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NBA Betting: Daily Odds & Predictions for November 14

Sara Jane Gamelli 4091 November 14, 2023 No Comments

There are ten total NBA In-Season Tournament games today, beginning at 7 p.m and 10:30 PM EDT. There will be several prime time games on TNT, including the Clippers (3-6) against the Nuggets (8-2), and the Spurs (3-7) versus the Thunder (6-4). With less than a month left to go, teams will continue group play tonight, before the advancement of the quarterfinals in a few weeks. Here you will find the NBA betting odds, stats, trends, player prop bets, and predictions for Tuesday, November 14.

NBA Daily Game Odds for 11/14

*Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook

  • Pacers (+164) @ 76ers (-198) (-5): O/U 240.5
  • Heat (-5) (-198) @ Hornets (+164): O/U 223
  • Hawks (-4.5)(-185) @ Pistons (+154): O/U 225.5
  • Spurs (+380) @ Thunder (-7.5) (-500): O/U 238.5
  • Magic (+114) @ Nets (-3) (-135): O/U 217.5
  • Mavericks (-4) (-166) @ Pelicans (+140) O/U 239.5
  • Trail Blazers (+205) @ Jazz (-6.5) (-250): O/U 231.5
  • Clippers (+154) @ Nuggets (-4.5) (-185): O/U 225
  • Timberwolves (-2.5) (-148) @ Warriors (+124) O/U 217
  • Grizzlies (+200) @ Lakers (-6) (-245)

NBA Daily Parlay +885 .1u

NBA Bet #1 : Killian Hayes O .5 3PTM (-195)

Season Stats PPG: 10.9  | FG: 40.2 % | 3 PT: 32.5 % | FT: 77.3 % | REB: 3.3 | AST: 4.7 | STL: 1.3 | BLK: 0.5

The Detroit Pistons (2-9) will matchup against the Atlanta Hawks (5-4) at home tonight. Since the start of the season, the Pistons have opted to start guard Killian Hayes over Jaden Ivey.

If you're betting on the NBA, Hayes hasn't shot particularly well, especially from the field. However, one made three is a small amount, and this is a prop that's hit eight of the last eleven games, and 75 percent in the last four. Two three-pointers made in the past couple of matchups, Hayes will face a Hawks team that allows the 19th worst opponent three-point percentage per game (35.6 %).

Tonight, Trae Young will not suit up for Atlanta, a team that allows the 23rd most points scored per game (117). The Pistons guard has at least one three-pointer made in three of his last matchups against the Hawks, dating back to early 2023.

Why the over .5 3PTM will hit tonight

Hayes has been on fire at home, clocking in one three-pointer made in four of the past five games. Although Detroit has a ton of depth, this prop hit 80 percent in the last ten games, and 62 percent overall in the 2022-2023 season.

If we break down the statistics against Atlanta, they've allowed Kyle Lowry, of the Miami Heat, and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander to hit over the line in two straight matchups. Gilgeous-Alexander, who had a line of 0.5, ended up with three shots from long distance, while Kyle Lowry had four three-pointers. Guards Mike Coley, Cameron Payne, and Jalen Brunson have all hit over their prop lines in the past eight matchups against the Hawks.

Averaging nearly 11 points per game, Hayes plays 30.5 minutes, and has a combined nine three-point attempts in the past two matchups. A season 32.5 percent shooter from long distance, the Pistons guard will get a juicy matchup against the Hawks who allow 117 points per game, and 36.6 three-point attempts per matchup.

NBA Bet #2: Jonas Valanciunus O .5 Blocks (-190)

Season Stats PPG: 12.3 | FG: 50.5 % | 3 PT: 43.5 % | FT: 85 % | REB: 8.7 | AST: 1.8 | STL: 0.3 | BLK: 1.5

The New Orleans Pelicans (4-6) will matchup against the Dallas Mavericks (8-2) at home tonight. Jonas Valanciunus will face a Pelicans team, who will be without Trey Murphy III and Larry Nancy Jr. As on the injury report, Pelicans forward Herbert Jones is listed as a game time decision.

If you're betting on the NBA, the Pelicans center has at least one block in 80 percent of the last 10 games. In fact, he's had one block in three of the last five games, and 11 of the last 15 games. Facing the Mavericks at home, Valanciunus hit over .5 blocks in four straight home games, against the Warriors, Pistons, Hawks, and Mavericks. As far as home matchups, this prop hit seven of the last ten games in New Orleans, and 9 of the last 15.

Tonight, the Pelicans will face a Mavericks team, who are one of the worst defensive teams in the league in terms of points and rebounds allowed. Although Dallas only allows 3.7 blocks per game, it's hard to fade this prop that's been hit so frequent.

