The Eastern Conference Finals are here, and the Heat and Celtics find themselves in a familiar spot. The Miami Heat and Boston Celtics met in the 2022 Eastern Conference Finals, where Boston won the series 4-3. The 8th Seed, Miami Heat (44-38,17-24 Away) will face the 2nd Seed, Boston Celtics (57-25, 32-9) in Game 1. These two teams will play tonight at 8:30 PM EST, at TD Garden, located in Boston, Massachusetts. The matchup will air on TNT. If you are looking for the best betting odds and stats, here is information to know:
NBA Championship Odds: Eastern Conference.
Miami Heat: +1600.
Boston Celtics: +100.
*The Boston Celtics have the least odds of winning the NBA Championship*
NBA Eastern Conference Finals.
Miami Heat vs. Boston Celtics (Series Odds).
Miami Heat: +400.
Boston Celtics: -525.
*The Boston Celtics currently have the least odds of winning the series. *
Miami Heat vs. Boston Celtics (Game 1).
Spread: Miami +8, Boston -8.
C Cody Zeller (Day-To-Day).
PG Tyler Herro (OUT): Hand.
SG Victor Oladipo (OUT): Knee.
PF Danilo Gallinari (OUT).
Regular Season Recap (Series split 2-2).
Game 1: Celtics 111 @ Heat 104
Betting Odds: Boston -2, Over/Under 219.
Betting Results: Boston ML, Boston -2, UNDER.
This was the first matchup since the Celtics beat Miami 4-3 in the 2022 Eastern Conference. In Game 1, Boston got the win in a road game against Miami. Not only did Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown combine for 57 Points, but Boston also shot 42.4 Percent from the Three, and 52 Percent from the Field. The Celtics hit 100 percent of their free-throws, had more points in the paint, and outrebounded Miami, 43-36. The Celtics also capitalized and had more points off turnovers. In addition, The Celtics bench added 27 Points, including Grant Williams with 10 points. Defensively, Boston had 7 Blocks as a team, including 3 from Guard Derrick White, and 3 Steals. It’s important to note that every player on this Celtics roster contributed rebounds. Center Robert Williams III was out of this game with an injury.
Instead of Jimmy Butler leading the way, both himself, Bam Adebayo, Kyle Lowry, Gabe Vincent, and Tyler Herro all had points in double digits. Miami couldn’t find their stride from the Three and shot only 30 percent. In addition, the Heat shot 80 Percent from the line, and 45.7 Percent from the field. Besides Vincent adding 17 Points, the Heat bench only put up 4 points.
Game 2: Heat 121 @ Celtics 134
Betting Odds: Boston -9.5, Over/Under 224.5.
Betting Results: Boston ML, Boston -9.5, OVER.
Jayson Tatum had another electric night for the Celtics at home in Game 2. Tatum finished with 49 Points, including sinking 8 three-point shots. In addition, Jayson Tatum grabbed 11 rebounds, and snagged 2 steals. Jaylen Brown had another big game with 26 Points, 5 Rebounds and 7 Rebounds. Although Brown struggled from the Three, he shot 10-18 from the field. Both Marcus Smart and Derrick White added points in double-digits, and 1 steal a piece. Also, Malcom Brogdon added 21 off the Bench. Overall, the Celtics had 5 steals as a team, dominated the first and fourth quarters, Outrebounded Miami, and shot 55 Percent from the Field and 49 percent from the Three.
Although the Heat were without star Jimmy Butler due to a sore Knee, they hung with the Celtics for most of the game. Much like Boston, Miami shot extremely well, and their role players stepped up. The Heat shot 100 Percent from the Free-Throw Line, 45 Percent from the Three, and 52 Percent from the Field. In fact, Highsmith and Vincent added a combined 26 Points off the Bench, and all 5 of the Heat’s starters scored points in double-digits. Max Strus shot 5-10 from the three, and Tyler Herro added 22 Points. Although Bam Adebayo only grabbed 6 rebounds, he put up 23 Points. Although Boston dominated on fast break points, Miami dominated when it came to points in the paint.
Game 3: Heat 120 @ Celtics 116 (OT)
Betting Odds: Boston -7, Over/Under 227.
Betting Results: Heat ML, Heat +7, OVER.
Down 2-0 in the regular season, Miami came out with a chip on their shoulder in Game 3. Jaylen Brown had another huge performance, with 37 Points, 5 assists, and 14 rebounds. In addition, Jaylen Brown shot 5-11 from the three, and 12-23 from the field. In fact, Brown sunk a three-point shot to force this game into overtime. Much like many games in the playoffs, Jayson Tatum struggled in Game 3. Tatum put up 14 Points, 12 Rebounds, and shot 5-18 from the field, and 0-7 from the three. The Celtics were held to 33 Percent Three-Point shooting, in which Marcus Smart, Al Horford, Tatum, and Sam Hauser all struggled. Although the Celtics had more fast break points, the Heat had the return of Jimmy Butler, including a three-pointer to seal the game.
