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NBA Betting: Favorite Bets for Jan. 10

Sara Jane Gamelli 13222 January 10, 2024 No Comments

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Sara Jane Gamelli

There are 10 games on the NBA slate tonight, beginning at 7 p.m. and 10:30 p.m. ET. With several key matchups, I have four recommended player props, and a few game props. For my picks, I took them all as straight bets, no more than 1 u on each.

Odds are current as of Jan. 10, at 12:30 p.m. ET
SJ's NBA Straight Player Prop Record: 11-4-1, up 7.5 units
SJ's NBA Straight Money line Record: 9-3, up 16.2 unites
SJ's NBA Spread Record: 4-4-0

Here you will find the NBA betting odds, stats, trends, player prop bets, and predictions for Wednesday, Jan 10.

NBA Daily Game Odds for 1/10

*Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook

Timberwolves (+295) @ Celtics (-9): O/U 223
Wizards (+260) @ Pacers (-7.5): O/U 252.5
Spurs (-3) @ Pistons (+130): O/U 238
Kings (-7.5) @ Hornets (+235): O/U 230.5
Thunder (-4.5) @ Heat (+150): O/U 233
76ers (+100) @ Hawks (-1.5): O/U 243.5
Rockets (+142) @ Bulls (-4): O/U 216.5
Pelicans (-2) @ Warriors (+114): O/U 234
Nuggets (-7) @ Jazz (+210): O/U 237.5
Raptors (+380) @ Clippers (-10): O/U 237.5

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NBA Bet #1: John Collins O 19.5 PRA: .6u -125 (DK)

Season Stats PPG: 14 | FG: 49.3 % | 3 PT: 37.3 % | FT: 76.5 % | REB: 7.7 | AST: 0.9 | STL: 0.6 | BLK: 0.8

If there's a player I've never bet on, it's John Collins. Now in his first season with the Utah Jazz, Collins always seems to be at the center of trade rumors. With less than a month before the deadline, he remains a starter for Utah.

If you break down Collins stats, he's been one of the more consistent players when it comes to a combined points, rebounds, and assists per game. While he's only averaging 0.9 dimes on the year, he's hit over 19.5 PRAs 75 percent this season.

A prop that's hit in five straight games, Collins hit over this prop 70 percent of the last ten games, and 100 percent of the last five. Averaging 14 points, 7.7 rebounds this season, Utah has been primarily starting Collins at the five. Coming off two consecutive 19 point performances against Milwaukee and Philadelphia is impressive. In his last five games, Collins is averaging 5.6 rebounds, 16.5 points, and 1.8 assists. I'm comfortable with this prop based off his point averages alone.

Information courtesy of Props.Cash

John Collins has been consistent

A starter in 32 of 34 games played this season, No. 20 averages 28.4 minutes of playing time, and will get a tough defensive matchup against the Nuggets tonight.

Collins added 15 points, one assist, and nine rebounds in one matchup against the Nuggets this season.

Coming off one days rest, his prop stats are stellar, hitting the over in 8 of the last 10 games, and 25 of the last 30. Now in his seventh NBA season, Collins has improved his three-point shooting drastically, averaging 37.3 percent from downtown. His best three-point shooting percentage since the 2020-2021 season, Collins is grabbing close to 8 rebounds, which is significantly higher than his previous season with the Atlanta Hawks.

Compiling a combined 25 PRAs against Denver on Oct. 30, the former Hawk faces a Denver defense thats allowed Mortiz Wager, Kevon Looney, Nick Richards, Chet Holmgren, James Wiseman, Paolo Banchero, Dario Saric, and Jonatham Kuminga to all hit over their props.

While Denver ranks 4th against his position, Collins hits this prop 100 percent of the time when he plays 34 minutes or more. I'm grabbing the prop while he's hot, and elevated off rest.

