Game 2: Jimmy Butler to bring the HEAT!

Twitter: @GGirlSports. 

We are heading into Game 2 of the NBA Finals, and the Miami Heat are looking to bounce back from a 104-93 loss against the Denver Nuggets.   Jimmy Butler and the rest of the team couldn't get their shots to fall, and many bettors have questions heading into the next game.  Here we break down the player prop bets for the Miami Heat and my best picks for Game 2.  If you are looking for the best betting odds and stats, here is information to know:

Game 2 Player Prop Bets:

Jimmy Butler Over 6.5 Assists (+105).

 Jimmy Butler is HIM. However, Butler hasn’t looked himself, especially the last Game. Also, Butler has been hampered by an ankle injury through the playoffs.

Jimmy is a player who attempts anywhere from 20-28 shots a game in this year's playoffs. However, Butler only attempted 14 shots last game. He missed several mid-range shots, and his form looked off. One beautiful aspect about Butler’s game is his ability to play team basketball when he’s not performing himself. We saw this in Game 1 of the Finals, and Game 3 against Boston in the Eastern Conference Finals. Although the Miami Heat struggled in Game 1, I do believe Jimmy is playing the minutes, and has enough talent around him for this prop bet to hit. The question is, can Caleb Martin, Max Strus, and Gabe Vincent all hit their shots in Game 2.

Although Jimmy Butler is averaging 5.8 Assists through the playoffs, he is on a mission. He’s hit over 6.5 assists two out of the last three games and is averaging 38 minutes a game against Denver. If his minutes stabilize or increase, I don’t see this prop being a problem to hit. I do think Butler will increase his shooting volume and production; however, I expect Miami to shoot better than 33 percent from the three.

In addition, Jimmy hit the assists prop line 6 out of the last 8 games. Also, Butler’s over assists hit 56 percent of the time in the 2022-2023 regular season. It’s important to note he averaged nearly 9 assists a game against the Nuggets in the regular season. I expect Jimmy to take over in more ways than one in Game 2. I like Jimmy Butler OVER 6.5 Assists.


Playoff Statistics: 18 Games, 5.8 Assists Per Game.
Statistics against the Denver Nuggets: 2 Games, 8.5 Assists.
Statistics AWAY this season: 31 Games Played, 5.2 Assists.

Jimmy Butler Over 0.5 Threes made (-185).

 It was clear Jimmy Butler had a bad shooting Game 1. However, even through an ankle injury, Butler carried this team on his back throughout the playoffs.  I do believe both the Heat and Jimmy Butler will attack the basket in Game 2, I like the value at 0.5 threes made.

Although Butler struggled in Game 1 of the Finals, he made 1-2 three-point attempts. In addition, he’s made at least 1 three pointer the last 3 games straight. Although Butler’s hit the three’s made in just 4 out of the last 10 games, 2 of those hit where the prop was settled at 0.5. Butler not only averaged 3.3 three-pointers against the Boston Celtics in the Eastern Conference Finals, but he also averaged 5.4 threes against the Milwaukee Bucks in the first round of the NBA Playoffs.

Jimmy Butler not only has the volume of shooting but is playing good number of minutes. Butler played 38 minutes in Game 1 against Denver and is averaging 39.3 minutes per game in the Playoffs. I don’t expect many threes from Jimmy, given the Nuggets are ranked 2nd and 3rd in three-point attempts and three-points made. I do think he will drive to the basket more, especially if Aaron Gordon is guarding him. I have faith in Jimmy Butler out of anyone on this team. He shot very well in his two regular season games against the Nuggets. I like Jimmy Butler OVER 0.5 three-pointers made.


Playoff Statistics: 27.6 PPG, 36.1 3PT %.
Statistics against the Denver Nuggets: 2 Games, 14 PPG, 50 3PT %.
Statistics AWAY this season: 21.6 PPG, 32.3 3PT %.

Gabe Vincent Over 12.5 Points(-120).

I like this prop, given guard Tyler Herro remains out for the Miami Heat with a hand injury. Vincent’s over points hit 5 out of the last 10 games and hit over 12.5 points 4 out of his last 5 games. Miami was cold from shooting through the first three quarters of Game 1, and Vincent was the only player who found their stride, especially from the three.  Gabe Vincent is a terrific shooting, who is a sniper from the corner three. With Kyle Lowry struggling and declining in minutes, Vincent got the start in Game 1, and finished with 38 minutes of playing time. He’s been able to step up in the absence of others, and alongside Jimmy Butler. In addition, Vincent played up to 41 minutes against Boston in Game 5 and is averaging over 30 minutes of playing time.

With the minutes played there, he’s averaging 14 shot attempts in the finals, 11 against Boston, 11 against New York, and 11.8 attempts against Milwaukee. During the Playoffs we’ve seen Gabe Vincent take as many as 23 shot attempts, and little as 5 attempts. In addition, we saw the consistency of the attempted shots get better in the series against the Celtics. Sometimes you must feed the hot hand, even when Jimmy Butler is struggling. I expect his minutes, volume, and shot attempts to be there. Vincent is also a 40 % three-point shooter in this year’s playoffs. I like Gabe Vincent OVER 12.5 Points.

Stay tuned for more NBA odds, stats, and predictions for tomorrow’s game.

For More Betting Info & Game Predictions, Follow us at @BallislifeBets.

Sara Jane is a full-time content creator, focusing on both college basketball, the NBA, NFL, and writer of Don’t forget to follow her on Twitter/YouTube/Twitch/Instagram: @GGirlSports.


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