NBA betting: favorite player props for Jan. 21

There are six games on the Sunday NBA slate, beginning at 3:30 p.m. ET and 10:00 p.m. ET. The Phoenix Sun have won four straight games following the return of their big three. Will newly acquired Pascal Siakam and the Indiana Pacers get a road victory against Phoenix? With the Miami Heat and Orlando Magic neck-and-neck in the standings, these two teams will matchup tonight in Orlando.

I have several recommended player props for today. For my picks, I took them all as straight bets, no more than 1 u on each. Here you will find the NBA betting odds, stats, trends, player prop bets, and predictions for Sunday, Jan. 21.

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Odds are current as of Jan. 21, at 1 p.m. ET
SJ's NBA Player Prop record this season: 14-11

NBA Bet #1: Grayson Allen O 2.5 Assists (-166)

Season Stats PPG: 13.8 | FG: 50.3 % | 3 PT: 48.1 % | FT: 88.9 % | REB: 4.2 | AST: 3 | STL: 1 | BLK: 1

Statistics courtesy of Props.Cash (Home Games)

Tonight, the Phoenix Suns (23-18, 12-11 home) will host the Indiana Pacers (24-18, 11-10 away) tonight. One of my favorite props, I am taking Grayson Allen, of the Suns, to dish over 2.5 assists tonight. In addition, I found the best value at the time on Draft Kings Sportsbook.

If you're betting on the NBA, Grayson Allen is a vital part of this Phoenix team, and remains a member of the starting five. Now with his fourth team in seven years, Allen is averaging career-highs in assists(3), points (13.8), rebounds (4.2), three-point percentage (48.1 %), field goal percentage (50.3 %), and minutes per game (33.4). Overall, he's flourishing into a prolific deep shooter and role player for Phoenix.

Coming off one days rest, Allen had a 12 point and six assist performance against the New Orleans Pelicans on Friday. With Bradley Beal healthy and back in the lineup, the Suns have significant threats offensively on both the weak and strong side of the ball. With 12 assists in the last two matchups. Allen will look to expand on that tonight.

The Indiana Pacers still remain one of the worst defensive teams in the league, While they've recently acquired two-way player Pascal Siakam, they allow the 29th most points (123.3), and 25.2 assists per game.

It's undeniable Allen's value has increased this season. He's been fairly consistent in the assists category, especially over the past two months. In the month of January, the forward averages 3.6 assists, and in December, he dished over 4 assists per game. Just having Devin Booker, Beal, and Kevin Durant alongside him alone should boost this prop value.

A prop that's hit the over in 10 of the last 12 games, Allen has over 2.5 assists in 80 percent of the last 10 games. A 67 percent hit rate this season, he's 100 percent vs. the Pacers in the last three meetings, dating back to Jan. 2023.

Although it's their first matchup of the season, the Pacers recently allowed Michael Porter Jr., Jayson Tatum, Khris Middleton, Malcom Brogdon, and Kevin Huerter to all have over 2.5 assists. In addition, this prop has a hit rate when Allen plays 33.4 minutes or more. While I'm confident in his minutes, Allens over hit rate is 90 % of the last 10 home games. It's also important to note he's dished out over 2.5 dimes in nine straight home games.

Off one days rest, he's been equally as consistent, hitting the over in seven straight games. Overall, he's tallying 3.4 assists at home this year. This prop to me is easy money, as Allens been quite overshadowed by the big three. While he doesn't seem like the typical playmaker, he's averaging way over 2.5 assists per game in the last 10 games.

When it comes to betting, I'm all about trends and finding the best value. With the fast pace Indiana plays at, this prop should soar over today. All signs point to the Suns starting five clicking together, along with Allen trending in the right direction.

