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Seattle Storm vs. Atlanta Dream: Betting Odds & Stats

Sara Jane Gamelli 2745 September 6, 2023 No Comments

The Seattle Storm will matchup against the Atlanta Dream on the road tonight. Here, you will find the WNBA betting odds, stats, and predictions for Wednesday, September 6.

Written and edited by

Sara Jane Gamelli

The Seattle Storm (11-26, 7-11 Away) will matchup against the Atlanta Dream (17-20, 10-8 Home) on the road tonight. The Dream are 3-7 in their last ten games and hold a slight lead over the Sky and Sparks for the 7th seed. They can clinch a playoff spot with a win tonight.

 With three games to go, the Seattle Storm retain one of the lowest ratings in the WNBA and are eliminated from playoff contention. With the series split 1-1, tonight is a must win for the Atlanta Dream. Atlanta, led by head coach Tanisha Wright, have just a 1.5 game lead, and could easily fall into competition for the 8th and final playoff spot. In this article, I will break down the WNBA betting odds, statistics, trends, odds, and predictions. The matchup will begin at 7PM EST, at Gateway Center, located in College Park, Georgia.  If you're Betting on the WNBA and interested in watching, the game will air on NBA TV (WNBA League Pass). For the best betting odds, stats and analysis, here is information to know.

WNBA Daily Odds: Seattle Storm vs. Atlanta Dream

Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook

Atlanta -8.5 (-110)

With three games remaining in the regular season, the Atlanta Dream are a must win tonight. Standing at 17-20, Atlanta has less than a two-game lead for the 7th seed over the Chicago Sky and the Los Angeles Sparks. Through the month of August, both the Storm and Dream are two of the least efficient teams on offensive in the WNBA. Since August 1, both squads rank 10 and 11 in total net rating, in addition to effective field goal percentage. Once considered one of the superior teams in the East, the Dream have lost seven of their last ten games and have just one win in the past five matchups. Eliminated from the postseason, Seattle has just one win in five games. Although Seattle is 19-16-0 against the spread this season, I am full fading that tonight.

Tonight, is a crucial matchup for Atlanta, who hasn't covered the spread in two games against the Storm. With the season series split 1-1, the Dream are 8-8 against the spread when favored, and 7-4 as home favorites ATS. Additionally, Tanisha Wright's team is 10-8 at home, and 10-7 against the spread at the Gateway Center. With the Seattle Storm out of the playoff bracket, they will play for a matter of pride tonight. At 7-11 on the road, Seattle has played on the road in five of their last six and are 2-2-1 against the road spread in the past five games.

Why the Atlanta Dream will cover the spread.

Overall, Atlanta is a much more efficient team in their home arena. In 18 games played in Georgia, the Dream average close to five points more per game (85) and shoot nearly eight percent better from the three-point (38.2 percent). In addition, the Dream shoot more effectively from the field, as well as the free-throw line. Although this team is 6-12 since the All-Star break, they remain 4th in points per game, and 6th in overall defensive rating. Over the last five matchups. Atlanta is averaging 87 points per game, compared to the Storm's 79.8. Although both teams are 1-4, Atlanta is far more superior than Seattle from the field, and both teams allow the opposition to score around 89 points.

In a much-anticipated essential matchup, the Dream will face the worst team offensively in the WNBA. Led by Allisha Gray, Atlanta has a ton of talent, especially on the bench. In their last matchup against Minnesota Atlanta's bench outscored the opposition 32-24. Second year player, Rhyne Howard has been a force on both sides of the ball, along with Cheyenne Parker.

Most recently, this team dropped 100 points in their defeat against the Las Vegas Aces. Led by Howard with 27 points, the Dream shot 35 percent from three, and had four players with points in double figures. Atlanta allows teams to shoot 34 percent from the three, and the key will be to play tight perimeter defense on Jewell Loyd. With a win tonight, the Atlanta Dream can clinch a playoff spot. With everything on the line, I expect Atlanta to put up a fight, especially with a tough schedule remaining against Washington and Dallas.

