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Sun vs. Lynx Betting Odds & Predictions: WNBA Playoffs Game 2

Sara Jane Gamelli 5404 September 17, 2023 No Comments

The Connecticut Sun will matchup against the Minnesota Lynx at home for game 2. Here, you will find the WNBA betting odds, stats, trends, player prop bets, and predictions for Sunday, Sept. 17.

Written and edited by

Sara Jane Gamelli

Tonight is Game 2 of the first-round WNBA playoffs between the Connecticut Sun (1-0, 1-0 Home) and the Minnesota Lynx (0-1, 0-1 Away). The Connecticut Sun defeated the Minnesota Lynx 90-60, in game 1, in group fashion. For the Sun, they had five players with points in double figures, and 23 off the bench. Connecticut Head Coach, Stephanie White, named WNBA coach of the year, couldn't have asked better from her squad. With 30 field goal attempts, Connecticut shot 47.3 percent from the field, and over 53 percent from three. An all-around team effort, the Sun forced Minnesota to turn the basketball over 19 times and limited their ball movement to 13 assists.

For Minnesota, they struggled in several aspects. Unable to knock down shots, the Lynx were held to 35 percent field goal and 20 percent three-point shooting. Connecticut, a top defensive team, held the Lynx in check, in which they only had two players with points in double figures. Unable to secure the ball, Minnesota couldn't get any sort of momentum going. If they lose tonight, Connecticut Sun will move on. With a Lynx victory, they will force game three at home.

 In this article, I will break down the WNBA betting odds, statistics, trends, odds, player prop bets, and predictions. The matchup will begin at 1 p.m. ET, at Mohegan Sun Arena, located in Uncasville, Connecticut.  If you're Betting on the WNBA and interested in watching, the game will air on ESPN. For the best betting odds, stats and analysis, here is information to know.

WNBA Daily Odds Game 2: Connecticut Sun vs. Minnesota Lynx

Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook

WNBA Series Betting Odds: Connecticut Sun vs. Minnesota Lynx

Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook

Alyssa Thomas O 23 Points + Assists

Season Stats: PPG: 15.5 | FG: 47.4 % | 3 PT: 0 % | FT: 71.5 % | REB: 9.9 | AST: 7.9 |STL: 1.8 | BLK: 0.5

Playoff Stats: PPG: 15 | FG: 46.7% | 3 PT: 0 % | FT: 25 % | REB: 3 | AST: 10 |STL: 5 | BLK: 0

Alyssa Thomas, in her 10th season with the Connecticut Sun, found herself in the middle of the tight MVP race. Her playstyle is unique and has been fairly consistent in the regular season, into the playoffs. In the 90-60 game 1 victory against Minnesota, Thomas had 15 points, 10 assists, 5 steals, and 3 rebounds. This prop hit in six out of the last ten games, including the last matchup against the Lynx.

In five total matchups against Minnesota, including the playoffs, this prop hit four times. In the best of three games, expect Alyssa Thomas to play anywhere between 37 and 40 minutes tonight. With her ability to get to the lane, expect No. 25 to score, and dish to Bonner, Hayes, and Allen, who all had points in double figures. In the last two games, Tyasha Harris has played remarkable.

Already having back-to-back triple doubles against the Lynx this season, Thomas will look to build off that momentum here in game 2. The point forward averaged 8.5 assists at home, and 15.6 points at home. Of all players, Thomas played the greatest number of minutes in game 1 and attempted 15 field goal shots. With her volume of minutes alone, I like over 23.5 points and assists here.

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Minnesota Lynx vs. Connecticut Sun 1st half points O 79.5

Game 1 of the playoffs between the Connecticut Sun and the Minnesota Lynx was an absolute defensive showdown by Connecticut. After a close first quarter, the Sun changed the narrative in the second and final quarter. Shutout 90-60, the Lynx put up 32 points by halftime, compared to the Suns 46. With all the turnovers, lack of rhythm, and shooting woes, Minnesota and Connecticut totaled 78 points in the first half.

