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WNBA Daily: Straight Bets, Odds & Stats

Sara Jane Gamelli 1440 July 28, 2023 No Comments

July 28th best daily WNBA bets, odds, stats, and predictions.

Written and edited by:

Sara Jane Gamelli

Its Friday, and there are three games on the WNBA slate today, all beginning at 8 PM EST. The Seattle Storm (4-19, 2-8 Away) will face off against the Chicago Sky (9-14, 4-8). The Washington Mystics (12-11, 4-7 Away) will match up against the Dallas Wings (13-10, 8-3), and the Minnesota Lynx (11-13, 5-5) play the New York Liberty on the road (18-5, 10-3 Home). All games will be broadcasted on Ion. If you're interested in watching all games, the WNBA League Pass is available. If you are looking for the best betting odds, stats and analysis, here is some information to know.

All odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook.

New York Liberty -14.5 (-110)

The New York Liberty are off to their best start in franchise history, at 18-5. The core trio of Breanna Stewart, Sabrina Ionescu, and Jonquel Jones makes New York one of the most dominant teams in the league. The Liberty are coming off a four-game win streak, against Atlanta, Seattle, Indiana, and Washington. The emergence of Betnijah Laney, and high IQ from Courtney Vandersloot has been incredible, especially in the last four matchups. New York is 10-3 at home, and their Offensive Rating stands second at 108, behind the Las Vegas Aces. The Liberty are 2-1 against the spread in the last three games and will face a Lynx that will be without their star, Napheesa Collier. New York is coming off a 95-84 win against the Atlanta Dream, in which they covered the -9 spread.

Betting Trends

  • New York Liberty are 4-0 in their last 4 games.
  • Minnesota Lynx are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
  • New York Liberty are 8-2 in their last 10 games.
  • Minnesota Lynx are 6-4 in their last 10 games.
  • Liberty Overall ATS Record: 10-13-0
  • Liberty Overall O/U Record: 15-8-0
  • Lynx Overall ATS Record: 12-11-0
  • Lynx Overall O/U Record: 12-12-0.
  • The Liberty are 2-2 ATS in their last 4 games.
  • The Liberty are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games.
  • The Lynx are 1-2-1 ATS in their last 4 games.
  • The Lynx are 5-4-1 ATS in their last 10 games.
  • The Liberty O/U is 6-4 in the last 10 games.
  • The Lynx O/U is 7-3 in the last 10 games.
  • NY ATS won last 10 games:  Atlanta (-9), Indiana (-13), Seattle (-10)
  • MIN ATS won last 10 games: Seattle (+3), Phoenix (+1.5), Indiana (-2), Phoenix (-5), Washington (-3.5).

Head-To-Head Stats: Liberty vs. Lynx

  • Tonight, will be the first matchup of the year between the Liberty and Lynx.
  • Game Points (AVG) last 10 matchups: 158.
  • Liberty average points vs. Lynx last 10 games: 75
  • Lynx average points vs Liberty last 10 games: 82
  • Liberty average points last 10 games: 90
  • Lynx average points last 10 games: 83
  • New York ranks 2nd in Offensive Rating (109.9)
  • Minnesota ranks 8th in Offensive Rating (100.6)
  • New York Points Per Game: 89 (2nd)
  • Minnesota Points Per Game: 79.9 (8th)
  • New York Rebounds Per Game: 37.7 (2nd)
  • Minnesota Rebounds Per Game: 34.4 (6th)
  • New York ranks 4th in Defensive Rating (101.8)
  • Minnesota ranks 11th in Defensive Rating (107.7)
  • New York Opponent Points Per Game: 82.4
  • Minnesota Opponent Points Per Game: 85.5
  • New York Net Rating: 108.0 (2nd)
  • Minnesota Net Rating: 99 (8th)

Injuries

New York Liberty

  • Stefanie Dolson, Center (OUT): Ankle
  • Han Xu, Center (OUT): Suspended
  • Courtney Vandersloot (OUT)

Minnesota Lynx

  • Napheesa Collier, Forward (OUT)
  • Natalie Achonwa, Forward (OUT)
  • Rachel Banham, Guard (OUT): Right thumb fracture

Prediction

This matchup is the first of the season, and a previous postponed game, due to the air quality in Brooklyn. The Minnesota Lynx will be without their star, Napheesa Collier, who left Wednesday's game against Washington with an ankle injury. Guard Rachel Banham will be out for the game as well, with a fractured thumb. New York has won four straight games, however, only covered the spread in Indiana (-13), and Atlanta (-9). In their last 10, the Liberty is averaging 90 points a game, and is playing exceptional team basketball. With Collier out, Minnesota loses a player who makes up 27 percent of the Lynx total offense. Minnesota will have to rely on rookie Dorka Juhasz to handle Jonquel Jones in the paint. Forward, Jessica Shepard is back from illness, however, she only played 8 minutes last game against Connecticut.