NBA Bet #2: Simone Fontecchio O .5 steals : .6u -190 (DK)

Season Stats PPG: 9.1 | FG: 45.3 % | 3 PT: 39.3 % | FT: 77.1 % | REB: 3.8 | AST: 1.3 | STL: 0.7 | BLK: 0.4

Most recent, Utah Jazz Head Coach Will Hardy has praised Simone Fontecchio for his recent hustle and hard work. Becoming a frequent starter in his second season with Utah, look for Fontecchio to have one steal tonight versus the Denver Nuggets.

Not one of the more popular props, Simone Fontecchio has a steal in seven straight games, and 100 percent in the last five. A 69 percent hit rate this season, Fontecchio hit this prop in 90 percent of the last ten games. While his three-point prop his trending, I'm going for the defense tonight.

Averaging 1.2 steals in the last ten games, the Jazz swingman has proven he can be a rotation player and starter in the NBA. Known for his big buckets behind the three point line, he's facing a Denver team, who only turns the ball over 12.5 times per game.

Information courtesy of Props.Cash

Why I like this to hit tonight

With Denver's starting unit back, they've recently allowed Bojan Bogdanovic, Miles Bridges, Luguentz Dort, Jalen Williams to all have at least one steal. In addition, they've allowed seven out of the last eight guards to record one steal in their recent matchups.

A prop that has a 62 percent hit rate when playing at least 25 minutes, Fontecchio is averaging 30.6 minutes played in the month of January. Coming off 32 minutes against the Milwaukee Bucks, the forward has at least one steal this month against the Bucks, 76ers, Celtics, Pistons, and Mavericks. Quite impressive, four of those teams are above .500 and don't turn the ball over often.

The Italian product is a versatile defender, who will challenge the Nuggets tonight. Even with Jordan Clarkson active, Fontecchio has been able to contribute on this team. While his offense has slightly declined, he has a total of 24 steals in 36 games played this season.

While the Jazz rank in the lower half in steals per game (8.7), Fontecchio will likely be matched up with Michael Porter Jr., who's averaging one turnover per game this season. Both Jamal Murray and Kentavious Caldwell-Pope average a combined 2.9 turnovers per game.

If you're betting on the NBA tonight, I'm hot on this defensive prop tonight.

NBA Bet #3: Victor Wembanyama O 2.5 blocks: .6u -190 (DK)

Season Stats PPG: 19.3 | FG: 44.9 % | 3 PT: 29.5 % | FT: 79.6 % | REB: 10.1 | AST: 2.8 | STL: 1.2 | BLK: 3.3

(Photo by Kate Frese/NBAE via Getty Images)

Spurs sensation Victor Wembanyama is surely making his case for this year's Most Valuable Player, alongside Thunder's Chet Holmgren. Averaging a double-double--19.3 points and 10.1 rebounds this season, the center has 3.3 blocks per game on average. While he is listed at 7 foot 4, several players stated he's closer to 7 foot 5.

He's a defensive juggernaut

Putting up historic stats as a Rookie, Wembanyama stiffling defense has been showcased all season long. Breaking records left and right, he's recorded 10 games with 20+ points and 4+ blocks. With all these accomplishments, I love this prop.

Tonight, is the the battle of two of the worst teams in the league, the San Antonio Spurs and the Detroit Pistons. While both have a combined eight wins on the season, Wembanyama leads the NBA in blocks, next to Bucks Brook Lopez.

Three straight games with over 2.5 blocks, Wemby has a combined 14 blocks in those last three matchups. A hit rate of 80 percent in the last five games, the Spurs center has at least 2.5 blocks in 12 of the last 15 games. If you're betting on the NBA, these are great stats, especially for his matchup this evening.

Information courtesy of Props.Cash

Both teams are without players due to injury. For the Spurs, center Zach Collins is listed as out for tonight. The Detroit Pistons will be without star guard Cade Cunningham, along with big man Isaiah Stewart. Even with this injury list, Wembanyama hit this prop 100 % in three games without these players.

