Sports Betting Sites / Betting Tips / Miami Heat vs Toronto Raptors Predictions, Odds and Sports Betting Picks: 03/28/2023
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Miami Heat vs Toronto Raptors Predictions, Odds and Sports Betting Picks: 03/28/2023

NBA Betting Tips · 03/28/2023 - 7:30 pm · Scotia Bank Arena

Publish Date:03/28/2023
Fact checked by: Allan Howe
Prediction: Raptors to Cover
  • Over/Under: Heat vs Raptors (230)
  • Spread: Raptors -3
  • Pick: Bet Raptors to cover the spread
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Heat vs Raptors Game Preview

On Tuesday night, the Miami Heat (40-35) will attempt to move into fifth place in the Eastern Conference standings by facing off against the Toronto Raptors (37-38). Coming off a 129-100 loss to Brooklyn as six-point favorites, Miami takes on Toronto following their 114-104 win over Washington last Saturday night.

Recent form analysis

Can the Raptos climb back to .500?

Toronto currently holds a record of 37-38, ranking 27th in the league with an offense rate of 45.7%. They've scored 8,474 points this season (113.0 per game) while collecting 43.1 rebounds per game, aiding teammates 23.6 times per game (24th NBA) and losing possession via turnover 11.9 times per contest. Toronto commits 20.3 fouls per contest while connecting on 78.2% from the free throw line.

The Toronto Raptors' defense is ranked 5th in the NBA in points allowed per game with 111.9. They force 16.6 turnovers per contest and allow teams to shoot 49.2% from the floor (28th). Toronto's defense allows 37.6% on 3-pointers (914 of 2,434), and opponents make 79.6% of their free throw shots. Toronto also surrenders 26.2 assists and 42.2 boards per game, ranking them 25th and 9th, respectively in terms of league statistics.

can the Heat solidify their playoff position?

Miami enters the game with a win-loss record of 40-35 on the season, losing possession by turnover 13.5 times per game and committing 18.6 fouls per contest. As a unit, they have pulled in 40.7 rebounds per contest and passed for 1,769 dimes this year, ranking them 23rd in passing yards per game. Miami is shooting 34.1% from 3-point range (880 of 2,577) and 83.2% from free throw lines; they average 109 points per contest (30th in basketball), while hitting 45.7% from behind the arc.

On the defensive end of the court, Miami is forcing 15.8 turnovers per game and drawing 20.2 fouls. They rank 16th in league assists given up with 1,915 already this season. On defense, they give up a field goal percentage of 48.1% (3,006 of 6,253) and 41.9 rebounds per game as a team; furthermore, they allow 37.1% on shots from distance while ranking second in points per game allowed (109.9).

Heat vs Raptors Head-to-Head this season

The Raptors have won two out of three against the Heat this season, including the last two games these teams have played against each other.

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Statistical highlights

Team Leaders



22.8 PPG

53 FG%

85 FT%


24.2 PPG

47.5 FG%

76.4 FT%



9.3 RPG

7.3 DRPG

2.0 ORPG


7.8 RPG

6.2 DRPG

1.6 ORPG



5.1 APG

1.6 TOPG

33.4 MPG


7.0 APG


36.9 MPG

Our Betting Pick for Today Raptors -3

The Raptors have won five of their last seven NBA games and nine of their last 10 home games, showing signs of life offensively. In their last three contests, they scored more than 115 points per game while finding open men with ease and being aggressive on the offensive glass (grabbing over 15 offensive rebounds per game in that span), giving them plenty of scoring chances. Furthermore, they do a good job protecting the ball to limit Heat's chances for easy points; giving up an average of 116 per game over this span so expect slowing down the Raptors may prove challenging in this matchup.

Over Under Heat vs Raptors (230)

Bet the under in this game I think the heat will somewhat struggle to score at times and I look for a 115-108 kind of score in this one.

Heat vs Raptors How to Watch 🏀

📅 Date: Tuesday, March 28
🕚 Game Time: 7:30 pm
📺 How to Watch: NBA
Venue: Scotiabank Arena

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