Season Statistics & Betting Trends

Seattle Storm

  • Seattle Storm: 1-4 in their last 5 games.
  • 4-6 in their last 10 games.
  • ATS Record: 19-16-0
  • O/U Record: 18-19-0
  • 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games.
  • 4-5-1 ATS in their last 10 games.
  • O/U is 1-4 in the last 5 games.
  • O/U: 5-5 in the last 10 games.
  • 12th in Offensive Rating (96.7)
  • 7th in Defensive Rating (103.4)
  • 10th in Points Per Game (78.5)
  • 4th in Pace: 97.07
  • Opponent Points Per Game: 83.8 (7th)
  • Three-Point Percentage: 34.5 % (5th)
  • Rebounds Per Game: 35.4 (4th)
  • Seattle ATS won last 10 games: Atlanta (+5), Phoenix (-3), Minnesota (+5.5), LA (+7)

Atlanta Dream

  • Atlanta Dream: 1-4 in their last 5 games.
  • 3-7 in their last 10 games.
  • ATS Record: 17-20-0
  • O/U Record: 17-20-0
  • 2-3 ATS in their last 5 games.
  • 4-6 ATS in their last 10 games.
  • O/U is 4-1 in the last 5 games.
  • O/U: 4-6 in the last 10 games.
  • 7th in Offensive Rating (99.8)
  • 6th in Defensive Rating (101.8)
  • 4th in Points Per Game (82.8)
  • 1st in Pace: 98.85
  • Opponent Points Per Game: 84.4 (9th)
  • Three-Point Percentage: 34.1 (7th)
  • Rebounds Per Game: 36 (3rd)
  • Atlanta ATS won last 10 games:  Indiana (-8), Chicago (-2), Phoenix (-8.5).

Head-to-head stats: Storm vs. Dream

Season Matchups:

Game 1: Atlanta 85, Seattle 75 (Seattle +14.5, Under 167.5)
Game 2: Seattle 58, Atlanta 67 (Seattle +5, Under 163.5)

  • The season series is split 1-1
  • The Storm are 2-0 ATS vs. the Dream this season
  • Game Points (AVG) last 10 matchups: 162
  • Seattle average points last 10 games: 83
  • Atlanta Angeles average points last 10 games: 79

Injuries

Seattle Storm

  • Gabby Williams, forward: OUT

Atlanta Dream

  • Nia Coffey, forward: OUT

Allisha Gray O 16.5 Points (-136)

PPG: 17.2 | FG: 47.5 % | 3 PT: 38.2 % | FT: 82.1 % | REB: 4.9 | AST:4.9 |STL: 1.1 | BLK: 0.3

In her first season with the Atlanta Dream, Allisha Gray is averaging career-highs in points per game, field goal percentage, field goal and free-throw attempts. No. 15 hit over 16.5 points 60 percent in the last five, and 50 percent in the past five games. Furthermore, the Dream guard hit this prop in two games against Seattle and is averaging 18 points against the Storm. In both matchups, Gray averages 32 minutes, and 15.5 field goal attempts. With the Atlanta Dream leading the league in pace, I expect both teams to fight hard, and have a faster tempo game tonight.

If you're betting on the WNBA, Allisha Gray hit this prop 60 percent this season, and is averaging nearly 11 field goal attempts per matchup over the last ten. Overall, Gray ranks 15th in points per game, and 16th overall in total points this season (601). Gray also ranks top five and six in free-throws attempted and made per game. Although the Dream have several options on the offensive end, I expect Gray to have a decent matchup against a Seattle team who has one of worst net ratings, just above the Phoenix Mercury. I like this prop, based on the fact that Jewell Loyd ranks 96th in defensive efficiency, and has a net rating of -4.8.

Rhyne Howard O 2.5 3PM (+108)

Former 2022 rookie of the year, Rhyne Howard is having a career year in her second season with Atlanta. No. 10 is averaging career-highs in points per game (17.5), field goal and three-point percentage, rebounds, and assists minutes per game. Howard, 23, hit over 2.5 made three pointers in 60 percent of the last five and ten games. Additionally, she hit this prop in two matchups against Seattle, in which Howard is averaging 17.5 points, 32.5 minutes, 17.5 field goal attempts, and 10 three-point shots. In all of her August matchups, the guard has the most shot attempts against Seattle, with 20 on August 10.

Although Howard shot 1-10 from the three in Atlanta's overtime loss against Minnesota, she's averaging 8.6 threes attempted in the last three games. With the Seattle Storm allowing 35.4 percent from downtown, 9th in the WNBA, I expected Howard to have bounce back game tonight. I am confident in this prop tonight, especially with the volume of shots taken and minutes played against Seattle this season. Currently, the odds are not in favor of this prop, which could be the steal of the night.

Stay tuned for more WNBA and betting related articles. Click here for more WNBA betting strategies.

Sara Jane Gamelli is a full-time Sportswriter at BallisLife, and Sports Content Creator on Twitch and TikTok. She has a focus on the NBA, WNBA, NCAA Basketball, and the NFL. Sara Jane currently resides in Connecticut with her Cat and Dog. SJ has her undergraduate degree from the University of Connecticut in Economics, with a minor in business administration.

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