Bet #2: Paul George O 2.5 Assists (-150)

Season Stats PPG: 23.9 | FG: 46.8 % | 3 PT: 42.1 % | FT: 91.1 % | REB: 5.5 | AST: 3.7 | STL: 1.6 | BLK: 0.3

Statistics courtesy of Props.Cash

Paul George and the Los Angeles Clippers (26-14, 17-4 home) will host the Brooklyn Nets (17-24, 7-14 away) this afternoon. One of the best teams in the Western Conference, George is healthy this season, averaging 3.7 assists per game.

If you're betting on the NBA, again, this is one of my favorite props for today. With eight assists in the last two games, George gets the Nets this afternoon.

The Nets overall are a middle of the road team, and below average in the wins/loss column. Allowing 25.9 assists per game, Brooklyn's allowed Anthony Davis, D'Angelo Russell, LeBron James, Jimmy Butler, Austin Reaves, and Malcom Brodgon to all have over 2.5 assists per game against them.

A 70 percent hit rate in home games, George averages 4.2 assists per game in at Arena, which is almost two more than what the line is set at today. As he continues to impress this season, PG13 is dishing out 2.7 assists in the last ten games.

Although he had only one assists in one lone matchup against Brooklyn this season, the forward has been on a facilitating tear, hitting the over in 60 percent of the last ten games. If you're looking to bet on this prop, he has 8 assists in the last three meetings against Brooklyn.

With the recent trade, James Harden has become the Clippers primary playmaker. However, George has dished out over 2.5 assists in 25 of the 38 games he's played this season. Overall, he's playing a great volume of minutes, averaging 35.5 minutes played in the last ten games. A prop thats hit in 10 of the last 15 games, look for No. 13 to fill the boxscore today.

Bet #3: Kevin Durant 30+ Points and Assists (+100 DK Boost)

Season Stats PPG: 28.9 | FG: 52.5 % | 3 PT: 46.6 % | FT: 88.3 % | REB: 6.2 | AST: 5.7 | STL: 0.9 | BLK: 1.1

Statistics courtesy of Props.Cash (Home Games)

This prop was a special I found on Draft Kings, boosted to +100 odds from -185. Averaging 28.9 points and 5.7 assists on the season, Kevin Durant finally has some help. While he's only hit the over in two of the last five games, this has a 79 percent hit rate this season.

Stated previously, Durant gets a matchup with the Pacers, who allow opponents to score nearly 125 points per game. A 50 percent hit rate in the last ten games, Durant has performed historically well against Indiana.

If you're betting on the NBA, I love this prop based off his past matchup history with the Pacers. While he hasn't faced them since 2022, Durant hit well over 40 points and assists in their last two matchups. Most recent, Indiana allowed Jerami Grant, Brogdon, Michael Porter Jr., and Jayson Tatum to all hit above 30 points and assists. As I've mentioned previously, Allen, Booker, and Beal are all reliable scoring options for Durant.

Tonight, Durant should matchup against Pascal Siakam, who's only seen one game with his new team. While Siakam is a two-way threat, Durant may have some challenges there. Overall, he's coming off a 26 point, two assist performance against the New Orleans Pelicans.

Whenever I look at props, I look at volume of minutes and shots taken. With Durant averaging 35.8 minutes in the month of January, he's also putting up 17 field goal attempts per game. Although his scoring production has dipped significantly this month, No. 35 hit this prop in 83 percent of home games this year.

Since the Pacers allow the 12th most assists and the 23rd worst opposing three-point percentage,(38%), I love this boost for tonight. Statistically, the Pacers allow teams to shoot 50 percent from the field, and allow 27 free-throw attempt. This should be a great matchup tonight.

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Sara Jane Gamelli is a full-time Sportswriter at Ballislife, and Sports Content Creator on Twitch and TikTok. She has a focus on the NBA, WNBA, NCAA Basketball, and the NFL. Sara Jane currently resides in Connecticut/NYC area with her Cat and Dog. SJ has her undergraduate degree from the University of Connecticut in Economics, with a minor in business administration.


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