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NBA Betting: Daily Odds & Predictions for November 15

Sara Jane Gamelli 3800 November 15, 2023 No Comments

There are eight games on the NBA slate, today, including two prime time matchups on ESPN. For the Eastern Conference, the Boston Celtics (8-2, 3-2 away) will face the Philadelphia 76ers (8-2, 6-1 Home) on the road. For the Western Conference, the Sacramento Kings (5-4, 1-3 away) will matchup against the Los Angeles Lakers (6-5, 5-0 home) in California. Will the Lakers stay undefeated at home? Will the Suns turn it around now that Bradley Beal and Devin Booker are back in the lineup? Here you will find the NBA betting odds, stats, trends, player prop bets, and predictions for Wednesday, November 15.

NBA Daily Game Odds for 11/15

*Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook

Mavericks (-198) (-6) @ Wizards (+164): O/U 244.5
Celtics (-218) (-4) @ 76ers (+180): O/U 224.5
Bucks (-125)(-5) @ Raptors (+105): O/U 224.5
Knicks (-112) (-1) @ Hawks (-108): O/U 230.5
Magic (+102) @ Bulls (-122)(-1.5) : O/U 215.5
Timberwolves(+195) @ Suns (-238)(-6) O/U 224
Cavaliers (-485) (-10.5) @ Trail Blazers (+370): O/U 219
Kings (-102) @ Lakers (-118) (-1.5): O/U 236.6

NBA Daily Parlay #1: +381 .5u

Bet #1: Kevin Durant O 3.5 Assists (-130)

Season Stats PPG: 30  | FG: 49.8 % | 3 PT: 42.8 % | FT: 85.1 % | REB: 7.1 | AST: 4.6 | STL: 0.9 | BLK: 1.2

Career Stats vs. Minnesota Timberwolves: PPG: 27.2 | FG: 50.8 % | 3 PT: 44.2 % | FT: 92.8 % | REB: 7.4 | AST: 4.2 | STL: 1 | BLK: 1.2

Tonight, the Phoenix Suns (4-6) will matchup against the Minnesota Timberwolves (8-2) at home. With Bradley Beal and Devin Booker ready to go, Suns guard Eric Gordon is listed as a game time decision tonight. While Minnesota doesn't report any injuries, they've won five consecutive games. For the Suns, they are coming off back to back losses, against the Oklahoma City Thunder and the Los Angeles Lakers.

In his first full year with Phoenix, Kevin Durant will receive more depth and talent in the lineup tonight. Averaging 4.6 assists this season, Durant, faces a very tough Timberwolves team. First in opponent points per game (102.9), Minnesota is an elite defensive team. They lead the league in opponent three-point percentage (31.5 percent), and are backed by Jaden McDaniels, Anthony Edwards, and rim protector, Ruby Gobert.

The Suns have their star players back

Scoring won't come easy for the Suns tonight, who are ranked middle of the pack in points per game (111.8). If you're betting on the NBA tonight, I'd like to point out Kevin Durant has been averaging over 3.5 assists, and that's mainly been without both Booker and Beal.

We all know Durant is a natural born scorer, but he's also notorious for making big plays. With talent back on the weak and strong side of the ball, It's hard to fade a prop thats hit in four straight games. For a Timberwolves team that allows on average 24.6 assists per game, Durant hit this prop 100 % percent in 2022-2023 against Minnesota. In March of 2023, Durant had 4 assists against Minnesota as a member of the Sun.

Why Kevin Durant can hit over 3.5 assists tonight

Overall, over 3.5 Durant assists hit the over in six of the last ten games, and four of the last time. A prop that hit over 70 percent last season, Kevin Durant certainly loves to dish the ball at home tonight. In the last ten home games, Durant over assists hit in 90 percent of the last ten games, and four of the last five. Although Phoenix isn't a particularly deep team, I trust that there will be enough ball movement between the new big 3.

If you look at the statistics against Minnesota in the last week, Cory Joseph, Kevin Looney, Dario Saric, Gary Payton II, Moses Moody, Scottie Barnes among others all hit over their prop lines. In the 2023-2024 campaign, Durant is averaging 36.7 minutes per game. In fact, this prop has a hit rate of 80 % when the forward plays over 35 minutes, and Durant is dishing out nearly five assists at home this year.

If you're betting on the NBA, your best bet is Kevin Durant over 3.5 assists.