Here is why O .5 blocks will hit

Valanciunus will face rookie Dereck Lively II, who's known for more his defensive prowess than his offensive game. He will likely be faced with the challenge of stopping guards Kyrie Irving and Luka Doncic in driving to the basket.

Coincidentally, the Pelicans last played the Mavericks two days ago. Valanciunus finished with two block against Kyrie Irving and Dereck Lively. Standing at 6 foot 11, the Pelicans center is averaging 1.5 blocks a game, and I am riding with the over tonight.

NBA Bet #3: Jaime Jaquez Jr O 8.5 Points (-120)

Season Stats PPG: 8.3 | FG: 47.9 % | 3 PT: 27.6 % | FT: 87.5 % | REB: 3.2 | AST: 2.2 | STL: 1.3 | BLK: 0.3

The Miami Heat (6-4) will matchup against the Charlotte Hornets (3-6) on the road tonight. For Miami, Caleb Martin and Tyler Herro are listed as out, and guard Josh Richardson is listed as a game time decision. For Charlotte, Terry Rozier, Bridges, and Bouknight are all listed as out for tonight. Gordon Hayward and rookie Brandon Miller are both game time decisions.

If there's one thing to know about Miami Heat's head coach Erik Spoelstra, he loves rookies and undrafted players.

If you're betting on the NBA, Jaime Jaquez Jr over 8.5 points has hit in five, straight games against the Wizards, Lakers, Grizzlies, Hawks, and Spurs. Although I rarely wager on rookies, Jaquez has seen increased playing time with several injuries across the roster.

Tonight, the Heat face a Hornets team that are one of the worst defensive teams in the league. Charlotte ranks 28th in opponent points scored (123.1), and allow teams to shoot 39 percent from long range. Much like last year, they rank near the bottom in field goal and free-throw percentage allowed.

Why Jaquez Jr will score over 8.5 Points

Jaquez Jr, the former UCLA Bruin, is averaging nearly 25 minutes per game, and 10.3 points in the month of November. A player with a versatile skill set, the Heat guard has a combined 27 field goal attempts in the last two matchups. He's coming off a 11 point performance against the San Antonio Spurs.

Over 8.5 seems low to me for a guard that hasn't average less than that since their matchup against the Brooklyn Nets. Given Charlotte is a terrible team, combined with injuries, I am riding the over points tonight. In fact, important to note, Jaquez Jr. played 38 points against the Hawks, and is coming off two straight games playing well over 30 minutes.

NBA Bet #4: Spurs vs. Thunder U 238.5 Points (-110)

The San Antonio Spurs (3-7) will face the Oklahoma City Thunder (6-4) tonight on the road. The Spurs, who have dropped five straight games will look to get back on track against the Thunder, who are 3-2 in their last five games. Two teams filled with young talent, it should be a great matchup between rookies Chet Holmgren and Victor Wembanyama.

For the Spurs, Keldon Johnson and Tre Jones are listed as OUT for tonights game. Sandro Mamukelashvili and Jeremy Sochan are both listed as game time decisions.

With a record of 3-7, the Spurs have a totals over/under record of 9-1-0, while Oklahoma City is 5-5-0 against totals. In their last ten matchups, the over/under record is 4-6, in which their last matchup hit the under.

The Thunder are filled with talent, and rank 8th in total points per game (115.9). For the Spurs, they will be without some heavy hitters tonight, and rank middle of the road in offense (113 points per game). In addition, the Thunder have the 4th best three-point percentage in the league (37.5), while the Spurs average 35 percent from beyond the arc. Defensively, the Spurs are the worst defensive team, allowing 124 points per game, while the Thunder are ranked 17th.

Why the under can hit tonight

Although these two teams have some star power on the offensive end, both teams play at a higher pace. Although on this case, the spotlight will be on both teams, since it is an In-Season Tournament game tonight.

If you're betting on the NBA, the Spurs will be without Keldon Johnson, who averages over 15 points per game. They will also be without Trey Jones, who contributes 8 points per game. The Thunder are coming off two straight unders against the Suns and Kings, while the Spurs have hit over totals in seven straight games. Both the Spurs and the Thunder don't take a lot of three pointers per game, and and the free-throw volume lacks on both sides.

Although the Spurs have a terrible defense, I am full fading what would be their 8th straight game hitting the over.

Stay tuned for more NBA betting related articles. Click here

Sara Jane Gamelli is a full-time Sportswriter at Ballislife, and Sports Content Creator on Twitch and TikTok. She has a focus on the NBA, WNBA, NCAA Basketball, and the NFL. Sara Jane currently resides in Connecticut/NYC area with her Cat and Dog. SJ has her undergraduate degree from the University of Connecticut in Economics, with a minor in business administration.

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