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NBA Prop Betting Odds & Predictions for November 6

Sara Jane Gamelli 3503 November 6, 2023 No Comments

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Sara Jane Gamelli

There are twelve games on the NBA betting slate, beginning at 7 p.m. and 9 p.m. EDT. With the season underway, there are several critical matchups today. How will James Harden fare in his Clippers debut tonight? With such injuries, can the Lakers finally get a win on the road? Will the Boston Celtics continue as the only undefeated team in the NBA? Here you will find the NBA betting odds, stats, trends, player prop bets, and predictions for Monday, November 6.

NBA Daily Game Odds for 11/6

*Odds courtesy of Draft Kings Sportsbook*

Wizards @ 76ers (-11.5)
Warriors (-7) @ Pistons
Spurs @ Pacers (-9.5)
Mavericks @ Magic (-1.5)
Bucks (-5.5) @ Nets
Lakers @ Heat (-1)
Clippers(-1) @ Knicks
Celtics (-4) @ Timberwolves
Jazz @ Bulls (+4.5)
Hawks (-1) @ Thunder
Kings (-2) @ Rockets
Pelicans @ Nuggets (-6.5)

Bam Adebayo O 18.5 Points (-125)

Season Stats PPG: 21.4 | FG: 51.9 % | 3 PT: 0 % | FT: 75 % | REB: 7.2 | AST: 2.6 | STL: 0.6 | BLK: 1.2

Career Stats vs Los Angeles Lakers: PPG: 15.7 | FG: 53.7 % | 3 PT: 0 % | FT: 58.8 % | REB: 9.9 | AST: 3.5 | STL: 1.4 | BLK: 1.3

Bam Adebayo and the Miami Heat (2-4, 2-1 Home) will matchup against the Los Angeles Lakers (3-3, 0-3 Away) at home tonight at 7:30 p.m. est. The Heat are coming off a 121-114 victory over the Washington Wizards in which Adebayo had 18 points on 8-15 shooting.

If you're betting on the NBA, the Heat Center scored over points in four of the past five games, including versus the Pistons, Celtics, Timberwolves, and Nets. In the last two matchups against the Lakers last season, the over points hit 100 percent. Dating back to 2022, Adebayo scored 23 points in December 2022 at home against the Lakers, and 30 points in January 2023 in Los Angeles.

Tonight, both teams have several injuries on the report, including Jimmy Buttler, Caleb Martin, Rui Hachimura, and Gabe Vincent. Miami will face a newly constructed Lakers team who ranks 21st in opponent points per game (115.7), and 16th in opponent field goal percentage (45.9).

Although Bam Adebayo isn't a threat beyond the perimeter, he's been a dominant and consistent force for Miami. If you're betting on tonight's game, this prop has hit 90 percent in the last ten games, and 60 percent of the last 15 games. For a prop that hit over 50 percent in 2022-2023, the Heat Center hit this prop in two of three home games, and six of the last games in Miami.

Why Bam Adebayo over points can hit tonight

Tonight, Adebayo with go head-to-head with Anthony Davis, who's been on a tear for the Lakers. Although Davis is one of the best defenders, Adebayo has been Miami's second scoring option next to Tyler Hero. Jimmy Butler now listed as probable for tonights game, is not certain how much he will play a factor in tonights matchup.

With Adebayo and Davis as two top defenders, it will be a battle of the boards tonight. As Davis is ranked second in second chance points, it makes it slightly harder for this prop to hit. Overall, it's hard to fade how well Bam Adebayo has been playing for the Heat. The lowest points he's scored was 17 points against the Minnesota Timberwolves. Adebayo ranks top ten in points scored for all Centers, and is shooting over 50 percent from the field. Ranking fourth in free-throw attempts per game among his position, Adebayo is playing over 32 minutes a game and had 23 shot attempts against the Celtics last week.

Julius Randle U 18.5 Points (-120)

Season Stats PPG: 13.7 | FG: 27.1 % | 3 PT: 22.5 % | FT: 61.8 % | REB: 10.5 | AST: 5.2 | STL: 1 | BLK: 0

Career Stats vs Los Angeles Clippers: PPG: 16.3 | FG: 44 % | 3 PT: 36.7 % | FT: 74.5 % | REB: 8.7 | AST: 3.3 | STL: 0.7 | BLK: 0.2

Julius Randle hasn't had a great start to the season, and I will continuously put units on under points until I see him have a breakout game. The New York Knicks (2-4, 0-2 Home) will matchup against the Los Angeles Clippers (3-2, 0-2 Away) at home following two straight losses. In six total games this season, the Knicks Forward is only averaging 13.7 points on 27.1 field goal and 22.5 percent three-point shooting.

