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NBA Daily Betting Odds & Predictions for November 12

Sara Jane Gamelli 3293 November 12, 2023 No Comments

Written and edited by

Sara Jane Gamelli

Today, there are several NBA games to bet on, starting at 3 p.m. and 10 p.m. EDT.  Here you will find the NBA betting odds, stats, trends, player prop bets, and predictions for Wednesday, November 8.

NBA Daily Game Odds for 11/12

*Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook

Wizards (+225) @ Nets (-278) (-7)
Grizzlies(+275) @ Clippers (-345) (-8.5)
Pacers (+230) @ 76ers (-270)(-7)
Nuggets(-165) (-4.5) @ Rockets (+154)
Mavericks (-155) (-3.5) @ Pelicans (+130)
Pistons (+230) @ Bulls (-285) (-7.5)
Heat (-135) (-1) @ Spurs (+114)
OKC (+130) @ Suns (-155) (-3)
Timberwolves (+114) @ Warriors (-135) (-2)
Trail Blazers (+330) @ Lakers (-425) (-10)

Parlay Picks +621 (+776 with Draft Kings Odds Boost)

NBA Bet #1 : Kawhi Leonard O 2.5 Assists (-165)

Season Stats PPG: 22 | FG: 47.8 % | 3 PT: 42.3 % | FT: 50 % | REB: 5.6 | AST: 4 | STL: 1.4 | BLK: 0.3

Career Stats vs Memphis Grizzlies: PPG: 17.7 | FG: 49.1 % | 3 PT: 44.1 % | FT: 81.3 % | REB: 6.8 | AST: 2.3 | STL: 1.2 | BLK:0.6

The Los Angeles Clippers (3-5, 3-0 Home) will matchup against the Memphis Grizzlies (1-8, 1-3 Away) at home tonight. The Clippers are coming off four straight losses, while Memphis have back-to-back losses against the Utah Jazz and the Miami Heat.

After playing in just 52 games last season, Kawhi Leonard is fully healthy this year. If you're betting on the NBA, Leonard has dished over 2.5 assists in seven of the last eight games, and 90 percent in the last ten. In his last matchup against the Dallas Mavericks, Leonard had four assists.

Tonight the Clippers play a Grizzlies team who are still without star Ja Morant, and have several players on the injury report tonight. Memphis ranks 20th in opponent points per game, and 12th in assists allowed per game (24.9). Although the Clippers rank 25th in assists per game, Leonard now has three weapons around him with Paul George, Russell Westbrook, and James Harden.

Why Leonard will hit over 2.5 assists

Defensively, the Grizzlies are the 29th worst teams in terms of opposing three-point percentage (46) and defensive rebounding (26th). Averaging four assists per game, No.2 hit over assists in 100 percent of home games this season, against Portland, San Antonio, and Orlando. In his last matchup against Memphis on March of 2023, Leonard dished out exactly four assists, 1.5 higher than projected tonight. With the season just beginning, this is a prop that hit over 85 percent last season.

There's no doubt the Memphis Grizzlies have regressed this year, in large part due to Morant's suspension and player injuries. Given Memphis gives up a good amount of points, and are weaker around the perimeter, I am fully confident in this prop tonight.

With only Mason Plumlee out for tonight's game, Leonard is one of the best two-way players in the game, who has complete confidence in his team. While the Clippers are still developing chemistry, the forward has plenty of talent to pass to. With a career 2.8 assists against Memphis, I'm all for over assists today.

NBA Bet #2: Zach Collins O 0.5 3PTM (-180)

Season Stats PPG: 13.6 | FG: 54.9% | 3 PT: 25% | FT: 83.3 % | REB: 6.1 | AST: 4.2 | STL: 0 | BLK: 1

Career Stats vs Miami Heat: PPG: 9.4 | FG: 60 % | 3 PT: 55.6 % | FT: 75% | REB: 4.7 | AST: 2 | STL: 0 | BLK: 1

The San Antonio Spurs (3-6, 1-3 Home) will matchup against the Miami Heat (5-4, 2-3 Away) at home tonight. The Heat have won four games in a row, while the Spurs are on a four game losing skid. San Antonio is full of young talent under Head Coach Gregg Popovich, and a constant has been Zach Collins.

