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Sparks vs. Dream: Betting Odds & Stats

Sara Jane Gamelli 2505 August 25, 2023 No Comments

The Los Angeles Sparks will matchup against the Atlanta Dream on the road tonight. Here, you will find the WNBA betting odds, stats, and predictions for Friday, August 25th. 

Written & edited by:

Sara Jane Gamelli

The Los Angeles Sparks (14-18, 5-10 Away) will matchup against the Atlanta Dream (16-17, 9-7 Home) on the road tonight. The Sparks, led by Head Coach Curt Miller, are coming off five straight wins. In addition, Los Angeles currently holds the 8th seed, which is two games ahead of the Chicago Sky.

 With eight games to go, both teams will fight to secure a spot in the playoff bracket. In fact, Atlanta leads the series 2-1, and claims the 6th seed, just above the Washington Mystics. In this article, I will break down the WNBA Betting odds, stats, trends, and predictions. The game will begin at 8PM EST, at Gateway Center, located in College Park, Georgia. If you're looking to watch and bet on the game, it will air on ION. If you are looking for the best betting odds, stats and analysis, here is information to know.

WNBA Betting: Los Angeles Sparks vs. Atlanta Dream Odds

Odds courtesy of DraftKings SportsBook

Los Angeles Sparks -1.5 (-115)

The Los Angeles Sparks remain one of the hottest teams in the WNBA and stand at 5-2 in the month of August. Fresh off a five-game win streak, Curt Millers Sparks head into tonight's matchup with a two-game lead over the Chicago Sky for the 8th seed. With eight games left to play in the regular season, Los Angeles looks to improve upon their 5-10 record on the road. The Atlanta Dream are coming off a 112-100 loss against the Las Vegas Aces, which was a high scoring affair. Unfortunately, Atlanta's star Allisha Gray is doubtful for tonight's game, due to an ankle injury. Although Atlanta claims the 6th seed, they've dropped four of the last five, and only covered the spread twice, in five games.

Season Matchup

Tonight, is the final matchup of the regular season between the Sparks and the Dream. In the first two games, Atlanta defeated Los Angeles, in which they nearly averaged 92 points per game. In their last meeting, less than two weeks ago, the Sparks defeated the Dream 85-74.

It's easy to look at the matchups, and see Atlanta has dominated throughout the matchups, including spread coverage. Although Gray wasn't a factor much last game, all eyes will be on Rhyne Howard and Cheyenne Parker tonight.

Through three events, the Dream outscored the Sparks by 28 points. In Game one, Howard erupted for 43 points, in which Atlanta shot 43 percent from the three. In addition, Nneka Ogwumike led the way for the Sparks with 25 points.

Although Atlanta was a powerhouse through the first few games, Los Angeles held them to 74 points in game three. Los Angeles held Atlanta to 17 percent shooting from downtown, in which they shot 4-23.

Why the Sparks will Cover

Although there are multiple matchups to compare, we cannot ignore the level of basketball the Sparks are playing as of right now. In the month of August, the Sparks have the third best win percentage, and have a consistent starting lineup. Plagued with injuries, Millers squad ranks first in three-point percentage (43), second in free-throw percentage (85), and fifth in total points this month. Moreover, Los Angeles allows 80.4 opponent points per game, whereas the Dream allow 84.5 points. Through every matchup, the Sparks have become an efficient defensive team, ranking second in opponent three-point percentage per game (31.2). In addition, the purple and gold hold their competitors to 7 made three-pointers per game, 66.2 field goal attempts, and rank 2nd in defensively efficiency this month.

If you're betting on the WNBA, the Sparks are 5-0 against the spread, and 7-3 in their last ten games. In fact, they have an overall record of 16-14-2, and average 16 points off turnovers. Through the last ten games, LA is averaging 89 points a game, and limiting the opposition to 76 points. With a consistent starting five, we've seen the emergence of Jordin Canada, Layshia Clarendon, Azura Stevens, and Karlie Samuelson, in addition to Ogwumike.