For Randle, the minutes and the shot volume has been there. However, he's coming off a 16 point performance against Milwaukee, in which Randle shot 5-20 and 1-9 from long range. Along with the Knicks poor start to the season, Randle just hasn't been efficient. To highlight his woes, Randle ranks 51st among all forwards in points scored, and near last in field goal percentage. Following a career season last year with New York, perhaps the Knicks could use some fluid ball movement, as they rank close to last in assists.

If you're betting on the NBA tonight, Randle over points has hit just once in six games, and five of the last ten. Although he did score 28 points against the Clippers in their last outing, that was in February of 2023. Since then, Paul George and Kawhi Leonard are fully healthy, and the Clippers newly acquired James Harden from Philadelphia.

Why Randle under points will hit

For a prop that hit over 60 percent on the road last season, Randle hasn't scored over 18.5 in any away game this year. He now faces a Clippers team thats 8th overall in opponent points scored (109.2), and has the sixth best opponent three-point percentage. Tonight he will face Kawhi Leonard, one of the best two way players in the game, and most likely Ivica Zubac.

As Julius Randle continues his struggles, I am going to full fade over points for tonight. 18.5 seems like a low line, especially for a player who averaged close to 25 points last season. The Clippers are a solid defensive team, and George and Leonard alone contribute to that. Hoping Randle can turn it around, I have to fade a player who hasn't scored 20 points all season.

Kristaps Porzingis U 25.5 Points + Rebounds (-120)

Season Stats PPG: 19.4 | FG: 60.4 % | 3 PT: 45.5 % | FT: 82.1 % | REB: 7.2 | AST: 1.4 | STL: 0.5 | BLK: 1.8

Career Stats vs Minnesota Timberwolves: PPG: 20.9 | FG: 45.5 % | 3 PT: 41.7% | FT: 44.4 % | REB: 7 | AST: 2.3 | STL: 0.7 | BLK: 2.5

When I originally made this bet, Kristaps Porzingis, of the Boston Celtics, was not listed on the injury report. Since, he's been listed as questionable with a right eye sty. Tonight, the Celtics (5-0, 3-0 Away) will matchup against the Minnesota Timberwolves (3-2, 3-0 Home) on the road. If available to suit up, Porzingis is having a stellar inaugural season with Boston, averaging 19.4 points and 7.2 rebounds per game.

With Derrick White out with personal reasons, the Celtics would run a double big lineup with Al Horford and Porzingis. Even with White in and out of the lineup, Porzingis has had several looks inside and beyond the perimeter. The Celtics are ranked 8th in second chance points, in large part to Jayson Tatum and Porzingis. However, tonight Porzingis will face a double big lineup against the Timberwolves. Centered around big men Karl-Anthony Towns and Rudy Gobert, Minnesota ranks first in opponent points per game (99.6), and fourth in rebounds (41.4).

Why Porzingis under points will cash out

If you're betting on the NBA, yes, this prop hit in three of the last five games. Running a double big lineup with Horford will impact rebounding, and so will playing against Towns and Gobert. With so much talent and scoring ability on the Celtics, it's very hard to predict who will have the hot hand night to night.

Overall, Porzingis has hit over points and rebounds once in his last two games against Minnesota. A versatile rim-protector, the Unicorn compiled 20 points and rebounds in his last matchup against the Wolves. If you look at the stats, this is a prop that hit over 70 percent during his time with the Washington Wizards. Now, Porzingis isn't the first option in Boston, and could be the third or fourth at times. Minnesota has a mean defense, who ranks top in opponent three point percentage, and points in the paint. If Porzingis is able to play, his matchup certainly won't be easy.

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Sara Jane Gamelli is a full-time Sportswriter at Ballislife, and Sports Content Creator on Twitch and TikTok. She has a focus on the NBA, WNBA, NCAA Basketball, and the NFL. Sara Jane currently resides in Connecticut/NYC area with her Cat and Dog. SJ has her undergraduate degree from the University of Connecticut in Economics, with a minor in business administration.

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