Breanna Stewart is coming off another double double, 33 points and 12 rebounds. Jonquel Jones is playing elite basketball and has four straight double doubles. Without Collier, Minnesota will be without the bulk of their offense, and rebounding. The Liberty also have an incredibly deep bench. I just got word, New York will be without playmaker, Courtney Vandersloot. At times, New York has blown big leads, however, I like their chances to cover -14.5, with Collier out.

Washington Mystics vs. Dallas Wings OVER 165.5 Points (-114)

The Washington Mystics remain without their star player, Elena Delle Donne, along with Shakira Austin. Since losing both, Washington remains at 3-5 since June 30th. The Minnesota Lynx defeated the Mystics 97-92 on Wednesday, in which the over hit (189). Mystics players Brittney Sykes, Myisha Hines-Allen, and Natasha Cloud had points in double figures, and the Mystics bench added 26 points.

The Dallas Wings rank first in the league in fast break and second chance points. Dallas stands at 13-10, behind Las Vegas in the Western Conference, and ranks third in points per game (85.8). Since July 7, the Wings won five straight games, and are 5-1 in their last six. Dallas lost their last game against the Connecticut Sun, 88-83, in which the over hit (171). Satou Sabally had her second straight double double, along with Teaira McCowan, with 21 points and 15 rebounds. Arike Ogunbowale led the team with 40 minutes and 25 points.

Betting Trends

  • Washington Mystics are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
  • Dallas Wings are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
  • Washington Mystics are 4-6 in their last 10 games.
  • Dallas Wings are 7-3 in their last 10 games.
  • Mystics ATS Record: 11-12-0
  • Mystics Overall O/U Record: 9-13-1
  • Wings Overall ATS Record: 11-11-1
  • Wings Overall O/U Record: 11-12-0
  • Mystics are 3-2 ATS in their last 5 games.
  • Mystics are 5-5 ATS in their last 10 games.
  • Wings are 3-2 ATS in their last 5 games.
  • Wings are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games.
  • Mystics O/U is 7-3 in the last 10 games.
  • Wings O/U is 5-5 in the last 10 games.

Head-To-Head Stats: Mystics vs. Wings

  • The Season series is split 1-1
  • Both matchups hit the UNDER (161, 149)
  • Game Points (AVG) last 10 matchups: 166
  • Mystics average points vs. Wings last 10 games: 84
  • Wings average points vs Mystics last 10 games: 82
  • Mystics average points last 10 games: 88
  • Wings average points last 10 games: 87
  • Washington ranks 7th in Offensive Rating (102.5)
  • Dallas ranks 3rd in Offensive Rating (107.5)
  • Washington Points Per Game: 81.9 (6th)
  • Dallas Points Per Game: 85.8 (3rd)
  • Washington Rebounds Per Game: 33.1 (10th)
  • Dallas Rebounds Per Game: 39.5 (1st)
  • Washington ranks 3rd in Defensive Rating (100)
  • Dallas ranks 7th in Defensive Rating (103.4)
  • Washington Opponent Points Per Game: 79.9
  • Dallas Opponent Points Per Game: 82.6
  • Washington Net Rating: 2.4 (5th)
  • Dallas Net Rating: 4.0 (4th)

Injuries

Washington Mystics

  • Elena Delle Donne, Forward (OUT): Ankle
  • Ariel Atkins, Guard (OUT)
  • Shakira Austin, Center (OUT): Hip
  • Krisi Toliver, Guard (OUT): Foot

Dallas Wings

  • Lou Lopez Senechal, Guard (OUT): Knee
  • Diamond DeShields, Guard (OUT): Knee

Prediction

I promise, there is a method to my madness here. The Series between Dallas and Washington is split 1-1, in which the under hit both games (161,149). However, we cannot ignore the fact Dallas has hit four straight overs. In the last ten games, both teams are averaging nearly 90 points a game, and Washington hit the over two out of their last three games. The Wings play at a high tempo and dropped 107 points against Minnesota on July 12th. In the last three games, the Wings scored 98 points twice, and Washington 92 and 87 in the last four games.