Final Prediction

Tonight, the Atlanta Dream will be without star Allisha Gray, who accounts for twenty percent of the offense. Although Atlanta lost four of their last five, they scored 100 points against the Aces on Thursday. In that defeat, Howard led the way with 27 points, and Haley Jones with 23 points off the bench. If you're betting on the WNBA, tonight's game should be a tough battle. The Dream rank third in rebounds, and 5th overall in points. With playoffs on the line, I expect both teams to play competitive. Los Angeles has played exceptional defense as of late, trapping players, and playing the perimeter tight.

Season Statistics & Betting Trends

Los Angeles Sparks

  • LA Sparks: 5-0 in their last 5 games.
  • 7-3 in their last 10 games.
  • ATS Record: 16-14-2
  • O/U Record: 13-19-0
  • 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games.
  • 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games.
  • O/U is 2-3 in the last 5 games.
  • O/U: 2-8 in the last 10 games.
  • 10th in Offensive Rating (98.3)
  • 4th in Defensive Rating (99.4)
  • 10th in Points Per Game (79.4)
  • 6th in Pace: 96.76
  • Opponent Points Per Game: 80.4 (3rd)
  • Three-Point Percentage: 33.5 % (7th)
  • Rebounds Per Game: 31.9 (11th)
  • Los Angeles ATS won last 10 games:  Indiana (-2.5, +1), New York (+9, +8.5), Washington (+3, +2.5), Atlanta (+1), Las Vegas (+16.5), Phoenix (-11)

Atlanta Dream

  • ATL Dream: 4-1 in their last 5 games.
  • 3-10 in their last 10 games.
  • ATS Record: 16-17-0
  • O/U Record: 14-19-0
  • 2-3 ATS in their last 5 games.
  • 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games.
  • O/U is 1-4 in the last 5 games.
  • O/U: 2-8 in the last 10 games.
  • 8th in Offensive Rating (99.3)
  • 6th in Defensive Rating (101.6)
  • 5th in Points Per Game (82.7)
  • 1st in Pace: 99.50
  • Opponent Points Per Game: 84.8 (12th)
  • Three-Point Percentage: 34.2 % (6th)
  • Rebounds Per Game: 36 (3rd)
  • Atlanta ATS won last 10 games:  Indiana (-8), Chicago (-2), Las Vegas (+16)

Head-to-head stats: Sparks vs. Dream

Season Matchups:

Game 1: Atlanta 112, Los Angeles 84 (Atlanta -5.5, Over 165)
Game 2: Atlanta 90, Los Angeles 79 (Atlanta +2, Over 168)
Game 3: Los Angeles 85, Atlanta 74 (LA +1, Under 164)

  • Atlanta leads the season series 2-1.
  • The Dream are 2-1 ATS vs. the Sparks this season
  • Game Points (AVG) last 10 matchups: 155
  • Dream average points vs. Sparks last 10 games: 76
  • Sparks average points vs Dream last 10 games: 79
  • Los Angeles average points last 10 games: 82
  • Atlanta average points last 10 games: 77

Injuries

Los Angeles Sparks

  • Lexie Brown, Guard: OUT (illness)
  • Nia Clouden, Guard: OUT (knee)
  • Chiney Ogwumike, Forward: OUT (foot)
  • Katie Lou Samuelson, Foward: OUT

Atlanta Dream

  • Allisha Gray, Guard: Doubtful (Ankle)
  • Nia Coffey, forward: OUT

Stay tuned for more WNBA and betting related articles. Click here for more WNBA betting strategies.

Sara Jane Gamelli is a full-time Sportswriter at BallisLife, and Sports Content Creator on Twitch. She has a focus on the NBA, WNBA, NCAA Basketball, and the NFL. Sara Jane currently resides in Connecticut with her Cat and Dog. SJ has her undergraduate degree from the University of Connecticut in Economics.

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