If you're betting on the NBA, it's hard to fade Zach Collins O .5 three pointers made tonight. He's hit this prop in five of the last six games, nine of the last ten, and 100 percent in the last five games. Last matchup against the Heat in December of 2022, Collins made over .5 three pointers.

Tonight, the Spurs will face a Heat team that's been without Tyler Herro and Caleb Martin. Miami did announce Jimmy Butler will be available for tonight's matchup after missing last game. The Heat, led by head coach Erik Spoelstra rank 22nd in opponent three point percentage (37) and 9th in total points allowed per game (110). With the Spurs averaging 113 points a game, I am fully confident on this prop tonight.

Why I'm confident in this prop tonight

Zach Collins is having a breakout year with the Spurs, averaging a career high 13.6 points and 29.3 minutes per game. The addition of big man Victor Wembanyama has opened up space on the floor, especially three-pointers. On average, Collins is averaging three attempts from long range, and 28.2 minutes per game in November. A 46.7 percent three-point shooter in November, Collins will now have his chance to extend the streak to eight consecutive games with one three-pointer made.

NBA Bet #3: Aaron Gordon O 0.5 Blocks (-195)

Season Stats PPG: 13.4 | FG: 54.7 % | 3 PT: 27.8 % | FT: 54.5 % | REB: 7.1 | AST: 3.8 | STL: 1.4 | BLK: 1.1

Career Stats vs Houston Rockets: PPG: 13.8 | FG: 50.9 % | 3 PT: 35 % | FT: 63 % | REB: 5.6 | AST:  | STL: 0.6 | BLK: 0.7

The Denver Nuggets (8-1, 2-1 Away) will face the Houston Rockets (5-3, 5-1 Home) on the road tonight. Denver will be without Jamal Murray tonight, and are coming off a four game win steak. The Rockets, led by head coach Ime Udoka, have won five straight games.

When I think of Aaron Gordon, I think of old school style basketball, and a player who can defend and punish players around the rim. Gordon has at least one block in five straight games, and eight of the last nine. If you're betting on the NBA, Gordon hit this prop in 90 percent of the last ten games, and 60 percent in the last 30 games.

This season, Gordon is averaging 1.1 blocks through nine games, and rank 5th in the league in blocks per game (6.3). Tonight, Denver faces a Houston team who allow opponents to average nearly 5.5 block per game, which ranks the 17th worst in the NBA.

Tonight, Gordon will have the challenge of facing both Jabari Smith Jr. and Alperen Sengun. He should feast tonight, against a Rockets team who have smaller guards in Fred VanVleet and Jalen Green. In fact, Gordon has at least one block in 50 percent of the last four matchups against Houston. In their last matchup in April of 2023, Gordon had four total blocks on the night.

NBA Bet #4: Pacers @ 76ers O 238.5 Points

In Indiana Pacers (6-3, 1-1 Away) will matchup against the Philadelphia 76ers (7-1, 5-0 Home) on the road tonight. The Indiana Pacers are a young team, that has been a pleasant surprise this season. The 76ers have adjusted without James Harden, and are a force to be reckoned with in the Eastern Conference.

Both the Pacers and the 76ers rank in the top six in terms of offense. While Indiana is averaging a league leading 126 points per game, Philadelphia 118.6 per game. While the Sixers are a top seven defensive team, Indiana is ranked 26th in overall defensive deficiency.

Undefeated at home, Philadelphia is 4-4 against totals, and Indiana is 8-1-0 for the over, under. In their last ten matchups, the over is 8-2, along with the Sixers record. Indiana is coming two straight games that hit the over, although tonight be affected if Aaron Nesmith is unable to suit up. With Kelly Oubre Jr. out with injury, the 76ers will have to rely on the role players acquired in the James Harden trade. If you bet on the NBA, I'm confident in the over tonight.

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Sara Jane Gamelli is a full-time Sportswriter at Ballislife, and Sports Content Creator on Twitch and TikTok. She has a focus on the NBA, WNBA, NCAA Basketball, and the NFL. Sara Jane currently resides in Connecticut/NYC area with her Cat and Dog. SJ has her undergraduate degree from the University of Connecticut in Economics, with a minor in business administration.

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