For the Heat, all their starters played extremely well. Jimmy Butler, back from injury, had 25 Points, 1 steal and 15 Rebounds. Bam Adebayo had a huge game with 28 Points, along with Tyler Herro with 26 Points. As a team, Miami shot 47.5 Percent from the field and 31 Percent from the Three. It was a high scoring offense from their starting five, who ultimately outscored and outplayed Boston in overtime. Miami not only dominated in the paint but grabbed more rebounds.
Game 4: Celtics 95 @ Miami 98.
Betting Odds: Miami -2.5, Over/Under 214.5.
Betting Results: Miami ML, Miami -2.5, UNDER.
Game 4 was a relatively low scoring game, given Jaylen Brown and Jimmy Butler were out. Jayson Tatum led the way for the Celtics with 31 Points, 14 Rebounds and 7 Assists. In addition, Tatum shot 11-14 from the line, and 9-18 from the field. Guard Derrick White added 23 Points, and Boston’s Bench only contributed 10 Points. Robert Williams III was back in the lineup, and added 11 Points, 2 blocks and 8 rebounds. As a team Boston shot 31 percent from the three, and only 43 percent from the field. Boston was outrebounded by Miami 44-51 and had more turnovers.
Bam Adebayo led the way for Miami with 30 Points and 15 Rebounds. Although Butler was out for this game, Max Strus added 13 Points, and Miami’s bench added 37 points. It’s important to note, both Kyle Lowry, Tyler Herro, and Caleb Martin all struggled from the field. Overall, Miami shot better as a team, 36 percent from the three. However, The Heat shot 36 Percent from the field. Although Boston had a 10-point lead, Miami went on a 15-0 run to secure the lead in the 4th quarter. Although Herro struggled, he had a key steal to secure the game.
•Miami averages 113.3 points per game.
•Boston averages 115.5 points per game.
•Miami ranks 7th in points allowed with 108.8 opponent points per game.
•Boston ranks 6th in points allowed with 108.3 opponent points per game.
•Miami ranks 11th in rebounds per game with 41.3.
•Boston ranks 8th in rebounds per game with 44.
•Miami ranks 3rd in point differential at +4.4.
•Boston ranks 2nd in point differential at +7.2
•Miami ranks 15th in blocked shots with 3.5 per game.
•Boston ranks 2nd in blocked shots with 6.8 per game.
•Miami averages 36.8 percent from the 3-point range, while Boston averages 39.5 percent from the 3-point range.
LAST 10 GAMES + GAME PREDICTION
SPREAD: Boston +8
-Miami covered the spread in 7 of their last 10 games.
-Boston covered the spread in 6 of their last 10 games.
-Miami has a 39-53-3 record ATS this season.
-Boston has a 54-41-0 record ATS this season.
-Boston is 28-20-0 in HOME games ATS this season.
-Miami is 19-26-1 in AWAY games ATS this season.
Miami doesn’t have a good record against the spread in away games, and they covered the spread in 2 out of their 4 regular season games against Boston. The Celtics have a great record against the spread at home. I think Tatum and company have another great game. If the Celtics can play team ball and shoot well, I think they cover here at home.
MONEY LINE: Boston ML
-Miami won the Money Line 7 out of their last 10 games.
-Boston won the Money Line 6 of their last 10 games.
Boston is a very good team at home, and they are coming off a blowout win against the 76ers. If Tatum is on his game, I think the Celtics will win. The Bench rotation is all dependent on Head Coach Joe Mazzulla. Ball key will be movement to get everyone involved. Give me Celtics Money Line.
-Miami Avg +/- vs O/U Line: +0.51.
-Boston Avg +/- vs O/U Line: +1.74.
-Miami Overall O/U Record: 49-46-0.
-Boston Overall O/U Record: 50-43-2.
-Miami AWAY O/U Record: 23-23-0.
-Boston HOME O/U Record: 28-19-1.
-Miami hit the OVER 7 times in their last 10 games.
-Boston hit the UNDER 7 times in their last 10 games.
Two of the Heat vs. Celtics game hit the OVER in the regular season. Although Boston hit the under in their last two games, I expect both teams to produce a lot of offense. Boston is facing a Miami team who is hot and playing as good as any team right now. Give me the over.
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Sara Jane is a full-time content creator, focusing on both college basketball, the NBA, NFL, and writer of Ballislife.com. Don’t forget to follow her on Twitter/YouTube/Twitch/Instagram: @GGirlSports.