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Aces vs. Wings Betting Odds & Predictions: WNBA Semis Game 2

Sara Jane Gamelli 5870 September 26, 2023 No Comments

The Las Vegas Aces will matchup against the Dallas Wings at home for Game two of the Semifinals. After defeating the Wings 97-83, they will look to take a two-game lead. Here, you will find the WNBA betting odds, stats, trends, player prop bets, and predictions for Tuesday, Sept. 26.

Sara Jane Gamelli

Sara Jane Gamelli

LAS VEGAS, NEVADA - SEPTEMBER 24: A'ja Wilson #22 of the Las Vegas Aces reacts to a play in the third quarter of Game One of the 2023 WNBA Playoffs semifinals against the Dallas Wings at Michelob ULTRA Arena on September 24, 2023 in Las Vegas, Nevada. (Photo by Candice Ward/Getty Images)

Can the Wings even up the series?

Tonight, is game two of the WNBA Semifinals between the Las Vegas Aces (1-0, 1-0 Home) and the Dallas Wings (0-1, 0-1 Away). Best of five games, the Aces will have home court advantage, and the Dallas Wings will look to even up the series. With Las Vegas favored by ten points in game one, the Aces defeated the Wings 97-83. With 34 points, four blocks, and eight rebounds, A'ja Wilson is the "only player in WNBA playoff history with back-to-back games with 30 + points, 5+ rebounds, and 3 + blocks." The Aces had four players finish with points in double figures, including Jackie Young with a double-double.

Both the Dallas Wings and the Las Vegas Aces have multiple star players that averaged points in double figures throughout the season. Offensively, Dallas was able to keep up with the Aces 43.5 percent three point shooting. Las Vegas dominated the Wings on the rebounds, 26-19, and Dallas was outscored in the paint, 46-40. For the Wings, they had six players with points in double digits. Becky Hammon's Aces finished the night shooting 100 percent from the free-throw line.

In this article, I will break down the WNBA betting odds, statistics, trends, odds, player prop bets, and predictions. The matchup will begin at 10 p.m. ET, at Michelob ULTRA Arena, located in Las Vegas, Nevada. If you're betting on the WNBA and interested in watching, the game will air on ESPN. For the best betting odds, stats and analysis, here is information to know.

WNBA Odds Game 2: Las Vegas Aces vs. Dallas Wings

Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook

Aces vs. Wings over 175.5

Both the Las Vegas Aces and the Dallas Wings remained two of the top three teams in terms of offensive rating this season. Going into the postseason, Aces remain No. 1, and the Wings at No. 3. They remain the top rebounding teams in the postseason. Contrary to their shooting woes this year, Dallas is shooting 39 percent from three in playoff games. Through the first round, and in the last matchup, Dallas and Las Vegas average over 90 points a game, and average 182 points combined in their last three games.

Las Vegas and Dallas are two teams have a least four players that averaged points in double figures. In Vegas, Jackie Young, A'ja Wilson, Kelsey Plum, and Chelsea Gray are the core. For Dallas, Natasha Howard, Satou Sabally, Teaira McCowan, and Arike Ogunbowale are the foundation. There is too much talent on both sides, I can't fade the over here.

Why the over will hit tonight

For totals, the Wings and Aces finished 24-16-0 during the season, and three of their five matchups, including the playoffs, totaled the over in points. Since the end of July, the Aces average 101.6 points in three matchups against Dallas. The Wings, who averaged nearly 88 points a game this year, are putting up 86 points a game against the Aces since July 30.

While Las Vegas runs a smaller three guard lineup, the Wings have the size to be physical in the paint. Both the Aces and Wings were top teams in pace, and remain among the top in the playoffs. With a higher pace, comes faster game play, and more scoring. Given their high rebounding percentage, Dallas ranks first in second chance scoring, and points in the paint. If the Wings can continue their improbably shooting from long range, combined with their inside play, I fully expect the over to hit tonight.

Arike Ogunbowale under 20.5 points

Season Stats: PPG: 21.2 | FG: 39.8 % | 3 PT: 34.3 % | FT: 87.6 % | REB: 3.4 | AST: 4.5 |STL: 1.7

Playoff Stats: PPG: 18.7 | FG: 40.4 % | 3 PT: 31.3 % | FT: 64.3 % | REB: 4.7 | AST: 6.7 | STL:1.7 

Season Stats vs LV: PPG: 14.8 | FG: 33 % | 3 PT: 27.6 % | FT: 25 % | REB: 3.8 | AST: 4.5 | STL: 3 

Arike Ogunbowale is one of the most talented guards in the WNBA. Averaging over 21 points a game during the regular season, Ogunbowale has been a key piece of this Wings team, including the playoffs. In four regular season matchups against the Aces, No. 24s numbers dipped drastically. She averaged 14.8 points, on 33 percent from the field, and 27.6 percent from the three. In game one of the semifinals against Las Vegas, Ogunbowale was held to 12 points on 28.6 percent field goal shooting.