Bet #2: Trae Young O .5 Steals (-235)

Season Stats PPG: 24.4  | FG: 35.7 % | 3 PT: 29.4 % | FT: 89.9 % | REB: 2.9 | AST: 10.2 | STL: 1.6 | BLK: 0

Career Stats vs. New York Knicks: PPG: 26.3  | FG: 41.3 % | 3 PT: 34.6 % | FT: 83.2 % | REB: 3.2 | AST: 9.1 | STL: 1.3 | BLK: 0

The Atlanta Hawks (6-4) will matchup against Eastern Conference Rival New York Knicks (5-5) at home tonight. Trae Young will be back in the lineup after missing last matchup due to personal reasons. For the Knicks, RJ Barrett is a game time decision tonight. Without star Trae Young, the Hawks are coming off a 126-120 win over the Detroit Pistons, why the Knicks dropped their previous matchup to the Boston Celtics, 114-98.

If you're betting on the NBA, the Hawks are a top team that average 8.8 steals a game, in large part to Trae Young. Tonight, they face the Knicks who have the least turnovers in the NBA. In nine games this season, Trae Young has at least 1 steal in every single one of them. Averaging 1.6 steals per game, Young has a career average of 1.8 steals against New York, and has 6 steals in the past four games. Better yet, this prop hit 100 % in the past ten games, and and hit 72 percent of the time in the 2022-2023 season.

Why Trae Young can cover over .5 steals tonight

Tonight, Young gets a prime matchup at home, where over .5 steals has hit 100 percent in home games this year, and 90 % of the last ten games in Atlanta. Young, who's averaging 35.8 minutes per game, has nearly 1.8 steals in home games, and has a 100 percent prop hit rate when he hovers around 35 minutes played.

If you're betting on the NBA, it's hard to fade a prop that's hit the over in ten straight games. Most recently, the Knicks allowed LaMelo Ball, Tre Jones, Bones Hyland, Damian Lillard, CJ McCollum, Dyson Daniels, and Trae Young all to have at least one steal since Oct. 27.

In their last matchup in October 27, Trae Young finished with three steals.

Bet #3: Dallas Mavericks vs. Washington Wizards O 244.5 Points (-110)

The Dallas Mavericks (8-3) will face off against the Washington Wizards (2-8) on the road tonight. For Dallas, both Kyrie Irving and Maxi Kleber are game time decisions. On the Wizards side, guard Delon Wright is listed as out.

The Mavericks are 3-2 in their last five games, and the Wizards 1-4. These are two teams that have potent offenses, especially Dallas. Second in the league, the Mavericks are putting up 122.8 points per game. Although they lack a true identity and super star, the Wizards are 8th in total points per game (115.3).

If you're betting on the NBA, you're probably wondering why I am confident in the over. These are two of the worst defensive teams, both ranking in the bottom 25 in opponent points per game. If Kyrie Irving is able to suit up for tonight's game, I will be even more confident in my decision.

Why these teams can cover the over points scored

8-3 on the season, Dallas is 9-2-0 against totals, and the 2-8 Wizards 7-3-0. In their last ten matchups against each other, Washington holds a 6-4 win loss record, and the Over hit 7 of the last 10 games. Dallas is coming off four straight games that hit the over against the Pelicans, Clippers, and Raptors. For Washington, they are 3-2 versus totals in their last five games.

This is a shocking stat, the Wizards lead the NBA in pace (105.05), while the Mavericks rank 6th (102.14). Given the amount of high scoring on both sides, plus a higher pace, I am confident in this prop tonight. While Washington has emerged as one of the worst teams, Kyle Kuzma leads the team in scoring. Bilal Coulibaly, the 7th overall pick, should improve his game as the season goes on. For Dallas, they have stars Luka Doncic and Kyrie Irving lead the backcourt.

Although the model is leaning towards the under, I don't expect either team to play any sort of stellar defense tonight. My safest bet is the over here.

Stay tuned for more NBA betting related articles. Click here

Sara Jane Gamelli is a full-time Sportswriter at Ballislife, and Sports Content Creator on Twitch and TikTok. She has a focus on the NBA, WNBA, NCAA Basketball, and the NFL. Sara Jane currently resides in Connecticut/NYC area with her Cat and Dog. SJ has her undergraduate degree from the University of Connecticut in Economics, with a minor in business administration.

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