In the last five games, the Mystics hit over 165.5 points three times, against the Lynx, Liberty, and Storm. Dallas hit over 165.5 points in four straight games and are 5-5 in their last ten games. With both team's recent trend of high offensive scoring, I like the over here. The Wings rank first in rebounding, which allows them to score a high number of second chance points. The Mystics shot 38 percent from the three last game. Even with injuries, there are heavy hitters on both sides.

Chicago Sky -4.5 (-120)

The Seattle Storm have lost 10 straight games and haven't won a single matchup in a month. Seattle commanded a 15-point lead against New York; however, the Liberty were able to escape with a win. MVP candidate, Jewell Loyd continued her dominance last game, scoring 32 points, on (9-23 shooting). Center, Ezi Magbegor had a double double against the Liberty, and three straight games with points in double figures. Over their ten-game skid, Seattle covered the spread four times, and the over hit five times. Seattle ranks last in field goal percentage (40) and near last in points per game.

The Chicago Sky are fifth in the Eastern Conference, at 9-14, and lost their matchup 107-95, against the Las Vegas Aces. In their last ten, Chicago is 4-6, and had an easy win over Seattle, 90-75, on July 22nd. In their last matchup, both Kahleah Copper Marina Mabrey had points in double figures. Jewell Loyd was held to 2-11 shooting, and 12 points last game against Chicago.

Betting Trends

  • Seattle Storm are 0-5 in their last 5 games.
  • Chicago Sky are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
  • Seattle Storm are 0-10 in their last 10 games.
  • Chicago Sky are 4-6 in their last 10 games.
  • Storm ATS Record: 12-10-1
  • Storm Overall O/U Record: 12-11-0
  • Sky Overall ATS Record: 12-9-2
  • Sky Overall O/U Record: 10-13-0
  • Storm are 3-2 ATS in their last 5 games.
  • Storm are 4-6 ATS in their last 10 games.
  • Sky are 2-3 ATS in their last 5 games.
  • Sky are 5-5 ATS in their last 10 games.
  • Storm O/U is 5-5 in the last 10 games.
  • Sky O/U is 5-5 in the last 10 games.

Head-To-Head Stats: Storm vs. Sky

  • The Sky defeated the Storm 90-75, on July 22nd.
  • The matchup hit the Over (165)
  • Game Points (AVG) last 10 matchups: 168
  • Storm average points vs. Sky last 10 games: 85
  • Sky average points vs Storm last 10 games: 83
  • Storm average points last 10 games: 78
  • Sky average points last 10 games: 79
  • Seattle ranks 12th in Offensive Rating (96.8)
  • Chicago ranks 9th in Offensive Rating (99.3)
  • Seattle Points Per Game: 78.3 (10th)
  • Chicago Points Per Game: 78.3 (10th)
  • Seattle Rebounds Per Game: 33.7 (9th)
  • Chicago Rebounds Per Game: 34.1 (7th)
  • Seattle ranks 9th in Defensive Rating (106.6)
  • Chicago ranks 8th in Defensive Rating (104.7)
  • Seattle Opponent Points Per Game: 86.2
  • Chicago Opponent Points Per Game: 82.5
  • Seattle Net Rating: -9.5 (12th)
  • Chicago Net Rating: -5.5 (9th)

Injuries

Seattle Storm

  • None

Chicago Sky

  • Rebekah Garnder, Guard (OUT): Knee
  • Isabelle Harrison, Forward (OUT): Knee

Prediction

Seattle is the middle of a dreadful ten game losing streak, and I want to say this is the game it will stop. However, I am full fading Seattle, in which they've lost all ten games by an average of eleven points. Last matchup, Seattle couldn't cover the -2 spread against Chicago, and lost by 15 points. The Storm are the worst team in the league, and both teams rank near last in offensive and defensive rating. Chicago has been streaky all season, losing four in a row before their last win against Seattle. The Storm did cover the spread against the Liberty; however, I'm taking Chicago -4.5 here at home. The Sky are 12-9-2 against the spread this season and covered in two straight games.

Stay tuned for more WNBA and betting related articles. Click here for more WNBA betting strategies.

Sara Jane Gamelli is a full-time Sportswriter at BallisLife, and Sports Content Creator on Twitch. She has a focus on the NBA, WNBA, NCAA Basketball, and the NFL. Sara Jane currently resides in Connecticut with her Cat and Dog. She is a Boston Celtics, Boston Bruins, New York Yankees, and New York Giants fan. SJ has her undergraduate degree from the University of Connecticut in Economics.

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