If you're betting tonight, this prop hit once in four games against the Aces. Although Ogunbowale has been known for her drives in the paint, Vegas guards will have a heavy defense presence on her. We've seen her pull from the three over Alysha Clarke, however I am going to fade over 20.5 points against the best defensive team in the playoffs.

The shot volume has been there for Ogunbowale, along with her quickness. I see her scoring tonight, but with the amount of talent on this team, I believe it will be more balanced amongst the starters and bench players. Through three playoff games, Dallas leads in bench points. Guard Odyssey Sims and Center Kalani Brown combined for 20 points off the Wings bench.

Season Statistics & Betting Trends

Las Vegas Aces

  • LV Aces: 5-0 in their last 5 games.
  • 8-2 in their last 10 games.
  • ATS Record: 21-19-0
  • O/U Record: 24-16-0
  • 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games.
  • 5-5 ATS in their last 10 games.
  • O/U is 3-2 in the last 5 games.
  • O/U: 6-4 in the last 10 games.
  • 1st in Offensive Rating (113)
  • 1st in Offensive Rating in the Playoffs (113.1)
  • 1st in Defensive Rating (97.7)
  • 1st in Defensive Rating in the Playoffs (87.2)
  • 1st in Points Per Game (92.8)
  • 2nd in Pace: 98.58
  • Opponent Points Per Game: 80.3 (2nd)
  • Three-Point Percentage: 37.2 % (2nd)
  • Three-Point Percentage in the Playoffs: 36.4 % (4th)
  • Rebounds Per Game: 34.8 (5th)
  • Rebounds Per Game in the Playoffs: 40.3 (1st)
  • LV ATS won last 10 games: New York (-7.5), Seattle (-20), Phoenix (-19), Chicago (-16, -17.5), Dallas (-10)

Dallas Wings

  • Dallas Wings: 4-1 in their last 5 games.
  • 6-4 in their last 10 games.
  • ATS Record: 20-19-1
  • O/U Record: 24-16-0
  • 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games.
  • 6-4 ATS in their last 10 games.
  • O/U is 2-3 in the last 5 games.
  • O/U: 8-2 in the last 10 games.
  • 3rd in Offensive Rating (106.9)
  • 3rd in Offensive Rating in the playoffs (108.6)
  • 8th in Defensive Rating (103.5)
  • 3rd in Defensive Rating in the playoffs (98.8)
  • 3rd in Points Per Game (87.9)
  • 3rd in Pace: 98.21
  • Opponent Points Per Game: 84.9 (9th)
  • Three-Point Percentage: 31.7 % (12th)
  • Three-Point Percentage playoffs: 39 % (3rd)
  • Rebounds Per Game: 38.7 (1st)
  • Rebounds Per Game playoffs: 38 (2nd)
  • Dallas ATS won last 10 games: Indiana (-4.5, -9), New York (+6), Seattle (-11.5), Atlanta (+1.5, -6).

Head-to-head stats: Aces vs. Wings

Season Matchups:

Game 1: Las Vegas 89, Dallas 82 (Dallas +9.5m under 176)
Game 2: Dallas 80, Las Vegas 78 (Dallas +9.6, under 176)
Game 3: Las Vegas 104, Dallas, 91 (Las Vegas -11, over 176)
Game 4: Las Vegas 104, Dallas 84 (Las Vegas -8.5, over 178)

Playoffs

Game 1: Las Vegas 97, Dallas 83 (Las Vegas -10, over 174)

  • Las Vegas won the regular season series 3-1
  • The spread was split 2-2
  • Game Points (AVG) last 10 matchups: 166
  • Las Vegas average points last 10 games: 90
  • Dallas average points last 10 games: 92

Stay tuned for more WNBA and betting related articles. Click here

Sara Jane Gamelli is a full-time Sportswriter at BallisLife, and Sports Content Creator on Twitch and TikTok. She has a focus on the NBA, WNBA, NCAA Basketball, and the NFL. Sara Jane currently resides in Connecticut with her Cat and Dog. SJ has her undergraduate degree from the University of Connecticut in Economics, with a minor in business administration.

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