This evening, the rookie will get his first matchup with Detroit. While the Pistons have big man Jalen Duren, they rank 27th in opponent blocks per game (6.2), and 30th in steals (8.2). While I took him for 2.5 blocks, I would be comfortable taking steals and blocks.

Why I love this prop

While Detroit is ranked 16th against centers, Wembanyama hit this prop 58 percent this season, and in 100 % of the last five road games. After injuring his ankle in late December, Spurs Head Coach Greg Popovich has been careful handling Wembanyama's injur. Rested in back-to-backs in late December, Wemby is coming of plenty of rest tonight.

Off two days rest, the French Native has performed very well. Known for his defensive prowess, this prop has a 75 percent hit rate off certain days rest. The center last had five blocks against the Cleveland Cavaliers off two days rest.

An elite matchup with the Pistons, they've allowed Nikola Jokic, Walker Kessler, Jakob Poeltl, Nic Claxton, and Day'Ron Sharpe to all have over 2.5 blocks. Most recently, No. 1 has performed extremely well against teams who are in the bottom tier against blocks. This season, he had seven against Portland, five against Utah, and 12 combined in two matchups against Memphis.

Despite minute restrictions mentioned above, this is a strong prop for tonight. Averaging 25.7 minutes and 4.7 blocks per game in January, this prop and the line is too good to pass over.

NBA Game Props for 1/10

San Antonio Spurs Money Line: .6u -156 (DK)

Tonight is the battle of the two worst teams in the NBA. The Spurs (5-30, 3-15 away) will matchup with the Detroit Pistons (3-34, 2-15 away) on the road tonight.

7-3 against Detroit in their last ten meetings, the Spurs are coming five straight losses. 1-9 in their last ten games, they are due tonight. Similarly, the Pistons endured five straight losses, and have just one win in the last ten games. They are coming off back-to-back games, where San Antonio hasn't played a game since Jan. 7.

After blowing a 20 point lead last night, I simply don't believe in the Detroit Pistons. Their biggest accomplishment this season, has been snapping their historic 28 game losing streak.

While I like Spurs money line, I like them to cover the -3.5 spread as well, and I am surprised that number isn't higher. The Pistons will be without their star Cade Cunningham tonight. Look for the Spurs to get back on the board tonight.

Sacramento Kings -6.5: -6u -135 (DK)

The Sacramento Kings (22-14, 9-7 away) will matchup against the Charlotte Hornets (8-26, 4-12 home) on the road tonight.

8-2 in their last ten meetings against the Kings, the Hornets have P.J. Washington on the injury report. With a 1-9 win/loss record in the last two games, the Hornets are already without LaMelo Ball, Gordon Hayward, and Mark Williams.

In their last matchup, the Hornets declared a 111-104 victory over the Kings, and they did so on the road. While they was a great win, I do believe Sacramento will cover the points tonight.

Now at -8 on Draft Kings, I grabbed the original line with Sacramento favored by -6.5. This is the second stop of their five game road trip this week.

6-4 in their last ten games, the Kings are coming off a second half back-to-back, including a win over the Pistons Tuesday night. While back-to-back games can be hard to bet on

Look for a revenge game tonight for Sacramento. Overall, the Kings are 19-17-0 against the spread this season, and the Hornets, 14-20-0. With only eight wins on the season for Charlotte, four of them came at home (4-12).

Other Picks

Chicago Bulls Money Line: -6u -170 (DK)

Minnesota Timberwolves +9: .6u -112 (DK):

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Sara Jane Gamelli is a full-time Sportswriter at Ballislife, and Sports Content Creator on Twitch and TikTok. She has a focus on the NBA, WNBA, NCAA Basketball, and the NFL. Sara Jane currently resides in Connecticut/NYC area with her Cat and Dog. SJ has her undergraduate degree from the University of Connecticut in Economics, with a minor in business administration.

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