Through 40 regular season games, the Connecticut Sun average 42.7 points in the first half, and the Minnesota Lynx 41. Collectively, this averages out to 83.7 first half points. In four season matchups between the two, Minnesota tallied an average of 38.3 points through the first half, and Connecticut, 42.3 points. In home games against the Lynx, White's squad averaged 40.5 points in the first half. Similarly, the Lynx were more efficient on road games, averaging 39 points through the first half in two games at Mohegan Sun Arena.

Why the first half over will cover

Two factors stuck out to me following the first game. Connecticut Shot incredible from downtown, and Minnesota couldn't buy a bucket. The Lynx have to find a way to get Napheesa Collier going, who was just 5-12 with 14 points. Kayla McBride finished with 16 points, however, Diamond Miller and Dorka Juhasz couldn't find their stride. Without Jessica Shepard and Lindsay Allen, the Lynx are left with less depth and offensive power. Though Minnesota hit the under in the last two matchups, they finished the season at 23-17-0 against totals.

For Connecticut, they finished the season 22-18-0 against the over/under. With elimination on the line for Minnesota, today should be a battle between the two teams. If they hit 78 combined points, with the Lynx struggling last game, I have full confidence the over first half points to hit today. Look for Minnesota to bring all of their energy, it what could be a season ending game.

Season Statistics & Betting Trends

Connecticut Sun

  • CT Sun: 3-2 in their last 5 games.
  • 7-3 in their last 10 games.
  • ATS Record: 21-17-2
  • O/U Record: 22-18-0
  • 3-2 ATS in their last 5 games.
  • 6-3-1 ATS in their last 10 games.
  • O/U is 2-3 in the last 5 games.
  • O/U: 4-6 in the last 10 games.
  • 4th in Offensive Rating (103.2)
  • 2nd in Offensive Rating in the playoffs (113.9)
  • 2nd in Defensive Rating (98.8)
  • 1st in Defensive Rating in the playoffs (75.9)
  • 4th in Points Per Game (82.7)
  • 10th in Pace: 95.14
  • Opponent Points Per Game: 79 (1st)
  • Three-Point Percentage: 36% (4th)
  • Three-Point Percentage playoffs: 53.3% (1st)
  • Rebounds Per Game: 33.6 (8th)
  • Rebounds Per Game playoffs: 36 (6th)
  • Connecticut ATS won last 10 games: Chicago (-5.5), New York (+6), LA (-6.5, -10.5), Indiana (-10), Minnesota (-8.5)

Minnesota Lynx

  • Minnesota Lynx: 2-3 in their last 5 games.
  • 4-6 in their last 10 games.
  • ATS Record: 21-18-1
  • O/U Record: 23-17-0
  • 2-3 ATS in their last 5 games.
  • 4-6 ATS in their last 10 games.
  • O/U is 3-2 in the last 5 games.
  • O/U: 7-3 in the last 10 games.
  • 8th in Offensive Rating (99.8)
  • 7th in Offensive Rating in the playoffs (98.7)
  • 10th in Defensive Rating (105.7)
  • 7th in Defensive Rating in the playoffs (113.9)
  • 8th in Points Per Game (80.2)
  • 7th in Defensive Rating in the playoffs (113.9)
  • 9th in Pace: 95.84
  • Opponent Points Per Game: 85 (11th)
  • Three-Point Percentage: 32.5 (11th)
  • Three-Point Percentage playoffs: 20% (8th)
  • Rebounds Per Game: 34.3 (6th)
  • Rebounds Per Game playoffs: 32 (T-7)
  • Minnesota: ATS won last 10 games:  Seattle (-2), Dallas (+6, +6.5), Atlanta (-1.5), Phoenix (-8.5)

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Sara Jane Gamelli is a full-time Sportswriter at BallisLife, and Sports Content Creator on Twitch and TikTok. She has a focus on the NBA, WNBA, NCAA Basketball, and the NFL. Sara Jane currently resides in Connecticut with her Cat and Dog. SJ has her undergraduate degree from the University of Connecticut in Economics, with a minor in business administration.

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