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NBA Betting: Daily Odds & Free Plays for November 21

Sara Jane Gamelli 3923 November 21, 2023 No Comments

Sara Jane Gamelli

Sara Jane Gamelli

Tonight there are five In-Season NBA Tournament games, which will begin at 7 p.m. EST. With the knockout stage beginning on Dec. 4th, each team will have less than two weeks to fight for a spot in the Quarterfinals. In East Group C, the Toronto Raptors (0-1) will matchup against the Orlando Magic (1-1) on the road. For East Group A, the Atlanta Hawks (1-1) will host the Indiana Pacers (2-0), and the Cleveland Cavaliers (1-1) will travel to face the Philadelphia 76ers (2-1).

For the West Group A, the Phoenix Suns (1-1) will play the Portland Trail Blazers (1-2) at home. Additionally, the Utah Jazz (2-1) will travel to California to matchup against the Los Angeles Lakers (3-0). Here you will find the NBA betting odds, stats, trends, player prop bets, and predictions for Tuesday, November 21.

NBA Daily Game Odds for 11/21

*Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook

Toronto Raptors (+105) @ Orlando Magic (-125) (-2) O/U: 216
Cleveland Cavaliers(+260) @ 76ers (-325) (-8) O/U: 218.5
Indiana Pacers (+136) @ Hawks (-162) (-3.5) O/U: 252
Portland Trail Blazers (+550) @ Phoenix Suns (-800) (-13) O/U: 223
Utah Jazz (+235) @ Los Angeles Lakers (-290) (-7.5) O/U: 238.5

Daily Props and Picks

*Full disclosure, tail at your own discretion. You can use any of these as a straight bet, or group them into a parlay*

NBA Bet #1: Phoenix Suns -13

Tonight, the Phoenix Suns (7-6, 2-4 Home) will host the Portland Trail Blazers (3-10, 2-5 Away) on their home court. With the Suns money line set a -900, it's too high, and too much risk to earn any reward if they win. The Suns are coming off three consecutive wins, two of which were against the Utah Jazz. For Portland, they continue to deal with injuries, and are on a 7 game skid. Offensively, the Trail Blazers are the worst team in the league, averaging only 102.9 points per game, and hitting 30.5 percent from long range.

The Suns haven't lived up to their potential, in large part due to injuries to Booker and Beal. While Beal remains sidelined with an injury, the Suns are starting to gel and come together as a team. While they are second in three-point percentage (39.2), they remain a top ten offensive team. Much like years past, defense remains an issue.

Overall, Phoenix is 5-7-1 against the spread, and for Portland, 5-8-0. In their last ten matchups, the Suns are 7-3, and covered the spread 6-10 games. Since the start of the season, this is the largest spread margin the Suns have faced, specifically at home. The biggest spread this team has covered when favored was -5.5 against the Utah Jazz.

Phoenix Money Line is a high risk low reward

It's hard for some bettors to make a case when the Suns haven't covered the spread in two straight games, and have yet to cover a spread in double figures. However, Portland hasn't covered a spread in four consecutive matchups against the Thunder, Lakers, Cavaliers, and Jazz. While some believe this game will be close since it's a group tournament game, It's hard to fade Phoenix with the way Durant has been playing.

If you're betting on the NBA, it's simply a brutal time for a banged up Portland team. The Suns have enough healthy players to win this game by a significant amount tonight.

NBA Bet #2: Kevin Durant O 33.5 Points and Assists

Season Stats PPG: 31.4  | FG: 52.8 % | 3 PT: 49.2 % | FT: 87.3 % | REB: 7.2 | AST: 5.5 | STL: 0.8 | BLK: 1.2

In his first full year with the Phoenix Suns, Forward Kevin Durant is putting up career numbers in points scored, next to his 2013-2014 season in Oklahoma City. Without Bradley Beal, the Suns have Durant, Devin Booker, and surprisingly have depth behind them. Averaging just over 30 points per game, Durant's coming off three straight 30 plus games, against the Utah Jazz and the Minnesota Timberwolves.

If you're betting on the NBA, Durant hit over 33.5 points and assists in 6 consecutive home matchups. A prop that hit close to 60 percent last season, Durant faces a young Portland team, who has several injuries. With Robert Williams III out for the season, guards Scoot Henderson and Anfernee Simons remain sidelined. Additionally, guard Malcom Brogdon is questionable for Portland tonight. He's hit this prop by a large margin in three straight games, including the last two matchups against the Trail Blazers.

