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Best NBA Picks Explained
There are many sources for NBA picks out there nowadays. Here at Ballislife, we have the most reliable NBA betting picks for today, tonight, and future games.
Here on the site, we’ll have pages dedicated to providing the best analysis for various games, including each game.
Below, we’ll cover more about the best picks, discuss predicting NBA games, cover the different types of NBA betting picks, and more.
NBA picks today & tonight
Whether it’s NBA picks today, Best NBA picks for today, or some other variation, this term describes finding, assessing, analyzing, and ultimately choosing what NBA betting picks to make for an individual game.
For “Top NBA picks today” or “NBA picks tonight,” there are multiple ways to wager on the sport that involve different frames of analysis, which we’ll cover in more detail shortly.
With NBA games happening almost daily, the time to evaluate and analyze selections isn’t as lengthy as other, more weekly-based sports.
Now we’ll dive into all the different ways you can bet on NBA games.
Basketball Picks & NBA Predictions
As mentioned, NBA games happen daily, and there are a lot of factors to remember. Whether it’s a minutes reduction, minutes increase, injury severity, how many games in a row a team has played, or vital statistics, this can be a lot for the average fan to remember and evaluate to make a bet.
Thus, finding trusted sources for “best NBA picks for today” or predictions for games can help streamline the process for fans who don’t have adequate time to research games daily.
Below, we’ll look at how you can bet on an NBA game and provide examples.
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NBA Point Spread Picks
When evaluating NBA point spread picks, you’ll have a number that indicates the gap in power between both teams but is meant to make the teams as equal as possible.
Not all NBA teams are on the same level regarding talent and winning, so the point spread tries to make the worst teams even with the best teams possible.
For example, if the Milwaukee Bucks are San Antonio Spurs are playing, and the Bucks are -10.5, this indicates that the sportsbook believes that the Bucks are 10.5 points better than the Bucks.
So, when making an NBA point spread pick, you’ll need to believe that the Bucks will win the game outright and by 11 points or more. Conversely, if you bet on the Spurs, you can think they’ll win the game outright or lose, but not by more than 10 points.
Since the goal of the point spread is to make the teams as equal as possible, you’ll find that the betting odds on each side are at or around -110.
Making these bets are also known as NBA picks against the spread.
NBA Total Picks
NBA total picks determine what you think the combined score in the game will be. This wager is also known as the over/under. You’ll want to decide whether both teams will combine for a higher or lower point total.
If the Boston Celtics and playing the Brooklyn Nets, you could see a total of 205.5 points. Now, you can bet on whether you think the combined score goes “Over” or “Under.”
The betting odds on both sides of this are at or around -110.
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NBA Moneyline Picks
Making NBA moneyline picks is the most straightforward bet you can make. You’ll pick who you think will win the game outright. Without the point spread, the odds on these bets can differ and have varying risk levels, especially if betting on the favored team.
Using the Bucks and Spurs example from the point spread, the 10.5 line indicates quite a difference in strength. So, it wouldn’t be out of the realm of possibility that the Bucks are -350 and the Spurs are +270 on the moneyline or something of that sort.
With that loss, if you bet $100 on the Spurs moneyline, you’d win $270. However, to win $100 when betting on the Bucks moneyline, you’d need to wager $350.
NBA Player Prop Picks
NBA prop picks come in three ways—game, team, and player props.
These are micro-events that happen within a game. They are often presented as “over/under” wagers.
Let’s run through some examples of each of these.
- Game: Total turnovers
- Team: Total points in first half
- Player Props: Total points, rebounds, assists, etc.
Here’s how NBA player prop picks would be shown at a sportsbook.
- Jaylen Brown Total Points 25.5: Over (+120); Under (-130)
NBA Consensus Picks
NBA consensus picks demonstrate how experts or the vast majority of fans are wagering on an individual team or bet type.
At some sportsbooks, you’ll be able to see how the money is being wagered, so if you see a team getting 70% of the money on wagers, this could be viewed as a consensus pick.
There is a strategy, however, where you can go against the consensus and bet on the other side, where you’ll often have better odds and payout potential. Whenever there is overwhelming support for one side, that’s something to remember when wagering.
NBA Picks against the spread
When making NBA picks against the spread, this is the same as the point spread.
However, “against the spread” is a term that also has an abbreviation, “ATS.”
This can often be cited as a resource when evaluating a team’s success when the point spread is involved.
For example, suppose the Bucks are -10.5 on the point spread against the Spurs but are 3-11 against the spread on the year. In that case, this shows that the Bucks have yet to be successful when you consider the point spread when wagering on them.
Free NBA Picks & Predictions
Whether you’re searching for free basketball picks or free NBA picks, the term “free” is meant to identify resources that offer picks or analysis for free and not behind a “pay wall.”
These picks will have varying depths of analysis and corroborating information as to why they recommend what they do.
Within these picks, you could also find other types of analysis, including sleeper picks.
Let’s cover those and more below.
NBA Sleeper picks
Often used in fantasy sports, the term “NBA sleeper pick” is used to describe a selection among a larger field of competitors that aren’t likely to win but have some attributes or components where it’s not totally out of the realm of possibility.
This analysis is often seen through futures wagers, such as picking the NBA Finals Champion.
Since there are 30 teams in the NBA, there are 30 teams that have a chance to win the title.
The “sleeper picks” aren’t necessarily at the bottom or top of the odds but somewhere in the middle with a chance to make a run based on their roster or projected performance.
For example, the Los Angeles Clippers are +1300; you could think that because of Kawhi Leonard and Paul George, they may have a chance to win it all.
NBA Picks against the spread
As mentioned, there are analysis strategies that you can deploy based on a team's success against the spread. While a team may be doing well in terms of overall wins and losses, their strength against the spread can indicate closer games than usual or how strong their squad is.
If a team is 30-10 on the season but 13-27 against the spread, this means they have a lot of close games, whereas if they were 25-15 against the spread, they tend to handle their opponents more often than not.
Conclusion on NBA Basketball Picks
Finding, analyzing, evaluating, and making the top NBA picks for today is a lengthy process. Considering the amount of research that can go into a pick, coupled with how many NBA games there are in a season, this can be plenty of work for a single person to look into all the NBA bet types.
Here at Ballislife, we suggest you use this page as a resource for how to evaluate the best NBA picks moving forward and use other resources on the page to help you make decisions about which teams to bet on each and every night.
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