ll have ample games to choose from.
Within these 162 games and the additional postseason games, there are multiple ways to make baseball betting picks. Here, we’ll go over how to do that, strategies that follow MLB betting trends and make successful picks, why you should trust us, and more.
A brief guide to MLB Betting Picks
As mentioned, there are many ways to make MLB betting picks and predictions across various markets. However, in arriving at those picks, there are some strategies you can deploy to add more money to your bankroll.
Below are our top tips for making MLB betting predictions today.
1. Monitor the Weather
While rain delays exist in baseball, there can be times when games will start, and the weather will come later. Games can be called early, which can impact totals bets. Also, it’s important to monitor how windy the conditions are as this could help carry the ball even further, producing additional runs.
2. Check injury reports
Like in any sport, a backup player will take his spot and get new opportunities if a player is injured and set to miss time. Injury reports can impact all bet types, including player props.
3. Look into underdogs with plus-odds
While sports like football will have teams more likely to lose than others, baseball offers so many winning and losing situations as the season is long. Teams play each other two, three, or four games in a row. Thus, it’s worth laying a wager on whenever you see an underdog getting plus money. There’s a better chance of an upset in baseball.
If you’re a new player to an online sportsbook, you’ll have a welcome bonus available to you. If you’ve already used the welcome bonus, check out the promotions page to see other opportunities. If other sportsbooks are available in your state, navigate to those to see if you’re interested in taking advantage of them.
5. Stay Away From Teams That Are Massive Favorites
This follows a similar logic to monitoring plus-money underdogs. You’ll also notice that the more popular teams like the Los Angeles Dodgers, New York Yankees, and Boston Red Sox have inflated odds due to casual bettors betting on them.
Why trust our MLB betting picks tips?
At Ballislife, we have a roster of writers and analysts with decades of collective experience. We monitor the latest MLB betting trends and always look for ways to enhance our betting strategies and recommendations. While we can never guarantee that you’ll win, we take pride in delivering the best advice you’ll find for MLB betting picks.
When evaluating which wagers to make, there are several things we keep in mind before giving advice or strategy for our MLB betting picks.
Odds shopping is a critical part of betting on the MLB successfully online. If you’re in a state with multiple online sportsbooks, you can decide what you want to bet on and explore each site available in your state to see which offers the best MLB odds. When we make MLB betting recommendations, we’ll do this for you, of course.
Don’t overthink it
When discussing tools and analysis, you may be expecting something a bit more, well, analytical, but it’s important to have some common sense approaches such as not overthinking it, especially in baseball. There are a never-ending number of advanced analytics in baseball and it’s easy to get lost in the weeds.
MLB Betting Predictions Statistics We Examine
As we mentioned above, there is a plethora of statistics in baseball to keep up with. Below, we’ll show you a sample of the stats we pay attention to when formulating our picks.
- ERA and WHIP: While ERA is important, WHIP is a more telling statistic, measuring the number of walks and hits surrendered each inning pitched. You’ll want to find a WHIP around 1.00 or less.
- K/9 and HR/9: These are statistics for pitchers as well. These stats will indicate how many strikeouts and home runs a player has and surrenders per nine innings.
- BABIP: The batting average on balls in play is important because it illustrates how lucky or unlucky a pitcher can be. While this site excludes home runs, if a BABIP is above .300, chances are it’ll even out over time.
- OBP: On-base percentage is a well-known statistic that shows how often a player or team gets on base. The more often a team gets on base, the better off they’ll be.
RHP and LHP Splits: Since there are right-handed and left-handed pitchers, important to see how batters do against the different styles of pitchers and, conversely, how pitchers do against right-handed and left-handed batters.
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Things you should think about before making MLB Betting Predictions
Before you make your first MLB wager or your 100th, there are things you should always consider before confirming and finalizing your wager.
1. Getting the best odds
We’ve mentioned odds shopping a few times already so we won’t belabor this, but we cannot stress how important this is. You could leave easy value on the table if you don’t do it.
When you arrive at a new online sportsbook, there’s a welcome bonus you’ll have access to and a library of existing player promotions if they’re offered. You can take advantage of all the welcome bonuses if you’re in a state with multiple sites.
3. Check for Reverse Line Movement
Reverse line movement is when a bet moves in the opposite direction it should when you consider the amount of money wagered predominantly on one side. The online sportsbook likely received a hefty wager from more professional bettors when this happens. If you notice this, go against the grain of the public and side with the sharps.
4. Decide on pre-game or live-game betting.
You can wager on MLB games before they begin and as they’re going on. The context for each match matters when determining whether to bet pre-game or live. This could be due to injuries, a rookie pitcher, or something else that may cause you to want to see a few innings before making a bet.
Our Top 5 tips for finding your favorite site for making MLB Betting Picks Today
While there are dozens of online sportsbooks to choose from, like MLB teams, some are better than others. We’ll only ever recommend the top MLB betting sites. Still, if you’re interested in judging sites, you can start with the criteria below.
In addition to observing what the offer is, you must dive into the terms and conditions to see if there are any wagering requirements, eligibility restrictions, expiration dates, and any other aspects that may restrict your access to withdrawing the bonus funds as cash.
Existing player promotions
Welcome bonuses are fantastic and all, but after you’ve been playing at a site for some time, there needs to be more to keep us coming back. Always check the promotions page to see if there are any other opportunities available.
Each player will have their own preference in terms of how a site looks and the graphics, but sites need to have a user interface design that makes it easy for players of all skill levels to navigate. When we evaluate sites, we look for how easy it is to find the MLB betting page, customer support, promotions page, and the various betting markets.
When it comes to betting markets, the more options available, the better. It’s easy to find moneyline, run line, and totals markets, but one thing we always look for is how expansive the player prop menu is.
Like betting markets, the more payment methods that are available for depositing and withdrawing, the better. This will allow you to have more choices for performing transactions comfortably.
Useful MLB Sports Betting Picks vocabulary
- Moneyline: Bet on which team you think will win outright.
- Run Line: The run line is the MLB equivalent of the point spread. However, the run line is always 1.5, whether it’s the favored team or the underdog. The odds can vary here as opposed to a point spread, usually around -110.
- Totals: Wager on the number of runs scored in a game. Each game will have a line you can bet the over or under on.
- Parlays: Parlays allow you to wager on multiple games on one betslip. When you do this, you’ll receive better odds than wagering on the games separately, but for a parlay to win, you need all games to settle as a win.
- Same game parlay: Same Game Parlays are the same concept as traditional parlays; instead, you’ll focus on one game.
- Futures: These are betting markets for wagering which team you think will win the World Series, divisions, pennants, and player awards.
- Prop bets: There are three types of prop bets, including ones for players, games, and teams.
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Conclusion - everything you needed to know about making MLB Gambling Picks
While you can create an account at any sportsbook and place a wager off the cuff, there are some strategies and things to consider if you want to attempt to be profitable.
Here, we aimed to catch you up on some important vocabulary, what to look for in a top site, strategies to deploy, tools we use, and more. Before you make an MLB wager, return to this page to re-absorb all of this information.
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