Led by head coach Chauncey Billups, the Trail Blazers defense surprisingly isn't all that bad. Ranking middle of the road in points allowed, Portland isn't a great rebounding team, and allows opponents to average 48.9 percent from the field. In the last week, this team allowed LeBron James to hit well over his prop, finishing at 44 points and assists.

Why Kevin Durant can hit this prop

Averaging 5.5 assists this season, Durant is a prolific scorer, who I believe will torch this team. In addition, he's coming off a 10 assist game against the Utah Jazz, and has 25 dimes in three games. For a Phoenix team that is a bit thin on the bench, Durant has solid production around him from Booker, Eric Gordon, Grayson Allen, Jusuf Nurkic, and Drew Eubanks.

If you're betting on the NBA, Durant is one of the best in the league, and has been torching defenses this season. In the month of November, No. 35 is averaging an incredible 33.3 points and 5.8 assists per game. Playing well over 35 minutes a game, the Suns forward is averaging 20.5 field goal attempts per game, which is two more than his career average. If he was able to torch the 76ers, Lakers, Timberwolves, and Jazz, I see him doing it tonight.

The only way this prop won't hit, is if the Suns are out by a large amount, and Frank Vogel decides to pull Durant. With No. 35 in the MVP race, it's hard to envision him playing limited minutes tonight.

NBA Bet #3: Bruce Brown O .5 3PTM

Season Stats PPG: 11.3  | FG: 46.5 % | 3 PT: 38.6 % | FT: 87.1 % | REB: 4.6 | AST: 2.6 | STL: 0.9 | BLK: 0.4

This was one of my favorite props during last year's NBA Finals, and I'm bringing it back tonight. Bruce Brown signed with the Indiana Pacers in the offseason, which now includes Brown into their starting lineup. Starting all 12 games this season, Indiana finds themselves at all 7-5, ranking as the 6th seed in the Eastern Conference. Full of talent, this team is an offensive powerhouse, ranking first in points per game (125.7). Full of scorers, the Pacers rank 6th in three point attempts per game (39.5), and top ten in three-point percentage (37.8). Brown brings championship experience to this team, and remains a player that has a career three-point 34.4 percentage.

If you're betting on the NBA, Bruce Brown is coming off one made shot from long distance against the San Antonio Spurs. A prop that hit nearly 70 % in the 2022-2023 season, Brown hit at least one three in seven of the last ten, and three of the last five games. Averaging 11.3 points a game, the guard is shooting a solid 38.6 percent from beyond the arc, and is playing a career high 30.8 minutes.

The Atlanta Hawks struggle defensively

Tonight, Brown faces the Hawks, who allows the 24th most points per game (117.9), and allow the 23rd worst opponent three-point percentage (37 percent). Along with the Pacers high scoring ability, Brown finds himself a prime matchup against Atlanta, who allowed allowed Tobias Harris, Robert Covington, Josh Hart, Kevin Knox II, and Jaime Jaquez Jr. to all knock down one three since Nov. 11. For guards, the Hawks surrendered at least one three pointer in five consecutive games from De'Anthony Melton, Quentin Grimes, Alec Burks, Jaden Ivey, and Josh Richardson.

I'm truly picking the over tonight, strictly due to the matchup against Atlanta. Although his minutes and production was down last matchup against the Magic, Brown is averaging 3.2 three-point attempts in November. Although he's 0-4 in away games for this prop, the Indiana forward hit the over 100 percent against Atlanta last season, including a matchup on the road.

To me, 0.5 is a small number, and a line that hasn't increased since last year's Finals against the Miami Heat. Known for his corner threes, Brown is averaging more playing time than ever, and has a significant shot volume increase.

If you're betting on the NBA, I'm going with the over 0.5 three pointers made tonight.

Bonus Bets:

Gary Trent Jr. O .5 Steals
Hawks vs. Pacers O 252 Points

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Sara Jane Gamelli is a full-time Sportswriter at Ballislife, and Sports Content Creator on Twitch and TikTok. She has a focus on the NBA, WNBA, NCAA Basketball, and the NFL. Sara Jane currently resides in Connecticut/NYC area with her Cat and Dog. SJ has her undergraduate degree from the University of Connecticut in Economics, with a minor in business administration.

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